Arkansas at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:45 PM EDT)
Arkansas -7.5 (55.0) (-280)  Open: -7.0 | 58.0
Arkansas 58 - Mississippi State: 25  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -15)
PPG only: ARK: 33 - MSST: 25 (58)
ARK Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 355 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.560.5W 70 - 0
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Oklahoma State+10.560.5L 31 - 39
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs UAB-23.560.5W 37 - 27
Sat 9/21 Arkansas at Auburn+2.553.5W 24 - 14
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.550.5L 17 - 21
Sat 10/5 Arkansas vs Tennessee+14.057.5W 19 - 14
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs LSU+3.057.0L 10 - 34
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Mississippi State-7.555.0W 58 - 25
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+8.054.0L 31 - 63
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas vs Texas+13.057.5L 10 - 20
Sat 11/23 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-23.548.5W 35 - 14
Sat 11/30 Arkansas at Missouri+3.551.5L 21 - 28
Fri 12/27 Arkansas vs Texas Tech+3.552.5W 39 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky-26.561.5W 56 - 7
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State at Arizona State+6.557.5L 23 - 30
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State vs Toledo-10.556.5L 17 - 41
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Florida+6.558.0L 28 - 45
Sat 9/28 Mississippi State at Texas+37.058.5L 13 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State at Georgia+34.053.5L 31 - 41
Sat 10/19 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+21.055.5L 24 - 34
Sat 10/26 Mississippi State vs Arkansas+7.555.0L 25 - 58
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State vs Massachusetts-19.559.5W 45 - 20
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Tennessee+26.561.5L 14 - 33
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State vs Missouri+9.558.0L 20 - 39
Fri 11/29 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+26.563.5L 14 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino vs MSST's DC Matt Barnes     MSST's OC Jeff Lebby vs ARK's DC Travis Williams

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)30.943% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)2541% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
MSST#116 (.09)36% (126)25.838% (123)2.91 (105)14735% (120)1823.47 (96)#61 (.17)42% (71)34.142% (64)43% (84)4.33 (115)56.81.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1230.933.539.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18
MSST Defense1234.134.942.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense122526.539.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
MSST Offense1225.830.735.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (74)11% (51)0.92 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (128)11% (81)1.02 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: #NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: #NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Arkansas's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    Mississippi State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0   Mississippi State: -4.1




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: #NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 748.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: -

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 33
Mississippi State 25

Projected Total Points: 58
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9

Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Mississippi State25Arkansas58ArkansasArkansas -7.5Arkansas55.0Over
202310/21Arkansas3Mississippi State7Mississippi StateArkansas -6.5Mississippi State46.5Under
202210/08Mississippi State40Arkansas17Mississippi StateMississippi State -8Mississippi State55.5Over
202111/06Arkansas31Mississippi State28ArkansasArkansas -4Mississippi State54.0Over
202010/03Mississippi State14Arkansas21ArkansasMississippi State -16.5Arkansas68.0Under
201911/02Arkansas24Mississippi State54Mississippi StateMississippi State -7Mississippi State59.0Over
201811/17Mississippi State52Arkansas6Mississippi StateMississippi State -22.5Mississippi State49.0Over
201711/18Arkansas21Mississippi State28Mississippi StateMississippi State -14Arkansas56.0Under
201611/19Mississippi State42Arkansas58ArkansasMississippi State -1Arkansas57.5Over
201511/21Arkansas50Mississippi State51Mississippi StateArkansas -3Mississippi State59.0Over
201411/01Mississippi State17Arkansas10Mississippi StateMississippi State -14Arkansas0
201311/23Arkansas17Mississippi State24Mississippi StateMississippi State -3Mississippi State0
201211/17Mississippi State45Arkansas14Mississippi State
201111/19Arkansas44Mississippi State17Arkansas
201011/20Mississippi State31Arkansas38Arkansas
200911/21Arkansas42Mississippi State21Arkansas
200811/22Mississippi State31Arkansas28Mississippi State
200711/17Arkansas45Mississippi State31Arkansas
200611/18Mississippi State14Arkansas28Arkansas
200511/19Arkansas44Mississippi State10Arkansas
200411/20Mississippi State21Arkansas24Arkansas
200311/22Arkansas52Mississippi State6Arkansas
200111/17Arkansas24Mississippi State21Arkansas
200011/17Mississippi State10Arkansas17Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1077 Overs
Arkansas1453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 123 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams12 - 129 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#NR) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Arkansas Notes
(12/2) HC Pittman will return for 6th yr, 29-31
(11/30) 2-4 finish. Off awful @ Miz, 2 TOs, 10 flags, bad 3rd
(11/24) Off overwhelmed La Tech. R Def great 57, 1.8 ypc
(11/18) Fought Tex, Rgame awful, Green poor. Run D good
(10/28) 600+ yds (awful MSU), forced 5 TOs. Should bowl
(10/14) QB Green inj vs Tenn, day to day for LSU
(10/10) DC Williams brilliant 3-3-star vs Tenn, HC soon
(10/7) Great W (Tenn). QB Green carved up Vols Def
Arkansas     Ratings Matchup     Mississippi State
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #29
#43
SP+ #24
#88
SP+ Off #40
#82
SP+ Def #33
#98

Rematch from Week 9
Arkansas 7.5 (55.0)
Arkansas won at Mississippi State this year (58-25)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Mississippi State last year (58-25)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2023 (7-3)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2022 (40-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 82°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | MSST
Depth Chart: ARK | MSST
Rosters: ARK | MSST
(#NR) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 748.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) QB Van Buren Jr left via portal (LSU)
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful




  
Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green23038160%31531598.3
Malachi Singleton212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson149790155.346
Taylen Green15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rashod Dubinion5633526.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong781140114.643
Isaac Teslaa28545319.575
Isaiah Sategna37490113.258
Luke Hasz26324412.543
Mississippi State's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Van Buren Jr.14025655%18861177.4
Blake Shapen7410869%974819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davon Booth15275955.043
Johnnie Daniels10854045.036
Keyvone Lee2914014.818
Xavier Gayten8115114.472
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.69844512.280
Jordan Mosley23405317.665
Kelly Akharaiyi25391215.649
Mario Craver17368321.672

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.9910231
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Stephen Dix Jr.703231
TJ Metcalf561007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4910793
Brad Spence556511
Eric Gregory435351
Xavian Sorey Jr.9910231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Metcalf561007
Marquise Robinson350007
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Mississippi State's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Smith1272003
Stone Blanton1244123
Nic Mitchell803012
Branden Jennings565242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakari Tillman304412
Branden Jennings565242
Ty Cooper292110
Kalvin Dinkins21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brice Pollock481007
Isaac Smith1272003
Corey Ellington531003