Missouri at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (4:15 PM EST)
Missouri -9.5 (58.0) (-355)  Open: -6.5
Missouri 39 - Mississippi State: 20  (SEC)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 2nd straight Road Game
MSST coming off BYE
Our Line: Missouri -20    (SP+ -18)
PPG only: MIZ: 32 - MSST: 23 (55)
MIZ Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIZ Travel: 427 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Lebby (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Missouri vs Murray State-50.562.5W 51 - 0
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Buffalo-34.553.5W 38 - 0
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Boston College-14.551.5W 27 - 21
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-17.552.0W 30 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Texas A&M+3.047.5L 10 - 41
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Massachusetts-27.054.0W 45 - 3
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Auburn-3.549.5W 21 - 17
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Alabama+16.051.5L 0 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri vs Oklahoma+3.541.5W 30 - 23
Sat 11/16 Missouri at South Carolina+10.542.5L 30 - 34
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Mississippi State-9.558.0W 39 - 20
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Arkansas-3.551.5W 28 - 21
Mon 12/30 Missouri vs Iowa-1.041.0W 27 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky-26.561.5W 56 - 7
Sat 9/7 Mississippi State at Arizona State+6.557.5L 23 - 30
Sat 9/14 Mississippi State vs Toledo-10.556.5L 17 - 41
Sat 9/21 Mississippi State vs Florida+6.558.0L 28 - 45
Sat 9/28 Mississippi State at Texas+37.058.5L 13 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Mississippi State at Georgia+34.053.5L 31 - 41
Sat 10/19 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+21.055.5L 24 - 34
Sat 10/26 Mississippi State vs Arkansas+7.555.0L 25 - 58
Sat 11/2 Mississippi State vs Massachusetts-19.559.5W 45 - 20
Sat 11/9 Mississippi State at Tennessee+26.561.5L 14 - 33
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Mississippi State vs Missouri+9.558.0L 20 - 39
Fri 11/29 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+26.563.5L 14 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore vs MSST's DC Matt Barnes     MSST's OC Jeff Lebby vs MIZ's DC Corey Batoon

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#21 (.29)46% (26)28.945% (48)3.06 (82)17248% (13)2614.51 (22)#47 (.15)37% (19)20.435% (13)39% (30)3.93 (81)54.20.71.5
MSST#116 (.09)36% (126)25.838% (123)2.91 (105)14735% (120)1823.47 (96)#61 (.17)42% (71)34.142% (64)43% (84)4.33 (115)56.81.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1328.924.846.1%4.510.7224331722614.554%46%45%48%13%.29
MSST Defense1234.134.942.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1320.426.436.8%3.931.5 - - - - - 46%54%35%39%19%.15
MSST Offense1225.830.735.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:2421.543%73%7.254.20.71.56.12.8128.6
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1354% (40)45% (48)38.2171.84.525 (37).18 (50)3.06 (82)75% (52)9% (46)0.97 (84)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (74)11% (51)0.92 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1346% (18)35% (13) - - - - .08 (33)2.74 (17)71% (56)13% (11)1.06 (97)
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (128)11% (81)1.02 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1346% (93)48% (13)1928.9261.2913.723 (51)7 (21).44 (18)1.7 (42)31% (46)36% (21).46 (29)5% (16)2 (69)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1354% (118)39% (30) - - - - - - 9 (87).23 (46)1.6 (58)36% (21)25% (15).18 (12)6% (64)1.9 (19)
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 846.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Missouri's SP+ Ratings
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 11.81   Mississippi State: -8.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.0   Mississippi State: -4.1




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -8.34 #101
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
2024 Talent Rating: 748.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Mississippi State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 32
Mississippi State 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9

Mississippi State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Mississippi State20Missouri39MissouriMissouri -9.5Missouri58.0Over
202012/19Mississippi State51Missouri32Mississippi StateMissouri -1.5Mississippi State49.0Over
201511/05Missouri13Mississippi State31Mississippi StateMississippi State -7.5Mississippi State41.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State223 Overs
Missouri110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0

(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Talent Rating: 846.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Missouri Notes
(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
Missouri     Ratings Matchup     Mississippi State
Power #26
#101
Off #55
#100
Def #33
#130
Talent #22
#43
SP+ #19
#88
SP+ Off #23
#82
SP+ Def #20
#98

Rematch from Week 13
Missouri 9.5 (58.0)
Missouri won at Mississippi State this year (39-20)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Mississippi State last year (39-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61°

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | MSST
Depth Chart: MIZ | MSST
Rosters: MIZ | MSST
(#101) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.34 #101
Offense Rating: 16.56 #100
Defense Rating: 21.21 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98
Talent Rating: 748.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0


Mississippi State Notes
(12/17) QB Van Buren Jr left via portal (LSU)
(12/17) Signed QB Kromenhoek (FSU)
(11/29) 3rd down Defense worst in CFB > 48%
(11/29) Fought w/ Rebs, Def better but 3rd/4th bad
(11/13) QB Van Buren awful, Rgame OK, Run Def torched
(10/22) Def stop rate 38% (#131) last in P4 into wk 9
(10/19) Van Buren good (A&M) Def better, still fighting
(10/12) QB Van Buren torched UGA, Rgame & Def awful




  
Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Drew Pyne498260%391334.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel16381835.064
Marcus Carroll140595124.335
Brady Cook8722352.631
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Brett Norfleet2623529.036
Mississippi State's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Van Buren Jr.14025655%18861177.4
Blake Shapen7410869%974819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Davon Booth15275955.043
Johnnie Daniels10854045.036
Keyvone Lee2914014.818
Xavier Gayten8115114.472
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.69844512.280
Jordan Mosley23405317.665
Kelly Akharaiyi25391215.649
Mario Craver17368321.672

Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Flagg Jr.815110
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
Daylan Carnell515006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Zion Young416353
Chris McClellan396332
Jahkai Lang122200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Joseph Charleston442004
Toriano Pride220004
Mississippi State's DC Matt Barnes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Smith1272003
Stone Blanton1244123
Nic Mitchell803012
Branden Jennings565242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakari Tillman304412
Branden Jennings565242
Ty Cooper292110
Kalvin Dinkins21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brice Pollock481007
Isaac Smith1272003
Corey Ellington531003