North Carolina at Minnesota Game Matchup
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Thursday, August 29th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -2.0 (52.5) (115)  Open: -2.5 | 51.0
North Carolina 19 - Minnesota: 17

 
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: UNC: 24 - MINN: 27 (51)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UNC Travel: 971 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs MINN's DC Corey Hetherman     MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. vs UNC's DC Geoff Collins

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)30.950% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)28.143% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)26.244% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)16.945% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1330.927.246.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3
MINN Defense1316.916.642.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1328.120.842.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
MINN Offense1326.22940.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Minnesota: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0   Minnesota: 10.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: #NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: -

Minnesota's SP+ Ratings
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 27
North Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29Minnesota17North Carolina19North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.0NA52.5Under
202309/16North Carolina31Minnesota13North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7North Carolina51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota000 Overs
North Carolina212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


North Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now
North Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Minnesota
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #18
#27
SP+ #49
#27
SP+ Off #38
#79
SP+ Def #64
#11

Rematch from Week 1
North Carolina 2.0 (52.5)
North Carolina won at Minnesota this year (19-17)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Minnesota last year (19-17)
North Carolina beat Minnesota in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UNC | MINN
Depth Chart: UNC | MINN
Rosters: UNC | MINN
(#NR) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Minnesota Notes
(11/29) Killed Wisky. R Def all 24 car/36 yds. QB/RB good
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich




  
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kobe Paysour21365017.436
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major7835234.540
Jaren Mangham1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer52685613.229
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623

North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane744102
Power Echols732126
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris671004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Kaimon Rucker308631
Amare Campbell699632
Desmond Evans3410591
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie364218
Power Echols732126
Jakeen Harris671004
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Danny Striggow526561
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Henderson449611
Anthony Smith27126101
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Ethan Robinson423009
Jah Joyner326597