Bowling Green at Penn State Game Matchup

Bowling Green Falcons at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -35.5 (51.5) (-20000) Open: -34.5 | 48.5
Penn State 34 - Bowling Green: 27

Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 14.9 MPHOur Line: -2 (SP+ -26)
PPG only: BGSU: 22 - PSU: 27 (49)
PSU Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
BGSU Travel: 303 miles

Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Fordham	-15.5	60.5	W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Penn State	+35.5	51.5	L 27 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Texas A&M	+21.0	50.5	L 20 - 26
Sat 9/28	Bowling Green vs Old Dominion	-11.0	51.5	L 27 - 30
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Akron	-17.0	48.5	W 27 - 20
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	46.5	L 7 - 17
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-24.0	54.5	W 27 - 6
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Toledo	+1.5	47.5	W 41 - 26
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 23 - 13
Tue 11/12	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-9.5	57.5	W 31 - 13
Sat 11/23	Bowling Green at Ball State	-12.5	54.5	W 38 - 13
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	37.5	L 12 - 28
Thu 12/26	Bowling Green vs Arkansas State	-10.5	54.5	L 31 - 38

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Penn State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Penn State at West Virginia	-7.5	48.0	W 34 - 12
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Bowling Green	-35.5	51.5	W 34 - 27
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Penn State vs Kent State	-49.0	58.0	W 56 - 0
Sat 9/28	Penn State vs Illinois	-19.5	48.0	W 21 - 7
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs UCLA	-30.0	48.0	W 27 - 11
Sat 10/12	Penn State at USC	-3.5	51.5	W 33 - 30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Wisconsin	-6.5	47.0	W 28 - 13
Sat 11/2	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 20
Sat 11/9	Penn State vs Washington	-13.5	48.0	W 35 - 6
Sat 11/16	Penn State at Purdue	-30.0	51.5	W 49 - 10
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Minnesota	-11.0	45.0	W 26 - 25
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Maryland	-26.5	50.5	W 44 - 7
Sat 12/7	Penn State vs Oregon	+3.5	51.5	L 37 - 45
Sat 12/21	Penn State vs SMU	-9.0	52.5	W 38 - 10
Tue 12/31	Penn State vs Boise State	-11.5	54.5	W 31 - 14
Thu 1/9	Penn State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	L 24 - 27

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs PSU's DC Tom Allen PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#74 (.18)	41% (81)	27.1	45% (46)	3.06 (81)	137	39% (98)	189	3.65 (87)	#44 (.15)	42% (63)	21.6	48% (119)	36% (11)	3.71 (62)	60.9	1.5	2.2
PSU	#40 (.25)	46% (25)	33.1	49% (17)	3.38 (14)	185	43% (53)	215	4.96 (5)	#8 (.04)	33% (3)	16.5	31% (3)	36% (10)	3.09 (15)	43.3	0.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	41.2%	3.65	1.5	17	326	137	189	4.2	48%	50%	45%	39%	18%	.18
PSU Defense	13	16.5	11	33.1%	3.09	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	31%	36%	23%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.6%	3.71	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	48%	36%	17%	.15
PSU Offense	13	33.1	33.5	46.3%	4.96	0.6	23	400	185	215	4.7	50%	49%	49%	43%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	30:30	16.8	33%	60%	6.9	60.9	1.5	2.2	4.9	2.5	3	33.8
Penn State	13	32:30	22.5	41%	77%	5	43.3	0.6	1.8	7.8	3.8	3	33.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	48% (82)	45% (46)	33	137.4	4.2	22 (51)	.16 (65)	3.06 (81)	80% (18)	13% (121)	1.09 (24)
PSU Defense	13	49% (52)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (7)	2.23 (2)	76% (89)	18% (1)	0.96 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	54% (112)	48% (119)	-	-	-	-	.22 (108)	3.28 (105)	80% (110)	10% (67)	0.95 (41)
PSU Offense	13	50% (65)	49% (17)	39.6	184.8	4.7	26 (30)	.19 (46)	3.38 (14)	73% (77)	7% (8)	0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	50% (60)	39% (98)	16.5	27.5	188.8	6.9	11.5	17 (85)	14 (107)	.27 (72)	1.7 (35)	36% (127)	31% (67)	.29 (82)	6% (54)	2 (82)
PSU Defense	13	50% (77)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (25)	1.7 (94)	39% (2)	26% (19)	.21 (21)	6% (86)	2.1 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	44% (17)	36% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.21 (35)	1.7 (111)	33% (46)	28% (38)	.32 (71)	7% (21)	2.1 (72)
PSU Offense	13	49% (63)	43% (53)	18.9	31.7	215	6.8	11.4	30 (16)	2 (1)	.3 (62)	1.5 (115)	27% (9)	35% (23)	.38 (50)	4% (7)	1.7 (129)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: #NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: #NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Penn State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Penn State: 24.6

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: #NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: -

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 27
Bowling Green 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Penn State	34	Bowling Green	27	Penn State	Penn State -35.5	Bowling Green	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	1	0	1 Overs
Bowling Green	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Bowling Green Notes
(11/25) Bullied Ball St. Finale vs M OH for MAC title gm
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Penn State

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #106

#11

SP+ #77

SP+ Off #79

SP+ Def #75

Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -35.5 (51.5)
Penn State won vs Bowling Green this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Bowling Green last year (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 67° - Wind: 15 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | PSU
Depth Chart: BGSU | PSU
Rosters: BGSU | PSU

(#NR) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Penn State Notes
(11/26) Star OT Donkoh out for season (knee)
(11/23) Dog fight @ Minn. 2 kicks blocked. 3.5 ypc
(11/13) Off much better vs Wash, 220 pass, 266 run
(11/3) WR are bad. Allar OK but has no weapons w/o TE
(11/2) Franklin 1-10 vs top 10. Same shit, diff year
(11/2) Off did not score vs OSU. Allar meh, WR awful
(10/27) QB Allar missed 2nd H Wisconsin game
(10/27) Off efficient and spread out vs Wisky, Def good

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	166	898	6	5.4	73
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Rahkeem Smith	20	128	3	6.4	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Malcolm Johnson Jr.	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rahkeem Smith	25	349	3	14.0	66
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	262	394	67%	3327	24	8	8.4
Beau Pribula	26	35	74%	275	5	1	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	220	1108	8	5.0	32
Nicholas Singleton	172	1099	12	6.4	58
Drew Allar	96	302	6	3.1	22
Beau Pribula	38	242	4	6.4	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Warren	104	1233	8	11.9	38
Harrison Wallace III	47	732	4	15.6	50
Omari Evans	20	403	5	20.2	59
Nicholas Singleton	41	375	5	9.1	27

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
CJ Brown	73	2	0	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	7
Ja'Corey Benjamin	26	1	0	5
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	3

Penn State's DC Tom Allen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Kobe King	87	8	3	1	1
Zakee Wheatley	86	3	1	0	4
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Dani Dennis-Sutton	40	13	9	9	3
Amin Vanover	21	5	4	3	1
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elliot Washington II	25	1	0	6
A.J. Harris	41	3	0	5
Cam Miller	23	3	2	5