Utah State at USC Game Matchup
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (11:00 PM EDT)
USC -30.5 (62.5) (-7500)  Open: -28.5 | 63.5
USC 48 - Utah State: 0

 
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -22)
PPG only: USU: 28 - USC: 34 (62)
USC Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
USU Travel: 640 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Utah State vs Robert Morris W 36 - 14
Sat 9/7 Utah State at USC+30.562.5L 0 - 48
Sat 9/14 Utah State vs Utah+20.543.5L 21 - 38
Sat 9/21 Utah State at Temple-6.553.5L 29 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Utah State at Boise State+28.066.5L 30 - 62
Fri 10/11 Utah State vs UNLV+19.067.5L 34 - 50
Sat 10/19 Utah State vs New Mexico+1.078.5L 45 - 50
Sat 10/26 Utah State at Wyoming-2.557.0W 27 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah State at Washington State+20.569.0L 28 - 49
Sat 11/16 Utah State vs Hawai'i+2.562.0W 55 - 10
Sat 11/23 Utah State vs San Diego State-5.060.0W 41 - 20
Fri 11/29 Utah State at Colorado State+5.556.5L 37 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo vs USC's DC D'Anton Lynn     USC's OC Josh Henson vs USU's DC Nate Dreiling

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#50 (.22)42% (67)31.945% (52)3.36 (19)18442% (68)2543.27 (109)#98 (.23)45% (114)37.849% (124)43% (82)4.41 (119)70.81.91.5
USC#6 (.39)47% (15)30.248% (20)3.19 (52)13447% (21)3334.99 (4)#122 (.29)46% (121)24.149% (125)43% (91)3.55 (49)64.91.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1331.925.242.2%3.271.9224391842544.848%50%45%42%20%.22
USC Defense1324.123.845.8%3.551.2 - - - - - 51%49%49%43%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1337.845.245.4%4.411.5 - - - - - 54%45%49%43%18%.23
USC Offense1330.236.847.5%4.991.3224671343334.841%59%48%47%14%.39

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1326:5621.736%56%7.570.81.91.55.51.8329.2
USC1327:3322.543%61%7.364.91.31.25.51.9330.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1348% (89)45% (52)38.2184.54.818 (77).21 (33)3.36 (19)77% (40)12% (104)1 (68)
USC Defense1351% (83)49% (125) - - - - .29 (128)3.31 (110)73% (64)10% (64)1.07 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1354% (113)49% (124) - - - - .18 (93)3.1 (68)83% (118)11% (39)0.93 (34)
USC Offense1341% (123)48% (20)27.8133.64.833 (8).29 (8)3.19 (52)78% (28)10% (65)1.2 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1350% (56)42% (68)20.733.5254.27.612.335 (7)19 (131).34 (48)1.8 (19)33% (87)33% (53).42 (40)8% (122)2.2 (30)
USC Defense1349% (60)43% (91) - - - - - - 7 (111).32 (98)1.7 (90)31% (87)34% (115).4 (108)4% (129)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1345% (22)43% (82) - - - - - - 10 (67).31 (95)1.6 (71)30% (108)31% (77).31 (70)7% (23)1.9 (32)
USC Offense1359% (10)47% (21)24.235.53339.413.837 (4)6 (14).47 (14)1.7 (20)29% (22)37% (14).65 (4)4% (15)2.3 (12)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: #NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: #NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Utah State's SP+ Ratings
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    USC: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4   USC: 11.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2 #NR
USC's Offense Rating: #NR
USC's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
USC's 2024 Expected Record: -

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 34
Utah State 28

Projected Total Points: 62
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07USC48Utah State0USCUSC -30.5USC62.5Under
201609/10USC45Utah State7USCUSC -14USC54.5Under
201309/21USC17Utah State14USCUSC -7Utah State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC320 Overs
Utah State012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#NR) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Utah State Notes
(12/6) Hired HC Mendenhall, last at NM for 1 yr
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
Utah State     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #115
#17
SP+ #106
#23
SP+ Off #45
#15
SP+ Def #129
#48

Rematch from Week 2
USC -30.5 (62.5)
USC won vs Utah State this year (48-0)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Utah State last year (48-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 82° - Wind: 5 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USU | USC
Depth Chart: USU | USC
Rosters: USU | USC
(#NR) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48
Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms




  
Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Petras21432765%231517117.1
Bryson Barnes7712661%8561266.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison198110985.637
Bryson Barnes6853057.863
Herschel Turner7940545.143
Derrick Jameson1514029.372
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Royals55834615.275
Kyrese Rowan44526312.057
Otto Tia4443479.951
Jack Hestera24340414.232
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

Utah State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Vincent1171012
Ike Larsen802009
Jon Ross Maye574031
John Miller526242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cian Slone4910850
Bronson Olevao234430
Lawrence Falatea286330
John Miller526242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ike Larsen802009
Avante Dickerson192003
Jordan Vincent1171012
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey606215
Akili Arnold591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Kamari Ramsey606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson270005
Kamari Ramsey606215
Zion Branch192103