Maryland at Virginia Game Matchup
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -2.5 (55.5) (-145)  Open: -2.5 | 54.5
Maryland 27 - Virginia: 13

 
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Virginia -7    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: MD: 26 - UVA: 27 (53)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 108 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond W 34 - 13
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MD's OC Josh Gattis vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski     UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs MD's DC Brian Williams

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)23.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)30.444% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)22.742% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)28.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1323.720.644%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24
UVA Defense1228.825.345.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1330.437.240.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
UVA Offense1222.718.741%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Maryland's SP+ Ratings
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -6.85   Virginia: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -3.9   Virginia: -5.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 0 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 27
Maryland 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Virginia13Maryland27MarylandVirginia -2.5Maryland55.5Under
202309/15Maryland42Virginia14MarylandMaryland -16.5Maryland48.5Over
201310/12Maryland27Virginia26MarylandMaryland -5.5Virginia0
201210/13Virginia20Maryland27Maryland
201111/05Maryland13Virginia31Virginia
201011/13Virginia23Maryland42Maryland
200910/17Maryland9Virginia20Virginia
200810/04Virginia31Maryland0Virginia
200710/20Maryland17Virginia18Virginia
200610/14Virginia26Maryland28Maryland
200510/01Maryland45Virginia33Maryland
200411/06Virginia16Maryland0Virginia
200311/13Maryland27Virginia17Maryland
200110/06Maryland41Virginia21Maryland
200010/06Virginia31Maryland23Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia611 Overs
Maryland921 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 71 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams7 - 82 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#89) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Maryland Notes
(12/3) OC Gattis fired, Locksley play calls much worse
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
Maryland     Ratings Matchup     Virginia
Power #89
#69
Off #107
#84
Def #92
#96
Talent #42
#50
SP+ #86
#91
SP+ Off #97
#95
SP+ Def #73
#86

Rematch from Week 3
Virginia -2.5 (55.5)
Maryland won at Virginia this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Virginia last year (27-13)
Maryland beat Virginia in 2023 (42-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 69°

Team Information
Injuries: MD | UVA
Depth Chart: MD | UVA
Rosters: MD | UVA
(#69) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)




  
Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Colby McDonald2915005.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tai Felton961124911.775
Kaden Prather56624411.133
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Tony Muskett457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace11449934.443
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville37394210.639
Trell Harris15221214.745
Kobe Pace2118909.052

Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey453001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Kellan Wyatt297220
Quashon Fuller284201
Taizse Johnson123200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Donnell Brown234053
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Jonas Sanker989214