Illinois at Penn State Game Matchup
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -19.5 (48.0) (-1100)  Open: -18.0
Penn State 21 - Illinois: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -19.5    (SP+ -15)
PPG only: ILL: 22 - PSU: 27 (49)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
ILL Travel: 548 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-28.550.5W 45 - 0
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Kansas+4.558.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Central Michigan-21.549.5W 30 - 9
Fri 9/20 Illinois at Nebraska+9.541.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/28 Illinois at Penn State+19.548.0L 7 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Purdue-22.547.5W 50 - 49
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Michigan+6.044.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Oregon+22.554.0L 9 - 38
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Minnesota+2.547.0L 17 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Michigan State-2.047.5W 38 - 16
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Rutgers+2.048.0W 38 - 31
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-8.542.5W 38 - 28
Tue 12/31 Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs PSU's DC Tom Allen     PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#66 (.2)45% (30)28.344% (56)3.31 (32)12548% (14)2663.9 (71)#85 (.2)44% (102)21.745% (87)45% (110)4.09 (96)62.41.91.3
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)33.149% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)16.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1228.321.345.5%3.91.9203911252663.845%53%44%48%20%.2
PSU Defense1316.51133.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1221.728.544.4%4.091.3 - - - - - 51%49%45%45%15%.2
PSU Offense1333.133.546.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1228:2420.337%54%6.662.41.91.34.81.9226
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1245% (103)44% (56)33125.13.812 (116).07 (108)3.31 (32)67% (109)12% (98)0.84 (125)
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1251% (75)45% (87) - - - - .15 (78)3.27 (104)73% (68)9% (100)0.89 (22)
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1253% (35)48% (14)21.834.5265.97.712.223 (51)13 (97).37 (35)1.5 (108)28% (14)33% (48).36 (63)9% (130)1.9 (108)
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1249% (69)45% (110) - - - - - - 7 (111).28 (76)1.5 (21)31% (78)34% (114).3 (63)6% (62)1.8 (7)
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 6.78   Penn State: 26.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 9.6   Penn State: 24.6




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.26 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 27
Illinois 22

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Penn State21Illinois7Penn StatePenn State -19.5Illinois48.0Under
202309/16Illinois13Penn State30Penn StatePenn State -14Penn State47.5Under
202110/23Penn State18Illinois20IllinoisPenn State -24.5Illinois46.0Under
202012/19Penn State56Illinois21Penn StatePenn State -16Penn State53.5Over
201809/21Illinois24Penn State63Penn StatePenn State -26.5Penn State61.0Over
201510/31Penn State39Illinois0Penn StatePenn State -4Penn State44.5Under
201411/22Illinois16Penn State14IllinoisPenn State -4.5Illinois0
201311/02Penn State24Illinois17Penn StatePenn State -10Illinois0
201209/29Illinois7Penn State35Penn State
201110/29Penn State10Illinois7Penn State
201010/09Penn State13Illinois33Illinois
200910/03Illinois17Penn State35Penn State
200809/27Penn State38Illinois24Penn State
200709/29Illinois27Penn State20Illinois
200610/21Penn State26Illinois12Penn State
200510/22Illinois10Penn State63Penn State
200211/02Penn State18Illinois7Penn State
200111/10Illinois33Penn State28Illinois
200010/20Penn State39Illinois25Penn State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1442 Overs
Illinois544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 73 - 52 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 125 - 32 - 13 - 2

(#39) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Illinois Notes
(11/24) Late W @ Gers, Rgame/Altmyer good, D bad
(11/18) Bounce back W @ MSU, Def great on 3rd, Off OK
(11/2) 2 straight L's, Even w/ Minn, 2 TO's the diff.
(10/31) Lead RB Feagin out for season (hip)
(10/27) Pass game awful, Rgame bad. Two bad games.
(10/19) Pass game awful vs Mich, OG'd by 70, forced 3 TOs
(10/17) OL/DL near worst in B1G. Pass Off only real asset
(10/12) Def torched by Purdue? 530+ yds, 7.5 ypc, woof
Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #39
#6
Off #47
#2
Def #72
#7
Talent #65
#11
SP+ #31
#5
SP+ Off #55
#9
SP+ Def #26
#4

Rematch from Week 5
Penn State -19.5 (48.0)
Penn State won vs Illinois this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Illinois last year (21-7)
Penn State beat Illinois in 2023 (30-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 67° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ILL | PSU
Depth Chart: ILL | PSU
Rosters: ILL | PSU
(#6) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.26 #6
Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0


Penn State Notes
(11/26) Star OT Donkoh out for season (knee)
(11/23) Dog fight @ Minn. 2 kicks blocked. 3.5 ypc
(11/13) Off much better vs Wash, 220 pass, 266 run
(11/3) WR are bad. Allar OK but has no weapons w/o TE
(11/2) Franklin 1-10 vs top 10. Same shit, diff year
(11/2) Off did not score vs OSU. Allar meh, WR awful
(10/27) QB Allar missed 2nd H Wisconsin game
(10/27) Off efficient and spread out vs Wisky, Def good




  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Donovan Leary2540%29005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Zakhari Franklin56658411.844
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Beau Pribula263574%275517.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Beau Pribula3824246.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Harrison Wallace III47732415.650
Omari Evans20403520.259
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
James Kreutz541021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dennis Briggs Jr.425450
Seth Coleman537353
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015
Penn State's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Zakee Wheatley863104
Abdul Carter62241294
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Cam Miller233025