Michigan State at Oregon Game Matchup
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Oregon DucksOregon logo
Friday, October 4th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -22.5 (53.0) (-2100)  Open: -26.5
Oregon 31 - Michigan State: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -31)
PPG only: MSU: 19 - ORE: 31 (50)
ORE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
MSU Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic-12.045.0W 16 - 10
Sat 9/7 Michigan State at Maryland+7.544.5W 27 - 24
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M-42.553.5W 40 - 0
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Boston College+4.545.5L 19 - 23
Sat 9/28 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.548.5L 7 - 38
Fri 10/4 Michigan State at Oregon+22.553.0L 10 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Iowa+7.039.5W 32 - 20
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Michigan+3.539.0L 17 - 24
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.5L 10 - 47
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Illinois+2.047.5L 16 - 38
Fri 11/22 Michigan State vs Purdue-14.049.0W 24 - 17
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Rutgers-1.546.5L 14 - 41
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Oregon's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Oregon vs Idaho W 24 - 14
Sat 9/7 Oregon vs Boise State-17.560.5W 37 - 34
Sat 9/14 Oregon at Oregon State-16.050.0W 49 - 14
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Oregon at UCLA-23.554.5W 34 - 13
Fri 10/4 Oregon vs Michigan State-22.553.0W 31 - 10
Sat 10/12 Oregon vs Ohio State+3.554.5W 32 - 31
Fri 10/18 Oregon at Purdue-30.061.0W 35 - 0
Sat 10/26 Oregon vs Illinois-22.554.0W 38 - 9
Sat 11/2 Oregon at Michigan-14.545.5W 38 - 17
Sat 11/9 Oregon vs Maryland-24.058.0W 39 - 18
Sat 11/16 Oregon at Wisconsin-13.549.5W 16 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Oregon vs Washington-17.550.5W 49 - 21
Sat 12/7 Oregon vs Penn State-3.551.5W 45 - 37
Wed 1/1 Oregon vs Ohio State+2.555.5L 21 - 41
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MSU's OC Brian Lindgren vs ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi     ORE's OC Will Stein vs MSU's DC Joe Rossi

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#131 (.03)38% (115)19.338% (122)2.84 (114)8938% (99)1972.97 (125)#75 (.19)44% (95)26.145% (85)44% (105)3.89 (76)591.81.3
ORE#2 (.49)57% (1)34.957% (2)3.69 (4)17157% (1)3185.11 (1)#19 (.1)38% (30)19.439% (35)39% (27)3.33 (24)59.10.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1219.317.837.6%2.971.817286891972.945%54%38%38%19%.03
ORE Defense1419.419.638.4%3.331.1 - - - - - 39%59%39%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1226.12843.9%3.891.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%44%16%.19
ORE Offense1434.935.756.9%5.110.5244901713185.944%56%57%57%9%.49

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1228:0516.530%50%6.8591.81.35.62.5027.6
Oregon1428:3124.451%74%6.559.10.51.14.82.4129.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1245% (104)38% (122)30.988.72.97 (131)-.03 (131)2.84 (114)76% (50)12% (119)0.85 (124)
ORE Defense1439% (2)39% (35) - - - - .08 (32)3.08 (60)55% (6)9% (96)0.97 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1248% (48)45% (85) - - - - .16 (83)3.28 (106)87% (128)10% (72)0.93 (35)
ORE Offense1444% (107)57% (2)29.1171.45.932 (10).37 (2)3.69 (4)78% (32)6% (3)1.05 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1254% (33)38% (99)18.531.8197.26.210.714 (106)13 (97).17 (101)1.4 (121)35% (113)26% (107).16 (115)7% (105)2 (97)
ORE Defense1459% (132)39% (27) - - - - - - 11 (53).16 (16)1.5 (45)32% (70)30% (60).33 (78)8% (13)2 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1251% (85)44% (105) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (78)1.5 (26)29% (116)32% (92).36 (92)6% (66)2 (58)
ORE Offense1456% (22)57% (1)2633.7318.39.412.244 (1)5 (6).59 (3)1.5 (112)24% (3)43% (3).73 (2)3% (4)2 (70)

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: #NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: #NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49

Michigan State's SP+ Ratings
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Oregon: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -4.6   Oregon: 26.0




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: #NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 1068.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: -

Oregon's SP+ Ratings
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 31
Michigan State 19

Projected Total Points: 50
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/04Oregon31Michigan State10OregonOregon -22.5Michigan State53.0Under
201812/31Oregon7Michigan State6OregonMichigan State -1Oregon47.0Under
201509/12Michigan State31Oregon28Michigan StateMichigan State -5Oregon66.0Under
201409/06Oregon46Michigan State27OregonOregon -11Oregon0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon330 Overs
Michigan State113 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 21 - 21 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 20 - 12 - 1

(#NR) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Michigan State Notes
(11/24) Nearly gagged to Pur, Chiles bad, Rgame meh
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
Michigan State     Ratings Matchup     Oregon
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #34
#4
SP+ #90
#3
SP+ Off #119
#2
SP+ Def #49
#14

Rematch from Week 6
Oregon -22.5 (53.0)
Oregon won vs Michigan State this year (31-10)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Michigan State last year (31-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56°

Team Information
Injuries: MSU | ORE
Depth Chart: MSU | ORE
Rosters: MSU | ORE
(#NR) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Talent Rating: 1068.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Oregon Notes
(11/18) Rgame bad vs Wisc, Gabriel OK, missed WR Tez
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.




  
Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles19232459%241513127.5
Tommy Schuster202969%202007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams13364924.963
Nathan Carter11649954.360
Aidan Chiles9623432.426
Nick Marsh42305.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Marsh41649315.877
Montorie Foster46588312.840
Jack Velling36411111.434
Aziah Johnson16276217.352
Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel32644773%38573068.6
Dante Moore7888%49006.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan James2331267155.441
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Dillon Gabriel7514972.054
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tez Johnson838981010.852
Traeshon Holden45718516.059
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Terrance Ferguson43591313.762

Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Turner6611341
Cal Haladay585101
Nikai Martinez513012
Angelo Grose504102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khris Bogle378460
Jordan Turner6611341
Anthony Jones254250
Ken Talley62220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Brantley272007
Edward Woods494123
Jordan Hall241012
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher877204
Tysheem Johnson583000
Kobe Savage573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Jordan Burch2911945
Teitum Tuioti538631
Derrick Harmon43115102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad3810010
Dontae Manning181006
Jordan Burch2911945