Purdue at Illinois Game Matchup
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -22.5 (47.5) (-1800)  Open: -17.5
Illinois 50 - Purdue: 49  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.2 MPHPUR 2nd straight Road Game
ILL coming off BYE
Our Line: Illinois -27    (SP+ -26)
PPG only: PUR: 19 - ILL: 34 (53)
ILL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Purdue vs Indiana State-35.552.5W 49 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Purdue vs Notre Dame+11.545.5L 7 - 66
Sat 9/21 Purdue at Oregon State+1.551.0L 21 - 38
Sat 9/28 Purdue vs Nebraska+10.047.5L 10 - 28
Sat 10/5 Purdue at Wisconsin+12.044.5L 6 - 52
Sat 10/12 Purdue at Illinois+22.547.5L 49 - 50
Fri 10/18 Purdue vs Oregon+30.061.0L 0 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Purdue vs Northwestern-3.044.5L 20 - 26
Sat 11/9 Purdue at Ohio State+37.555.5L 0 - 45
Sat 11/16 Purdue vs Penn State+30.051.5L 10 - 49
Fri 11/22 Purdue at Michigan State+14.049.0L 17 - 24
Sat 11/30 Purdue at Indiana+28.556.5L 0 - 66
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-28.550.5W 45 - 0
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Kansas+4.558.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Central Michigan-21.549.5W 30 - 9
Fri 9/20 Illinois at Nebraska+9.541.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/28 Illinois at Penn State+19.548.0L 7 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Purdue-22.547.5W 50 - 49
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Michigan+6.044.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Oregon+22.554.0L 9 - 38
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Minnesota+2.547.0L 17 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Michigan State-2.047.5W 38 - 16
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Rutgers+2.048.0W 38 - 31
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-8.542.5W 38 - 28
Tue 12/31 Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

PUR's OC (Int) vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs PUR's DC Kevin Kane

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#86 (.16)42% (60)15.845% (51)3.16 (60)16941% (78)2113.21 (112)#74 (.19)40% (44)39.941% (45)40% (52)4.28 (112)57.61.51.5
ILL#66 (.2)45% (30)28.344% (56)3.31 (32)12548% (14)2663.9 (71)#85 (.2)44% (102)21.745% (87)45% (110)4.09 (96)62.41.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1215.815.542.5%3.211.5203801692114.451%48%45%41%18%.16
ILL Defense1221.717.644.4%4.091.3 - - - - - 51%49%45%45%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1239.945.840.2%4.281.5 - - - - - 51%49%41%40%17%.19
ILL Offense1228.33245.5%3.91.9203911252663.845%53%44%48%20%.2

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1230:2520.436%39%657.61.51.55.82.8129.4
Illinois1228:2420.337%54%6.662.41.91.34.81.9226
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1251% (55)45% (51)38.5168.84.420 (61).15 (69)3.16 (60)54% (133)12% (118)0.98 (76)
ILL Defense1251% (75)45% (87) - - - - .15 (78)3.27 (104)73% (68)9% (100)0.89 (22)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1251% (80)41% (45) - - - - .08 (31)3 (48)68% (41)11% (38)0.97 (53)
ILL Offense1245% (103)44% (56)33125.13.812 (116).07 (108)3.31 (32)67% (109)12% (98)0.84 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1248% (81)41% (78)19.532.7211.26.510.815 (96)10 (56).22 (89)1.5 (111)31% (56)30% (75).31 (75)6% (71)2.1 (58)
ILL Defense1249% (69)45% (110) - - - - - - 7 (111).28 (76)1.5 (21)31% (78)34% (114).3 (63)6% (62)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1249% (56)40% (52) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (102)1.8 (121)33% (50)32% (93).38 (101)6% (73)2.2 (96)
ILL Offense1253% (35)48% (14)21.834.5265.97.712.223 (51)13 (97).37 (35)1.5 (108)28% (14)33% (48).36 (63)9% (130)1.9 (108)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Purdue's SP+ Ratings
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -18.22   Illinois: 8.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -16.2   Illinois: 9.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 8.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 34
Purdue 19

Projected Total Points: 53
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49IllinoisIllinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19PurduePurdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31PurdueIllinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9PurduePurdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31PurduePurdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24IllinoisPurdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46PurduePurdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10PurduePurdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34PurdueIllinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48IllinoisIllinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38PurdueIllinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20IllinoisIllinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20Purdue
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14Purdue
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10Illinois
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14Purdue
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42Purdue
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3Purdue
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38Purdue
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10Purdue
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31Illinois
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois735 Overs
Purdue1584 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 123 - 82 - 61 - 2
Road Teams12 - 108 - 32 - 16 - 2

(#120) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0


Purdue Notes
(12/8) Hired HC Barry Odom (UNLV)
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #120
#39
Off #94
#47
Def #134
#72
Talent #45
#65
SP+ #121
#31
SP+ Off #116
#55
SP+ Def #110
#26

Rematch from Week 7
Illinois -22.5 (47.5)
Illinois won vs Purdue this year (50-49)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2022 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84° - Wind: 16 mph


Team Information
Injuries: PUR | ILL
Depth Chart: PUR | ILL
Rosters: PUR | ILL
(#39) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Illinois Notes
(11/24) Late W @ Gers, Rgame/Altmyer good, D bad
(11/18) Bounce back W @ MSU, Def great on 3rd, Off OK
(11/2) 2 straight L's, Even w/ Minn, 2 TO's the diff.
(10/31) Lead RB Feagin out for season (hip)
(10/27) Pass game awful, Rgame bad. Two bad games.
(10/19) Pass game awful vs Mich, OG'd by 70, forced 3 TOs
(10/17) OL/DL near worst in B1G. Pass Off only real asset
(10/12) Def torched by Purdue? 530+ yds, 7.5 ypc, woof




  
Purdue's OC (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card14424858%1641976.6
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Reggie Love III8337224.522
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Elijah Jackson697116.269
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Klare51685413.462
Jahmal Edrine23365215.953
Jaron Tibbs25305212.238
Devin Mockobee17170110.021
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Donovan Leary2540%29005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Zakhari Franklin56658411.844
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Yanni Karlaftis572121
Will Heldt5610550
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Will Heldt5610550
Nyland Green232205
Cole Brevard196200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Nyland Green232205
Kyndrich Breedlove402014
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
James Kreutz541021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dennis Briggs Jr.425450
Seth Coleman537353
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015