Rutgers at USC Game Matchup
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at USC TrojansUSC logo
Friday, October 25th 2024 (11:00 PM EDT)
USC -14.0 (57.0) (-650)  Open: -14.5 | 56.0
USC 42 - Rutgers: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: USC -5.5    (SP+ -6)
PPG only: RUTG: 27 - USC: 28 (55)
USC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
RUTG Travel: 2426 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca vs USC's DC D'Anton Lynn     USC's OC Josh Henson vs RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#107 (.12)40% (91)28.943% (65)3.03 (84)16935% (118)1383.95 (62)#43 (.14)45% (104)25.448% (123)42% (69)3.48 (44)45.211.4
USC#6 (.39)47% (15)30.248% (20)3.19 (52)13447% (21)3334.99 (4)#122 (.29)46% (121)24.149% (125)43% (91)3.55 (49)64.91.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1328.92540.1%3.951173061691384.262%38%43%35%12%.12
USC Defense1324.123.845.8%3.551.2 - - - - - 51%49%49%43%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1325.42244.6%3.481.4 - - - - - 52%47%48%42%15%.14
USC Offense1330.236.847.5%4.991.3224671343334.841%59%48%47%14%.39

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1331:4817.537%64%5.145.211.43.81.5130
USC1327:3322.543%61%7.364.91.31.25.51.9330.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1362% (7)43% (65)39.8168.84.224 (41).16 (64)3.03 (84)77% (38)7% (11)0.95 (94)
USC Defense1351% (83)49% (125) - - - - .29 (128)3.31 (110)73% (64)10% (64)1.07 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1352% (99)48% (123) - - - - .12 (54)3.2 (91)71% (53)8% (122)0.77 (4)
USC Offense1341% (123)48% (20)27.8133.64.833 (8).29 (8)3.19 (52)78% (28)10% (65)1.2 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1338% (126)35% (118)10.922.6137.56.112.610 (120)8 (30).07 (126)1.7 (46)30% (42)33% (52).34 (64)5% (19)1.8 (127)
USC Defense1349% (60)43% (91) - - - - - - 7 (111).32 (98)1.7 (90)31% (87)34% (115).4 (108)4% (129)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1347% (33)42% (69) - - - - - - 9 (87).22 (40)1.4 (5)30% (111)30% (65).17 (8)6% (55)1.7 (5)
USC Offense1359% (10)47% (21)24.235.53339.413.837 (4)6 (14).47 (14)1.7 (20)29% (22)37% (14).65 (4)4% (15)2.3 (12)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 742.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Rutgers's SP+ Ratings
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77   USC: 9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4   USC: 11.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.42 #37
USC's Offense Rating: 20.62 #60
USC's Defense Rating: 10.19 #74
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
USC's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
USC 28
Rutgers 27

Projected Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/25USC42Rutgers20USCUSC -14.0USC57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC111 Overs
Rutgers000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#47) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 742.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0


Rutgers Notes
(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
Rutgers     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #47
#37
Off #57
#60
Def #70
#74
Talent #44
#17
SP+ #42
#23
SP+ Off #58
#15
SP+ Def #38
#48

Rematch from Week 9
USC -14.0 (57.0)
USC won vs Rutgers this year (42-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Rutgers last year (42-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | USC
Depth Chart: RUTG | USC
Rosters: RUTG | USC
(#37) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.42 #37
Offense Rating: 20.62 #60
Defense Rating: 10.19 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48
Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0


USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms




  
Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
Tyreem Powell564032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Dariel Djabome1008441
Aaron Lewis274362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey606215
Akili Arnold591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Kamari Ramsey606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson270005
Kamari Ramsey606215
Zion Branch192103