Minnesota at Illinois Game Matchup
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -2.5 (47.0) (-142)  Open: -2.5
Minnesota 25 - Illinois: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Minnesota -1    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: MINN: 24 - ILL: 23 (47)
MINN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 422 miles
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-28.550.5W 45 - 0
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Kansas+4.558.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Central Michigan-21.549.5W 30 - 9
Fri 9/20 Illinois at Nebraska+9.541.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/28 Illinois at Penn State+19.548.0L 7 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Purdue-22.547.5W 50 - 49
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Michigan+6.044.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Oregon+22.554.0L 9 - 38
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Minnesota+2.547.0L 17 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Michigan State-2.047.5W 38 - 16
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Rutgers+2.048.0W 38 - 31
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-8.542.5W 38 - 28
Tue 12/31 Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs MINN's DC Corey Hetherman

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)26.244% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)16.945% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
ILL#66 (.2)45% (30)28.344% (56)3.31 (32)12548% (14)2663.9 (71)#85 (.2)44% (102)21.745% (87)45% (110)4.09 (96)62.41.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.640.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09
ILL Defense1221.717.644.4%4.091.3 - - - - - 51%49%45%45%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.842.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
ILL Offense1228.33245.5%3.91.9203911252663.845%53%44%48%20%.2

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
Illinois1228:2420.337%54%6.662.41.91.34.81.9226
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)
ILL Defense1251% (75)45% (87) - - - - .15 (78)3.27 (104)73% (68)9% (100)0.89 (22)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
ILL Offense1245% (103)44% (56)33125.13.812 (116).07 (108)3.31 (32)67% (109)12% (98)0.84 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)
ILL Defense1249% (69)45% (110) - - - - - - 7 (111).28 (76)1.5 (21)31% (78)34% (114).3 (63)6% (62)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
ILL Offense1253% (35)48% (14)21.834.5265.97.712.223 (51)13 (97).37 (35)1.5 (108)28% (14)33% (48).36 (63)9% (130)1.9 (108)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Minnesota's SP+ Ratings
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69   Illinois: 8.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4   Illinois: 9.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 8.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 24
Illinois 23

Projected Total Points: 47
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Illinois17Minnesota25MinnesotaMinnesota -2.5Minnesota47.0Under
202311/04Minnesota26Illinois27IllinoisMinnesota -1.5Illinois43.0Over
202210/15Illinois26Minnesota14IllinoisMinnesota -4.5Illinois40.0Push
202111/06Minnesota6Illinois14IllinoisMinnesota -14.5Illinois44.5Under
202011/07Illinois14Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -7.5Minnesota64.5Under
201910/05Minnesota40Illinois17MinnesotaMinnesota -14Minnesota58.0Under
201811/03Illinois55Minnesota31IllinoisMinnesota -8.5Illinois61.5Over
201710/21Minnesota24Illinois17MinnesotaMinnesota -14.5Illinois48.5Under
201610/29Illinois17Minnesota40MinnesotaMinnesota -10Minnesota46.5Over
201511/21Minnesota32Illinois23MinnesotaMinnesota -4.5Minnesota47.0Over
201410/25Illinois28Minnesota24IllinoisMinnesota -6.5Illinois0
201211/10Illinois3Minnesota17Minnesota
201111/26Minnesota27Illinois7Minnesota
201011/13Illinois34Minnesota38Minnesota
200911/07Minnesota32Illinois35Illinois
200810/11Illinois20Minnesota27Minnesota
200711/03Minnesota17Illinois44Illinois
200410/23Minnesota45Illinois0Minnesota
200310/25Illinois10Minnesota36Minnesota
200210/03Minnesota31Illinois10Minnesota
200110/06Illinois25Minnesota14Illinois
200009/29Minnesota44Illinois10Minnesota
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois864 Overs
Minnesota1455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams11 - 116 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#32) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Minnesota Notes
(11/29) Killed Wisky. R Def all 24 car/36 yds. QB/RB good
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
Minnesota     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #32
#39
Off #37
#47
Def #14
#72
Talent #27
#65
SP+ #27
#31
SP+ Off #79
#55
SP+ Def #11
#26

Rematch from Week 10
Minnesota 2.5 (47.0)
Minnesota won at Illinois this year (25-17)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois last year (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2022 (26-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MINN | ILL
Depth Chart: MINN | ILL
Rosters: MINN | ILL
(#39) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Illinois Notes
(11/24) Late W @ Gers, Rgame/Altmyer good, D bad
(11/18) Bounce back W @ MSU, Def great on 3rd, Off OK
(11/2) 2 straight L's, Even w/ Minn, 2 TO's the diff.
(10/31) Lead RB Feagin out for season (hip)
(10/27) Pass game awful, Rgame bad. Two bad games.
(10/19) Pass game awful vs Mich, OG'd by 70, forced 3 TOs
(10/17) OL/DL near worst in B1G. Pass Off only real asset
(10/12) Def torched by Purdue? 530+ yds, 7.5 ypc, woof




  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major7835234.540
Jaren Mangham1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer52685613.229
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Donovan Leary2540%29005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Zakhari Franklin56658411.844
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Danny Striggow526561
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Henderson449611
Anthony Smith27126101
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Ethan Robinson423009
Jah Joyner326597
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
James Kreutz541021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dennis Briggs Jr.425450
Seth Coleman537353
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015