Northwestern at Purdue Game Matchup
Northwestern logo Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -3 (44.5) (-142)  Open: -1.5
Northwestern 26 - Purdue: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NW 2nd straight Road Game
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Northwestern -6.5    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: NW: 29 - PUR: 21 (50)
PUR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NW Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-4.043.0W 13 - 6
Fri 9/6 Northwestern vs Duke-2.537.5L 20 - 26
Sat 9/14 Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois-26.538.5W 31 - 7
Sat 9/21 Northwestern at Washington+11.542.5L 5 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Northwestern vs Indiana+12.540.5L 24 - 41
Fri 10/11 Northwestern at Maryland+11.045.0W 37 - 10
Sat 10/19 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+9.542.5L 3 - 23
Sat 10/26 Northwestern at Iowa+16.538.5L 14 - 40
Sat 11/2 Northwestern at Purdue+3.044.5W 26 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Northwestern vs Ohio State+28.043.5L 7 - 31
Sat 11/23 Northwestern at Michigan+10.535.5L 6 - 50
Sat 11/30 Northwestern vs Illinois+8.542.5L 28 - 38
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Purdue's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Purdue vs Indiana State-35.552.5W 49 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Purdue vs Notre Dame+11.545.5L 7 - 66
Sat 9/21 Purdue at Oregon State+1.551.0L 21 - 38
Sat 9/28 Purdue vs Nebraska+10.047.5L 10 - 28
Sat 10/5 Purdue at Wisconsin+12.044.5L 6 - 52
Sat 10/12 Purdue at Illinois+22.547.5L 49 - 50
Fri 10/18 Purdue vs Oregon+30.061.0L 0 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Purdue vs Northwestern-3.044.5L 20 - 26
Sat 11/9 Purdue at Ohio State+37.555.5L 0 - 45
Sat 11/16 Purdue vs Penn State+30.051.5L 10 - 49
Fri 11/22 Purdue at Michigan State+14.049.0L 17 - 24
Sat 11/30 Purdue at Indiana+28.556.5L 0 - 66
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NW's OC Zach Lujan vs PUR's DC Kevin Kane     PUR's OC (Int) vs NW's DC Tim McGarigle

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#113 (.1)38% (110)17.839% (109)2.63 (129)10238% (102)2024.11 (48)#33 (.14)43% (83)26.343% (73)44% (94)3.65 (56)42.60.71.8
PUR#86 (.16)42% (60)15.845% (51)3.16 (60)16941% (78)2113.21 (112)#74 (.19)40% (44)39.941% (45)40% (52)4.28 (112)57.61.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1317.817.638.3%4.110.7173041022022.949%51%39%38%16%.1
PUR Defense1239.93440.2%4.281.5 - - - - - 51%49%41%40%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1326.328.843.1%3.651.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%44%14%.14
PUR Offense1215.81642.5%3.211.5203801692114.451%48%45%41%18%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1328:3416.840%21%5.342.60.71.84.21.9029.7
Purdue1230:2520.436%39%657.61.51.55.82.8129.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1349% (79)39% (109)35.2101.92.913 (108).05 (120)2.63 (129)70% (97)11% (88)0.83 (128)
PUR Defense1251% (80)41% (45) - - - - .08 (31)3 (48)68% (41)11% (38)0.97 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1354% (115)43% (73) - - - - .09 (36)3.12 (73)69% (43)9% (105)0.92 (31)
PUR Offense1251% (55)45% (51)38.5168.84.420 (61).15 (69)3.16 (60)54% (133)12% (118)0.98 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1351% (51)38% (102)18.529.92026.810.920 (70)8 (30).18 (100)1.6 (62)35% (116)29% (84).36 (59)5% (23)2.2 (25)
PUR Defense1249% (56)40% (52) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (102)1.8 (121)33% (50)32% (93).38 (101)6% (73)2.2 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1345% (20)44% (94) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (39)1.4 (9)29% (123)32% (102).31 (68)5% (101)1.8 (9)
PUR Offense1248% (81)41% (78)19.532.7211.26.510.815 (96)10 (56).22 (89)1.5 (111)31% (56)30% (75).31 (75)6% (71)2.1 (58)

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Northwestern's SP+ Ratings
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -9.92   Purdue: -16.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -8.2   Purdue: -16.2




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -16.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0

Purdue's SP+ Ratings
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.6
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 29
Purdue 21

Projected Total Points: 50
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26NorthwesternPurdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15NorthwesternNorthwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9PurduePurdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32PurduePurdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27NorthwesternNorthwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24PurduePurdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31NorthwesternPurdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13NorthwesternNorthwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45NorthwesternNorthwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14NorthwesternNorthwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38NorthwesternNorthwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20Purdue
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27Northwestern
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26Northwestern
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17Purdue
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31Purdue
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34Northwestern
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10Northwestern
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14Purdue
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42Purdue
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27Purdue
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1034 Overs
Northwestern1286 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 132 - 92 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 99 - 24 - 05 - 2

(#100) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Northwestern Notes
(8/4) Home games @ practice field. Wind factor
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
Northwestern     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #100
#120
Off #125
#94
Def #83
#134
Talent #50
#45
SP+ #101
#121
SP+ Off #124
#116
SP+ Def #51
#110

Rematch from Week 10
Purdue -3.0 (44.5)
Northwestern won at Purdue this year (26-20)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)
Purdue beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NW | PUR
Depth Chart: NW | PUR
Rosters: NW | PUR
(#120) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.22 #120
Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0


Purdue Notes
(12/8) Hired HC Barry Odom (UNLV)
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?




  
Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Lausch15929654%1714785.8
Mike Wright396758%356015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter12650164.044
Joseph Himon II5225724.951
Jack Lausch8721322.429
Caleb Komolafe5013902.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Henning59603410.246
Bryce Kirtz39598015.355
Thomas Gordon2725219.326
Cam Porter2317407.628
Purdue's OC (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card14424858%1641976.6
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Reggie Love III8337224.522
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Elijah Jackson697116.269
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Klare51685413.462
Jahmal Edrine23365215.953
Jaron Tibbs25305212.238
Devin Mockobee17170110.021

Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Uihlein844201
Xander Mueller575114
Theran Johnson5340010
Devin Turner512003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard337671
Anto Saka155440
Michael Kilbane203300
Mac Uihlein844201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Theran Johnson5340010
Josh Fussell391005
Xander Mueller575114
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Yanni Karlaftis572121
Will Heldt5610550
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Will Heldt5610550
Nyland Green232205
Cole Brevard196200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Nyland Green232205
Kyndrich Breedlove402014