Ohio State at Penn State Game Matchup
Ohio State logo Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -3 (47.5) (-162)  Open: -4.0
Ohio State 20 - Penn State: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Ohio State -6    (SP+ -6.5)
PPG only: OSU: 26 - PSU: 23 (49)
OSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 277 miles
Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Ohio State vs Akron-50.558.5W 52 - 6
Sat 9/7 Ohio State vs Western Michigan-37.554.5W 56 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Ohio State vs Marshall-40.057.0W 49 - 14
Sat 9/28 Ohio State at Michigan State-23.548.5W 38 - 7
Sat 10/5 Ohio State vs Iowa-17.046.0W 35 - 7
Sat 10/12 Ohio State at Oregon-3.554.5L 31 - 32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Ohio State vs Nebraska-25.048.5W 21 - 17
Sat 11/2 Ohio State at Penn State-3.047.5W 20 - 13
Sat 11/9 Ohio State vs Purdue-37.555.5W 45 - 0
Sat 11/16 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.043.5W 31 - 7
Sat 11/23 Ohio State vs Indiana-10.552.5W 38 - 15
Sat 11/30 Ohio State vs Michigan-20.541.5L 10 - 13
Sat 12/21 Ohio State vs Tennessee-7.547.0W 42 - 17
Wed 1/1 Ohio State vs Oregon-2.555.5W 41 - 21
Fri 1/10 Ohio State vs Texas-6.551.5W 28 - 14
Mon 1/20 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-8.545.5W 34 - 23
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

OSU's OC Chip Kelly vs PSU's DC Tom Allen     PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs OSU's DC Jim Knowles

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#14 (.31)47% (22)35.745% (49)3.18 (57)13949% (12)2694.21 (36)#5 (.03)36% (11)12.935% (12)37% (17)2.69 (5)44.510.8
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)33.149% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)16.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1335.729.746.6%4.211214081392694.248%51%45%49%14%.31
PSU Defense1316.51133.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1312.917.335.8%2.690.8 - - - - - 51%49%35%37%15%.03
PSU Offense1333.133.546.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1329:2520.943%56%5.744.510.84.81.7328.8
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1348% (83)45% (49)33.2138.84.220 (61).15 (72)3.18 (57)78% (34)7% (14)0.84 (126)
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1351% (85)35% (12) - - - - .04 (18)3.02 (52)58% (7)9% (103)0.98 (56)
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1351% (49)49% (12)19.630.8269.18.813.726 (31)7 (21).5 (10)1.7 (44)28% (12)34% (33).48 (23)7% (95)2 (99)
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1349% (62)37% (17) - - - - - - 7 (111).04 (1)1.4 (2)33% (51)26% (21).15 (6)7% (47)1.8 (13)
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Ohio State's SP+ Ratings
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 32.14   Penn State: 26.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.2   Penn State: 24.6




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.26 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 26
Penn State 23

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Penn State13Ohio State20Ohio StateOhio State -3Ohio State47.5Under
202310/21Ohio State20Penn State12Ohio StateOhio State -4.0Ohio State47.0Under
202210/29Penn State31Ohio State44Ohio StateOhio State -15.5Penn State60.5Over
202110/30Ohio State33Penn State24Ohio StateOhio State -18.5Penn State60.5Under
202010/31Penn State25Ohio State38Ohio StateOhio State -13.0NA0
201911/23Ohio State28Penn State17Ohio StateOhio State -20.0Penn State59.0Under
201809/29Penn State26Ohio State27Ohio StateOhio State -3Penn State68.5Under
201710/28Ohio State39Penn State38Ohio StateOhio State -7Penn State57.5Over
201610/22Penn State24Ohio State21Penn StateOhio State -20Penn State55.0Under
201510/17Ohio State38Penn State10Ohio StateOhio State -17.5Ohio State49.0Under
201410/25Penn State24Ohio State31Ohio StateOhio State -11.5Penn State0
201310/26Ohio State63Penn State14Ohio StateOhio State -14Ohio State0
201210/27Penn State23Ohio State35Ohio State
201111/19Ohio State14Penn State20Penn State
201011/13Ohio State38Penn State14Ohio State
200911/07Penn State7Ohio State24Ohio State
200810/25Ohio State6Penn State13Penn State
200710/27Penn State17Ohio State37Ohio State
200609/23Ohio State28Penn State6Ohio State
200510/08Penn State17Ohio State10Penn State
200410/30Ohio State21Penn State10Ohio State
200311/01Penn State20Ohio State21Ohio State
200210/26Ohio State13Penn State7Ohio State
200110/27Penn State29Ohio State27Penn State
200009/22Ohio State45Penn State6Ohio State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State572 Overs
Ohio State2047 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 43 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 144 - 71 - 43 - 3

(#1) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0


Ohio State Notes
(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
Ohio State     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #1
#6
Off #5
#2
Def #1
#7
Talent #5
#11
SP+ #1
#5
SP+ Off #3
#9
SP+ Def #1
#4

Rematch from Week 10
Ohio State 3.0 (47.5)
Ohio State won at Penn State this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Penn State last year (20-13)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2023 (20-12)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2022 (44-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 52°

Team Information
Injuries: OSU | PSU
Depth Chart: OSU | PSU
Rosters: OSU | PSU
(#6) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.26 #6
Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0


Penn State Notes
(11/26) Star OT Donkoh out for season (knee)
(11/23) Dog fight @ Minn. 2 kicks blocked. 3.5 ypc
(11/13) Off much better vs Wash, 220 pass, 266 run
(11/3) WR are bad. Allar OK but has no weapons w/o TE
(11/2) Franklin 1-10 vs top 10. Same shit, diff year
(11/2) Off did not score vs OSU. Allar meh, WR awful
(10/27) QB Allar missed 2nd H Wisconsin game
(10/27) Off efficient and spread out vs Wisky, Def good




  
Ohio State's OC Chip Kelly
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard30942373%401035109.5
Devin Brown112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins1941060145.586
TreVeyon Henderson1441016107.166
Will Howard10522672.219
James Peoples4919724.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith7613151517.370
Emeka Egbuka8110111012.568
Carnell Tate52733414.140
TreVeyon Henderson27284110.575
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Beau Pribula263574%275517.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Beau Pribula3824246.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Harrison Wallace III47732415.650
Omari Evans20403520.259
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127

Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Caleb Downs818116
Lathan Ransom759112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun452009
Jordan Hancock482118
Cody Simon11213707
Penn State's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Zakee Wheatley863104
Abdul Carter62241294
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Cam Miller233025