Nebraska at USC Game Matchup
Nebraska logo Nebraska Cornhuskers at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
USC -6.5 (51.0) (-250)  Open: -9.0
USC 28 - Nebraska: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB coming off BYE
USC coming off BYE
Our Line: USC -0.5    (SP+ -6)
PPG only: NEB: 24 - USC: 25 (49)
USC Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NEB Travel: 1270 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Nebraska vs UTEP-27.549.0W 40 - 7
Sat 9/7 Nebraska vs Colorado-6.555.0W 28 - 10
Sat 9/14 Nebraska vs Northern Iowa-30.549.5W 34 - 3
Fri 9/20 Nebraska vs Illinois-9.541.5L 24 - 31
Sat 9/28 Nebraska at Purdue-10.047.5W 28 - 10
Sat 10/5 Nebraska vs Rutgers-7.039.5W 14 - 7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Nebraska at Indiana+6.548.0L 7 - 56
Sat 10/26 Nebraska at Ohio State+25.048.5L 17 - 21
Sat 11/2 Nebraska vs UCLA-7.538.5L 20 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Nebraska at USC+6.551.0L 20 - 28
Sat 11/23 Nebraska vs Wisconsin-1.540.5W 44 - 25
Fri 11/29 Nebraska at Iowa+3.541.5L 10 - 13
Sat 12/28 Nebraska vs Boston College-3.047.5W 20 - 15
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield vs USC's DC D'Anton Lynn     USC's OC Josh Henson vs NEB's DC Tony White

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#105 (.13)38% (111)23.542% (84)3.31 (33)17734% (125)1363.33 (104)#18 (.1)38% (22)19.537% (18)39% (31)3.09 (16)42.32.61.2
USC#6 (.39)47% (15)30.248% (20)3.19 (52)13447% (21)3334.99 (4)#122 (.29)46% (121)24.149% (125)43% (91)3.55 (49)64.91.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Offense1223.516.438.1%3.332.6163131771364.462%36%42%34%22%.13
USC Defense1324.123.845.8%3.551.2 - - - - - 51%49%49%43%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Defense1219.525.637.6%3.091.2 - - - - - 43%56%37%39%20%.1
USC Offense1330.236.847.5%4.991.3224671343334.841%59%48%47%14%.39

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nebraska1230:5316.438%50%542.32.61.26.32.7029
USC1327:3322.543%61%7.364.91.31.25.51.9330.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Offense1262% (5)42% (84)39.8176.84.416 (89).12 (84)3.31 (33)76% (51)14% (129)0.99 (72)
USC Defense1351% (83)49% (125) - - - - .29 (128)3.31 (110)73% (64)10% (64)1.07 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Defense1243% (8)37% (18) - - - - .03 (16)3.15 (81)73% (70)12% (22)0.77 (3)
USC Offense1341% (123)48% (20)27.8133.64.833 (8).29 (8)3.19 (52)78% (28)10% (65)1.2 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Offense1236% (129)34% (125)11.321.8135.96.31210 (120)16 (121).24 (85)1.9 (7)34% (100)25% (118).28 (84)7% (110)2.4 (5)
USC Defense1349% (60)43% (91) - - - - - - 7 (111).32 (98)1.7 (90)31% (87)34% (115).4 (108)4% (129)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Defense1256% (126)39% (31) - - - - - - 9 (87).2 (31)1.5 (35)35% (25)26% (20).27 (44)8% (17)2.1 (83)
USC Offense1359% (10)47% (21)24.235.53339.413.837 (4)6 (14).47 (14)1.7 (20)29% (22)37% (14).65 (4)4% (15)2.3 (12)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Nebraska's SP+ Ratings
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73   USC: 9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5   USC: 11.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.42 #37
USC's Offense Rating: 20.62 #60
USC's Defense Rating: 10.19 #74
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
USC's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 25
Nebraska 24

Projected Total Points: 49
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16USC28Nebraska20USCUSC -6.5USC51.0Under
201412/27USC45Nebraska42USCUSC -7Nebraska63.0Over
200709/15Nebraska31USC49USC
200609/16USC28Nebraska10USC
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC411 Overs
Nebraska011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#34) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0


Nebraska Notes
(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
Nebraska     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #34
#37
Off #53
#60
Def #26
#74
Talent #12
#17
SP+ #45
#23
SP+ Off #99
#15
SP+ Def #12
#48

Rematch from Week 12
USC -6.5 (51.0)
USC won vs Nebraska this year (28-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Nebraska last year (28-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NEB | USC
Depth Chart: NEB | USC
Rosters: NEB | USC
(#37) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.42 #37
Offense Rating: 20.62 #60
Defense Rating: 10.19 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48
Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0


USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms




  
Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola27440967%280613116.9
Heinrich Haarberg101856%101015.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dante Dowdell143614124.338
Emmett Johnson11759815.142
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jacory Barney Jr.10130313.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks44587313.331
Isaiah Neyor34455513.459
Jacory Barney Jr.5544708.140
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford734011
DeShon Singleton711003
John Bullock7010435
Mikai Gbayor496133
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
James Williams146540
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman295440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright391116
John Bullock7010435
Marques Buford351005
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey606215
Akili Arnold591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Kamari Ramsey606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson270005
Kamari Ramsey606215
Zion Branch192103