Ohio State vs Northwestern Game Matchup

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -28 (43.5) (-9000) Open: -30.5
Ohio State 31 - Northwestern: 7 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 15 MPHNW coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio State -42 (SP+ -39.5)
PPG only: OSU: 31 - NW: 15 (46)
OSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
OSU Travel: 282 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Ohio State vs Akron	-50.5	58.5	W 52 - 6
Sat 9/7	Ohio State vs Western Michigan	-37.5	54.5	W 56 - 0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Ohio State vs Marshall	-40.0	57.0	W 49 - 14
Sat 9/28	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 7
Sat 10/5	Ohio State vs Iowa	-17.0	46.0	W 35 - 7
Sat 10/12	Ohio State at Oregon	-3.5	54.5	L 31 - 32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-25.0	48.5	W 21 - 17
Sat 11/2	Ohio State at Penn State	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 13
Sat 11/9	Ohio State vs Purdue	-37.5	55.5	W 45 - 0
Sat 11/16	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-28.0	43.5	W 31 - 7
Sat 11/23	Ohio State vs Indiana	-10.5	52.5	W 38 - 15
Sat 11/30	Ohio State vs Michigan	-20.5	41.5	L 10 - 13
Sat 12/21	Ohio State vs Tennessee	-7.5	47.0	W 42 - 17
Wed 1/1	Ohio State vs Oregon	-2.5	55.5	W 41 - 21
Fri 1/10	Ohio State vs Texas	-6.5	51.5	W 28 - 14
Mon 1/20	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-8.5	45.5	W 34 - 23

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Northwestern's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Northwestern vs Miami (OH)	-4.0	43.0	W 13 - 6
Fri 9/6	Northwestern vs Duke	-2.5	37.5	L 20 - 26
Sat 9/14	Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois	-26.5	38.5	W 31 - 7
Sat 9/21	Northwestern at Washington	+11.5	42.5	L 5 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Northwestern vs Indiana	+12.5	40.5	L 24 - 41
Fri 10/11	Northwestern at Maryland	+11.0	45.0	W 37 - 10
Sat 10/19	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+9.5	42.5	L 3 - 23
Sat 10/26	Northwestern at Iowa	+16.5	38.5	L 14 - 40
Sat 11/2	Northwestern at Purdue	+3.0	44.5	W 26 - 20
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+28.0	43.5	L 7 - 31
Sat 11/23	Northwestern at Michigan	+10.5	35.5	L 6 - 50
Sat 11/30	Northwestern vs Illinois	+8.5	42.5	L 28 - 38

OSU's OC Chip Kelly vs NW's DC Tim McGarigle NW's OC Zach Lujan vs OSU's DC Jim Knowles

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	35.7	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	12.9	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
NW	#113 (.1)	38% (110)	17.8	39% (109)	2.63 (129)	102	38% (102)	202	4.11 (48)	#33 (.14)	43% (83)	26.3	43% (73)	44% (94)	3.65 (56)	42.6	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	35.7	29.7	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
NW Defense	13	26.3	26.3	43.1%	3.65	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	43%	44%	14%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	12.9	17.3	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
NW Offense	13	17.8	17.8	38.3%	4.11	0.7	17	304	102	202	2.9	49%	51%	39%	38%	16%	.1

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Northwestern	13	28:34	16.8	40%	21%	5.3	42.6	0.7	1.8	4.2	1.9	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
NW Defense	13	54% (115)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.09 (36)	3.12 (73)	69% (43)	9% (105)	0.92 (31)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
NW Offense	13	49% (79)	39% (109)	35.2	101.9	2.9	13 (108)	.05 (120)	2.63 (129)	70% (97)	11% (88)	0.83 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
NW Defense	13	45% (20)	44% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.22 (39)	1.4 (9)	29% (123)	32% (102)	.31 (68)	5% (101)	1.8 (9)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
NW Offense	13	51% (51)	38% (102)	18.5	29.9	202	6.8	10.9	20 (70)	8 (30)	.18 (100)	1.6 (62)	35% (116)	29% (84)	.36 (59)	5% (23)	2.2 (25)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Ohio State's SP+ Ratings
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 32.14 Northwestern: -9.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.2 Northwestern: -8.2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Northwestern's SP+ Ratings
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Northwestern 15

Projected Total Points: 46

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Northwestern	7	Ohio State	31	Ohio State	Ohio State -28	Northwestern	43.5	Under
2022	11/05	Northwestern	7	Ohio State	21	Ohio State	Ohio State -37.5	Northwestern	55.0	Under
2020	12/19	Ohio State	22	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	Ohio State -16.5	Northwestern	57.5	Under
2019	10/18	Northwestern	3	Ohio State	52	Ohio State	Ohio State -26.5	Ohio State	50.0	Over
2018	12/01	Ohio State	45	Northwestern	24	Ohio State	Ohio State -16.5	Ohio State	62.5	Over
2016	10/29	Ohio State	24	Northwestern	20	Ohio State	Ohio State -24	Northwestern	53.5	Under
2013	10/05	Northwestern	30	Ohio State	40	Ohio State	Ohio State -5.5	Ohio State	0
2008	11/08	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	45	Ohio State
2007	09/22	Ohio State	58	Northwestern	7	Ohio State
2006	11/11	Northwestern	10	Ohio State	54	Ohio State
2005	11/12	Ohio State	48	Northwestern	7	Ohio State
2004	10/02	Northwestern	33	Ohio State	27	Northwestern
2003	09/27	Ohio State	20	Northwestern	0	Ohio State
2002	10/05	Northwestern	16	Ohio State	27	Ohio State
2001	10/06	Ohio State	38	Northwestern	20	Ohio State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	1	4	2 Overs
Ohio State	14	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1

(#1) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0

Ohio State Notes
(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive

Ohio State Ratings Matchup Northwestern

Power #1

#100

Off #5

#125

Def #1

#83

Talent #5

#50

SP+ #1

#101

SP+ Off #3

#124

SP+ Def #1

#51

Rematch from Week 12
Ohio State 28.0 (43.5)
Ohio State won at Northwestern this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Northwestern last year (31-7)
Ohio State beat Northwestern in 2022 (21-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54° - Wind: 15 mph

Team Information
Injuries: OSU | NW
Depth Chart: OSU | NW
Rosters: OSU | NW

(#100) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Northwestern Notes
(8/4) Home games @ practice field. Wind factor
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright

Ohio State's OC Chip Kelly

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5
Devin Brown	11	20	55%	114	1	0	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	194	1060	14	5.5	86
TreVeyon Henderson	144	1016	10	7.1	66
Will Howard	105	226	7	2.2	19
James Peoples	49	197	2	4.0	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	76	1315	15	17.3	70
Emeka Egbuka	81	1011	10	12.5	68
Carnell Tate	52	733	4	14.1	40
TreVeyon Henderson	27	284	1	10.5	75

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Lausch	159	296	54%	1714	7	8	5.8
Mike Wright	39	67	58%	356	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Porter	126	501	6	4.0	44
Joseph Himon II	52	257	2	4.9	51
Jack Lausch	87	213	2	2.4	29
Caleb Komolafe	50	139	0	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Henning	59	603	4	10.2	46
Bryce Kirtz	39	598	0	15.3	55
Thomas Gordon	27	252	1	9.3	26
Cam Porter	23	174	0	7.6	28

Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Lathan Ransom	75	9	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.T. Tuimoloau	61	22	13	5	3
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davison Igbinosun	45	2	0	0	9
Jordan Hancock	48	2	1	1	8
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7

Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Uihlein	84	4	2	0	1
Xander Mueller	57	5	1	1	4
Theran Johnson	53	4	0	0	10
Devin Turner	51	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Hubbard	33	7	6	7	1
Anto Saka	15	5	4	4	0
Michael Kilbane	20	3	3	0	0
Mac Uihlein	84	4	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Theran Johnson	53	4	0	0	10
Josh Fussell	39	1	0	0	5
Xander Mueller	57	5	1	1	4