Fresno State at UCLA Game Matchup
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
UCLA -7.5 (46.5) (-320)  Open: -9.5 | 46.5
UCLA 20 - Fresno State: 13

 
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UCLA -9    (SP+ -3)
PPG only: FRES: 26 - UCLA: 22 (48)
UCLA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 204 miles
Bruins (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (16 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
UCLA's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 UCLA at Hawai'i-13.555.5W 16 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 UCLA vs Indiana+3.546.5L 13 - 42
Sat 9/21 UCLA at LSU+21.556.5L 17 - 34
Sat 9/28 UCLA vs Oregon+23.554.5L 13 - 34
Sat 10/5 UCLA at Penn State+30.048.0L 11 - 27
Sat 10/12 UCLA vs Minnesota+3.539.0L 17 - 21
Sat 10/19 UCLA at Rutgers+4.042.5W 35 - 32
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UCLA at Nebraska+7.538.5W 27 - 20
Fri 11/8 UCLA vs Iowa+6.544.5W 20 - 17
Fri 11/15 UCLA at Washington+4.547.0L 19 - 31
Sat 11/23 UCLA vs USC+5.053.0L 13 - 19
Sat 11/30 UCLA vs Fresno State-7.546.5W 20 - 13
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

FRES's OC Pat McCann vs UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe     UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#51 (.22)44% (48)26.140% (103)2.97 (95)10647% (24)2814.21 (36)#66 (.18)41% (60)24.842% (62)41% (64)3.31 (20)39.81.11.8
UCLA#73 (.18)42% (71)18.444% (55)3.27 (37)19840% (88)2293.11 (120)#11 (.08)37% (18)25.337% (24)37% (18)3.16 (19)58.11.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1326.121.243.8%4.211.1213881062813.837%62%40%47%15%.22
UCLA Defense1325.324.336.7%3.161.8 - - - - - 42%57%37%37%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1324.831.241.5%3.311.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%41%16%.18
UCLA Offense1318.41641.8%3.111.7214271982294.951%49%44%40%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1329:2120.948%64%4.439.81.11.85.52.2131.4
UCLA1329:0121.444%47%7.158.11.71.88.13.2029.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1337% (129)40% (103)28.4106.53.816 (89).14 (77)2.97 (95)74% (70)8% (28)1.01 (62)
UCLA Defense1342% (7)37% (24) - - - - -.04 (6)2.64 (10)55% (4)14% (5)0.84 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1353% (105)42% (62) - - - - .13 (61)3.16 (84)68% (42)9% (95)0.91 (30)
UCLA Offense1351% (63)44% (55)40.5197.94.921 (54).21 (37)3.27 (37)70% (95)10% (75)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1362% (5)47% (24)25.839.6281.37.110.929 (18)12 (85).3 (65)1.5 (118)31% (49)38% (10).43 (37)7% (93)1.8 (125)
UCLA Defense1357% (128)37% (18) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (32)1.6 (52)37% (9)28% (34).29 (54)7% (51)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1346% (28)41% (64) - - - - - - 17 (3).3 (90)1.7 (93)32% (60)33% (106).34 (84)7% (44)2 (44)
UCLA Offense1349% (66)40% (88)18.331.5229.27.312.524 (41)14 (107).16 (107)1.6 (58)32% (73)33% (54).28 (89)7% (92)1.9 (118)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.40   UCLA: 2.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -3.8   UCLA: -1.3




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 2.54 #61
UCLA's Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
2024 Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
UCLA's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

UCLA's SP+ Ratings
UCLA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 26
UCLA 22

Projected Total Points: 48
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

UCLA's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30UCLA20Fresno State13UCLAUCLA -7.5Fresno State46.5Under
202109/18UCLA37Fresno State40Fresno StateUCLA -11Fresno State64.0Over
201809/15UCLA14Fresno State38Fresno StateFresno State -2.5Fresno State50.5Over
200809/27UCLA31Fresno State36Fresno State
200312/30Fresno State17UCLA9Fresno State
200009/08UCLA24Fresno State21UCLA
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA202 Overs
Fresno State431 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 30 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams3 - 33 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#87) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0


Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
Fresno State     Ratings Matchup     UCLA
Power #87
#61
Off #95
#103
Def #33
#94
Talent #88
#54
SP+ #85
#75
SP+ Off #85
#103
SP+ Def #77
#44

Rematch from Week 14
UCLA -7.5 (46.5)
UCLA won vs Fresno State this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Fresno State last year (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76°

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | UCLA
Depth Chart: FRES | UCLA
Rosters: FRES | UCLA
(#61) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.54 #61
Offense Rating: 16.06 #103
Defense Rating: 12.38 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #44
Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


UCLA Notes
(12/29) Signed QB Aguilar (Gr, App St)
(12/5) Fired OC Bieniemy after one season
(12/5) Hired IU Co-OC Tino Sunseri
(11/24) Off 3-11 on 3rd, 0-3 4th, 13 pts in L (USC)
(11/18) Garbers bad, Rgame abysmal in Wash L, Def good
(11/13) 3 W's w/ Iowa, Garbers good, Rgame good in W
(11/2) 2 straight Road W's, fighting hard. Garbers good
(10/28) -5.7 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 7 games




  
Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Joshua Wood182864%195117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Malik Sherrod6019643.348
Joshua Wood3711863.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mac Dalena60998816.675
Jalen Moss49582411.949
Raylen Sharpe51523310.338
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
UCLA's OC Eric Bieniemy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Garbers23536365%272716117.5
Justyn Martin243569%179105.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Harden12450524.140
Keegan Jones4717913.822
Jalen Berger4817803.718
Ethan Garbers8313711.757
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Moliki Matavao41506212.335
TJ Harden4036819.253
Logan Loya29348412.029
Kwazi Gilmer31345211.148

Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tuasivi Nomura1027003
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark563224
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark563224
Phoenix Jackson455254
Korey Foreman235241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Cameron Lockridge372006
Phoenix Jackson455254
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Schwesinger1369433
Kain Medrano7211244
Oluwafemi Oladejo5714562
KJ Wallace4991110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oluwafemi Oladejo5714562
Carson Schwesinger1369433
Kain Medrano7211244
Devin Aupiu155211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KJ Wallace4991110
Kaylin Moore372019
Bryan Addison431005