Notre Dame at USC Game Matchup
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -6.5 (52.5) (-260)  Open: -7.5 | 51.5
Notre Dame 49 - USC: 35

 
Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Notre Dame -15    (SP+ -12)
PPG only: ND: 30 - USC: 23 (53)
ND Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ND Travel: 1816 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Trojans (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Notre Dame at Texas A&M+3.047.0W 23 - 13
Sat 9/7 Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois-28.546.5L 14 - 16
Sat 9/14 Notre Dame at Purdue-11.545.5W 66 - 7
Sat 9/21 Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)-27.544.0W 28 - 3
Sat 9/28 Notre Dame vs Louisville-6.545.0W 31 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Notre Dame vs Stanford-22.545.5W 49 - 7
Sat 10/19 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-14.049.5W 31 - 13
Sat 10/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-14.050.5W 51 - 14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Notre Dame vs Florida State-25.544.5W 52 - 3
Sat 11/16 Notre Dame vs Virginia-20.551.0W 35 - 14
Sat 11/23 Notre Dame vs Army-14.544.5W 49 - 14
Sat 11/30 Notre Dame at USC-6.552.5W 49 - 35
Fri 12/20 Notre Dame vs Indiana-7.050.0W 27 - 17
Thu 1/2 Notre Dame vs Georgia-1.546.5W 23 - 10
Thu 1/9 Notre Dame vs Penn State+1.545.5W 27 - 24
Mon 1/20 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+8.545.5L 23 - 34
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USC's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/1 USC vs LSU+4.066.5W 27 - 20
Sat 9/7 USC vs Utah State-30.562.5W 48 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 USC at Michigan-4.044.0L 24 - 27
Sat 9/28 USC vs Wisconsin-14.050.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/5 USC at Minnesota-8.545.5L 17 - 24
Sat 10/12 USC vs Penn State+3.551.5L 30 - 33
Sat 10/19 USC at Maryland-6.556.5L 28 - 29
Fri 10/25 USC vs Rutgers-14.057.0W 42 - 20
Sat 11/2 USC at Washington-2.055.0L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 USC vs Nebraska-6.551.0W 28 - 20
Sat 11/23 USC at UCLA-5.053.0W 19 - 13
Sat 11/30 USC vs Notre Dame+6.552.5L 35 - 49
Fri 12/27 USC vs Texas A&M+3.556.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ND's OC Mike Denbrock vs USC's DC D'Anton Lynn     USC's OC Josh Henson vs ND's DC Al Golden

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.35)49% (9)36.151% (9)3.37 (15)18648% (19)2474.87 (7)#6 (.04)35% (7)15.537% (21)33% (3)2.97 (11)48.21.31.8
USC#6 (.39)47% (15)30.248% (20)3.19 (52)13447% (21)3334.99 (4)#122 (.29)46% (121)24.149% (125)43% (91)3.55 (49)64.91.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense1336.14649.3%4.871.3214331862475.352%47%51%48%11%.35
USC Defense1324.123.845.8%3.551.2 - - - - - 51%49%49%43%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1315.518.334.6%2.971.8 - - - - - 50%49%37%33%18%.04
USC Offense1330.236.847.5%4.991.3224671343334.841%59%48%47%14%.39

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1330:4820.945%59%5.448.21.31.84.81.9429.5
USC1327:3322.543%61%7.364.91.31.25.51.9330.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1352% (45)51% (9)35.2186.35.328 (25).23 (27)3.37 (15)72% (83)7% (10)0.97 (86)
USC Defense1351% (83)49% (125) - - - - .29 (128)3.31 (110)73% (64)10% (64)1.07 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1350% (61)37% (21) - - - - .07 (29)2.85 (26)67% (34)11% (50)1.05 (92)
USC Offense1341% (123)48% (20)27.8133.64.833 (8).29 (8)3.19 (52)78% (28)10% (65)1.2 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1347% (85)48% (19)17.527246.59.114.131 (14)9 (40).51 (8)1.8 (16)28% (10)37% (19).53 (14)4% (11)2.1 (60)
USC Defense1349% (60)43% (91) - - - - - - 7 (111).32 (98)1.7 (90)31% (87)34% (115).4 (108)4% (129)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1349% (67)33% (3) - - - - - - 16 (9).04 (2)1.5 (40)36% (14)25% (14).23 (26)7% (27)1.9 (20)
USC Offense1359% (10)47% (21)24.235.53339.413.837 (4)6 (14).47 (14)1.7 (20)29% (22)37% (14).65 (4)4% (15)2.3 (12)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 960.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7

Notre Dame's SP+ Ratings
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 641.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.66   USC: 9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 23.9   USC: 11.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.42 #37
USC's Offense Rating: 20.62 #60
USC's Defense Rating: 10.19 #74
2024 Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
USC's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 30
USC 23

Projected Total Points: 53
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30USC35Notre Dame49Notre DameNotre Dame -6.5Notre Dame52.5Over
202310/14Notre Dame48USC20Notre DameNotre Dame -3Notre Dame61.0Over
202211/26USC38Notre Dame27USCUSC -4USC63.5Over
202110/23Notre Dame31USC16Notre DameNotre Dame -8Notre Dame59.5Under
201910/12Notre Dame30USC27Notre DameNotre Dame -10.5USC60.0Under
201811/24USC17Notre Dame24Notre DameNotre Dame -12.5USC54.0Under
201710/21Notre Dame49USC14Notre DameNotre Dame -4Notre Dame61.5Over
201611/26USC45Notre Dame27USCUSC -17USC59.5Over
201510/17Notre Dame41USC31Notre DameNotre Dame -3Notre Dame62.0Over
201411/29USC49Notre Dame14USCUSC -7USC0
201310/19Notre Dame14USC10Notre DameNotre Dame -1.5Notre Dame0
201211/24USC13Notre Dame22Notre Dame
201110/22Notre Dame17USC31USC
201011/27USC16Notre Dame20Notre Dame
200910/17Notre Dame27USC34USC
200811/29USC38Notre Dame3USC
200710/20Notre Dame0USC38USC
200611/25USC44Notre Dame24USC
200510/15Notre Dame31USC34USC
200411/27USC41Notre Dame10USC
200310/18Notre Dame14USC45USC
200110/20Notre Dame27USC16Notre Dame
200011/24USC21Notre Dame38Notre Dame
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1156 Overs
Notre Dame1263 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 109 - 28 - 11 - 1
Road Teams10 - 132 - 91 - 11 - 8

(#5) Notre Dame Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 24.66 #5
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7
Talent Rating: 960.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #8
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0


Notre Dame Notes
(11/30) Rgame great in W @ USC, Pass D torched
(11/25) #1 in scoring margin, Off/Def PPG both #1 since 10/1
(11/24) Mauled Army, Rgame great, Leonard good, D great
(11/13) 50+ pts in 2 straight, killed FSU, but Off just OK
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, Avg 32 ppg margin over 3 P4 teams
(10/27) Freeman now 10 W's over top 25, ND record
(10/19) Blocked 3 FGs so far, lead the nation.
(10/14) Top CB Morrison out for season (hip) huge loss
Notre Dame     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #5
#37
Off #24
#60
Def #2
#74
Talent #8
#17
SP+ #8
#23
SP+ Off #4
#15
SP+ Def #7
#48

Rematch from Week 14
Notre Dame 6.5 (52.5)
Notre Dame won at USC this year (49-35)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat USC last year (49-35)
Notre Dame beat USC in 2023 (48-20)
USC beat Notre Dame in 2022 (38-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78°

Team Information
Injuries: ND | USC
Depth Chart: ND | USC
Rosters: ND | USC
(#37) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.42 #37
Offense Rating: 20.62 #60
Defense Rating: 10.19 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #48
Talent Rating: 882.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0


USC Notes
(11/30) Maiavia torched ND, Run D mauled, 2 late Int's
(11/25) 5 L's by an avg of 3.8 ppg. Have lead all in 4th
(11/24) Def good in UCLA W. Rgame bad, Maiava OK
(11/18) Maiavia OK, Rgame good, Def good in Neb W
(11/5) QB Maiava replacing Moss for Nebraska game
(11/3) Riley 2-11 at SC as a Road Favorite
(11/2) 0-4 in road games. 3 TO's, poorly coached
(10/19) Into Rutgers wk, L Riley is 5-9 in last 13 gms




  
Notre Dame's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard26940367%28612187.1
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1631124176.998
Riley Leonard184906174.950
Jadarian Price12074676.270
Aneyas Williams3421926.458
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Greathouse42592414.154
Beaux Collins41490312.053
Mitchell Evans4342139.833
Jordan Faison30356111.944
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Miller Moss23336264%25551897.1
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks198113395.765
Quinten Joyner6347837.675
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
A'Marion Peterson166514.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Zachariah Branch47503110.742
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239

Notre Dame's DC Al Golden
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kiser905231
Xavier Watts834049
Drayk Bowen784122
Adon Shuler593025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rylie Mills379840
Howard Cross III275431
Donovan Hinish344441
Junior Tuihalamaka326331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore4820111
Xavier Watts834049
Christian Gray353009
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Mason Cobb723003
Kamari Ramsey606215
Akili Arnold591111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold945221
Kamari Ramsey606215
Eric Gentry337201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeCarlos Nicholson270005
Kamari Ramsey606215
Zion Branch192103