Massachusetts at Northern Illinois Game Matchup

Massachusetts Minutemen at Northern Illinois Huskies

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -14 (41.0) (-575) Open: -16.5
Northern Illinois 34 - Massachusetts: 20

Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.3 MPHUMASS 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -15.5 (SP+ -18)
PPG only: UMASS: 21 - NIU: 30 (51)
NIU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UMASS Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	49.0	L 14 - 28
Sat 9/7	Massachusetts at Toledo	+17.5	50.5	L 23 - 38
Sat 9/14	Massachusetts at Buffalo	+3.5	45.5	L 3 - 34
Sat 9/21	Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut	-19.5	52.0	W 35 - 31
Sat 9/28	Massachusetts at Miami (OH)	+15.5	44.5	L 20 - 23
Sat 10/5	Massachusetts at Northern Illinois	+14.0	41.0	L 20 - 34
Sat 10/12	Massachusetts vs Missouri	+27.0	54.0	L 3 - 45
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Massachusetts vs Wagner	-23.0	48.0	W 35 - 7
Sat 11/2	Massachusetts at Mississippi State	+19.5	59.5	L 20 - 45
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Massachusetts vs Liberty	+17.0	53.0	L 34 - 35
Sat 11/23	Massachusetts at Georgia	+42.5	55.5	L 21 - 59
Sat 11/30	Massachusetts vs UConn	+9.5	49.5	L 42 - 47

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois	-36.5	55.5	W 54 - 15
Sat 9/7	Northern Illinois at Notre Dame	+28.5	46.5	W 16 - 14
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Northern Illinois vs Buffalo	-13.0	42.5	L 20 - 23
Sat 9/28	Northern Illinois at NC State	+7.0	46.0	L 17 - 24
Sat 10/5	Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts	-14.0	41.0	W 34 - 20
Sat 10/12	Northern Illinois at Bowling Green	+3.0	46.5	W 17 - 7
Sat 10/19	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	-3.0	42.5	L 6 - 13
Sat 10/26	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-13.5	47.5	L 23 - 25
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 28
Wed 11/13	Northern Illinois vs Akron	-14.0	43.5	W 29 - 16
Tue 11/19	Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)	+1.5	43.0	L 9 - 20
Sat 11/30	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 16
Mon 12/23	Northern Illinois vs Fresno State	-2.0	41.0	W 28 - 20

UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery vs NIU's DC Nick Benedetto NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#72 (.18)	42% (68)	22.5	45% (47)	3.35 (21)	142	40% (86)	214	3.73 (82)	#124 (.31)	49% (132)	35.5	53% (131)	43% (92)	4.31 (114)	70.9	1.4	1.2
NIU	#54 (.21)	42% (62)	24.5	45% (45)	3.21 (50)	180	40% (85)	190	3.4 (102)	#36 (.14)	41% (52)	18.5	44% (84)	37% (21)	3.4 (32)	39.8	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	22.5	17.8	42%	3.73	1.4	18	356	142	214	4.4	51%	48%	45%	40%	21%	.18
NIU Defense	13	18.5	17.2	40.7%	3.4	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	37%	13%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	35.5	38.8	48.5%	4.31	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	53%	43%	15%	.31
NIU Offense	13	24.5	27.8	42.4%	3.4	1.4	19	370	180	190	5	54%	46%	45%	40%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	29:45	17.8	36%	23%	8	70.9	1.4	1.2	4.5	1.5	2	26.5
Northern Illinois	13	31:30	18.7	42%	50%	4.5	39.8	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.7	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	51% (59)	45% (47)	32.5	142.2	4.4	19 (69)	.25 (18)	3.35 (21)	62% (125)	14% (127)	1.14 (11)
NIU Defense	13	56% (122)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.14 (69)	3.29 (108)	83% (118)	8% (114)	0.94 (37)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	58% (130)	53% (131)	-	-	-	-	.34 (131)	3.83 (133)	85% (123)	9% (89)	1 (69)
NIU Offense	13	54% (39)	45% (45)	35.8	179.8	5	23 (46)	.21 (36)	3.21 (50)	77% (36)	9% (47)	1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	48% (76)	40% (86)	17.7	29	214.1	7.4	12.1	14 (106)	11 (68)	.18 (99)	1.5 (85)	32% (62)	33% (50)	.43 (35)	7% (109)	2.2 (36)
NIU Defense	13	43% (12)	37% (21)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.17 (18)	1.4 (14)	32% (66)	24% (9)	.29 (55)	5% (115)	2.2 (109)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	42% (4)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (94)	1.8 (122)	29% (121)	37% (125)	.47 (124)	6% (90)	1.9 (30)
NIU Offense	13	46% (95)	40% (85)	16.2	28.2	189.8	6.7	11.7	15 (96)	9 (40)	.26 (75)	1.5 (96)	32% (64)	26% (106)	.29 (83)	6% (63)	2.3 (16)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 641.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -16.22 Northern Illinois: -0.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -21.9 Northern Illinois: -3.5

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Northern Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 30
Massachusetts 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Northern Illinois	34	Massachusetts	20	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -14	Push	41.0	Over
2013	11/02	Massachusetts	19	Northern Illinois	63	Northern Illinois	Northern Illinois -24	Northern Illinois	0
2012	11/03	Northern Illinois	63	Massachusetts	0	Northern Illinois

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	3	1	1 Overs
Massachusetts	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#115) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.22 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out

Massachusetts Ratings Matchup Northern Illinois

Power #115

#73

Off #69

#97

Def #122

#11

Talent #100

#89

SP+ #129

#84

SP+ Off #110

#115

SP+ Def #129

#32

Rematch from Week 6
Northern Illinois -14.0 (41.0)
Northern Illinois won vs Massachusetts this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Massachusetts last year (34-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72° - Wind: 18 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | NIU
Depth Chart: UMASS | NIU
Rosters: UMASS | NIU

(#73) Northern Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Northern Illinois Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Akron, QB meh, Run Def great
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)

Massachusetts's OC Shane Montgomery

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taisun Phommachanh	132	234	56%	1590	8	6	6.8
AJ Hairston	40	73	55%	480	5	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen John	111	583	5	5.3	68
C.J. Hester	119	529	4	4.4	24
Taisun Phommachanh	107	317	3	3.0	33
Brandon Campbell	61	233	3	3.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jakobie Keeney-James	51	870	6	17.1	75
Ty Harding	18	303	5	16.8	58
Jacquon Gibson	23	270	1	11.7	39
Sterling Galban	25	210	0	8.4	21

Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Hampton	143	245	58%	1608	12	6	6.6
Josh Holst	65	111	59%	593	2	2	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Williams	139	749	4	5.4	71
Antario Brown	115	567	4	4.9	49
Telly Johnson Jr.	103	480	4	4.7	38
Josh Holst	49	230	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trayvon Rudolph	37	403	1	10.9	48
Cam Thompson	27	388	3	14.4	54
Grayson Barnes	31	338	4	10.9	60
Andrew McElroy	26	264	0	10.2	42

Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Stewart	77	3	3	1	2
Gerrell Johnson	74	3	1	2	2
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	0	0	3
Te'Rai Powell	52	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Louce Julien	43	7	4	1	1
Kofi Asare	30	6	3	1	1
Jalen Stewart	77	3	3	1	2
Christian Lebrun	22	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Lake Ellis	29	3	5
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4
Tim Grant-Randall	27	2	3

Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Dolphin	61	3	0	0	2
Christian Fuhrman	61	4	0	1	1
Santana Banner	54	2	0	1	4
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devonte O'Malley	38	12	9	4	1
Roy Williams	38	7	7	1	1
Nevaeh Sanders	8	5	5	2	0
Skyler Gill-Howard	48	7	5	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nate Valcarcel	53	2	2	4	8
Jacob Finley	36	3	1	0	8
Santana Banner	54	2	0	1	4