Liberty at Massachusetts Game Matchup
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Liberty -17 (53.0) (-850)  Open: -12.5
Liberty 35 - Massachusetts: 34

 
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19.9 MPHLIB 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -22)
PPG only: LIB: 32 - UMASS: 23 (55)
LIB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
LIB Travel: 494 miles
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan-2.549.0L 14 - 28
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts at Toledo+17.550.5L 23 - 38
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Buffalo+3.545.5L 3 - 34
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut-19.552.0W 35 - 31
Sat 9/28 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+15.544.5L 20 - 23
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Northern Illinois+14.041.0L 20 - 34
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts vs Missouri+27.054.0L 3 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs Wagner-23.048.0W 35 - 7
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts at Mississippi State+19.559.5L 20 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts vs Liberty+17.053.0L 34 - 35
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts at Georgia+42.555.5L 21 - 59
Sat 11/30 Massachusetts vs UConn+9.549.5L 42 - 47
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

LIB's OC Newland Isaac vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery vs LIB's DC Jack Curtis

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)28.856% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)23.547% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
UMASS#72 (.18)42% (68)22.545% (47)3.35 (21)14240% (86)2143.73 (82)#124 (.31)49% (132)35.553% (131)43% (92)4.31 (114)70.91.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1428.828.854.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
UMASS Defense1235.532.248.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1423.524.442.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
UMASS Offense1222.527.242%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Massachusetts1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (89)1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (125)14% (127)1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: #NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: #NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Massachusetts: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2   Massachusetts: -21.9




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: #NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: -

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 641.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 32
Massachusetts 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Massachusetts34Liberty35LibertyLiberty -17Massachusetts53.0Over
202311/18Liberty49Massachusetts25LibertyLiberty -26.5Massachusetts64.5Over
202210/08Massachusetts24Liberty42LibertyLiberty -22.5Massachusetts45.5Over
202110/30Liberty62Massachusetts17LibertyLiberty -35.5Liberty56.0Over
202011/27Liberty45Massachusetts0LibertyLiberty -35Liberty57.5Under
201911/02Massachusetts21Liberty63LibertyLiberty -23.5Liberty72.0Over
201811/03Massachusetts62Liberty59MassachusettsLiberty -1.5Massachusetts66.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts146 Overs
Liberty631 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 35 - 22 - 13 - 1
Road Teams3 - 42 - 51 - 31 - 2

(#NR) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Liberty Notes
(11/25) Rgame 400+ yds (WKU), W vs SHSU=CUSA title gm
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
Liberty     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #84
#100
SP+ #71
#129
SP+ Off #60
#110
SP+ Def #70
#129

Rematch from Week 12
Liberty 17.0 (53.0)
Liberty won at Massachusetts this year (35-34)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Massachusetts last year (35-34)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2023 (49-25)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2022 (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 20 mph


Team Information
Injuries: LIB | UMASS
Depth Chart: LIB | UMASS
Rosters: LIB | UMASS
(#NR) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out




  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley2927619.525
Massachusetts's OC Shane Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh13223456%1590866.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen John11158355.368
C.J. Hester11952944.424
Taisun Phommachanh10731733.033
Brandon Campbell6123333.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakobie Keeney-James51870617.175
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban2521008.421

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Stewart773312
Gerrell Johnson743122
Tyler Rudolph612003
Te'Rai Powell522001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louce Julien437411
Kofi Asare306311
Jalen Stewart773312
Christian Lebrun222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis293005
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tim Grant-Randall272003