Ball State at Miami Game Matchup
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami -36.5 (55.5) (-7500)  Open: -36.5 | 54.5
Miami 62 - Ball State: 0

 
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -44    (SP+ -41)
PPG only: BALL: 25 - MIAMI: 42 (67)
MIAMI Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
BALL Travel: 1029 miles
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Ball State vs Missouri State-2.550.5W 42 - 34
Sat 9/14 Ball State at Miami+36.555.5L 0 - 62
Sat 9/21 Ball State at Central Michigan+6.551.0L 34 - 37
Sat 9/28 Ball State at James Madison+22.056.5L 7 - 63
Sat 10/5 Ball State vs Western Michigan+10.057.5L 42 - 45
Sat 10/12 Ball State at Kent State-3.058.0W 37 - 35
Sat 10/19 Ball State at Vanderbilt+27.557.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/26 Ball State vs Northern Illinois+13.547.5W 25 - 23
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+12.548.5L 21 - 27
Tue 11/12 Ball State at Buffalo+3.555.5L 48 - 51
Sat 11/23 Ball State vs Bowling Green+12.554.5L 13 - 38
Fri 11/29 Ball State at Ohio+17.551.5L 21 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs BALL's DC Jeff Knowles

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#97 (.14)40% (95)25.345% (50)3.35 (22)17133% (127)1373.31 (105)#70 (.18)42% (66)40.143% (65)42% (70)3.81 (70)45.21.30.9
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)43.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)25.338% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1225.32339.8%3.311.3183081711374.458%41%45%33%17%.14
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1240.144.941.8%3.810.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%42%17%.18
MIAMI Offense1343.947.843.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1232:4418.138%56%5.245.21.30.95.72.1028.8
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1258% (14)45% (50)39.3171.44.415 (100).21 (38)3.35 (22)83% (8)12% (112)0.99 (70)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1248% (44)43% (65) - - - - .11 (45)3.08 (62)79% (102)11% (35)0.89 (23)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1241% (119)33% (127)15.125.3136.75.49.19 (126)8 (30).05 (128)1.4 (130)33% (92)24% (123).18 (110)5% (25)2 (104)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1251% (93)42% (70) - - - - - - 5 (126).27 (70)1.5 (29)32% (61)28% (30).21 (20)5% (97)2 (39)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.09   Miami: 21.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -19.8   Miami: 21.6




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 21.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 42
Ball State 25

Projected Total Points: 67
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami62Ball State0MiamiMiami -36.5Miami55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami111 Overs
Ball State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#126) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0


Ball State Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Mike Uremovich (Butler)
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
Ball State     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #126
#8
Off #93
#1
Def #132
#52
Talent #92
#12
SP+ #126
#10
SP+ Off #103
#1
SP+ Def #133
#51

Rematch from Week 3
Miami -36.5 (55.5)
Miami won vs Ball State this year (62-0)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Ball State last year (62-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 88° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.295


Team Information
Injuries: BALL | MIAMI
Depth Chart: BALL | MIAMI
Rosters: BALL | MIAMI
(#8) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Miami Notes
(12/31) Fired DC Guidry (2 years at U)
(12/31) QB E Williams cannot be the answer
(12/1) Def torched by Cuse. L 28-17 2H to gag ACC shot
(11/25) Def great vs Wake. Rgame great, Ward good
(11/13) Run Def torched by GT, Rgame was abysmal in L
(11/2) Pass D torched by Duke? Off great but fraud alert
(10/19) Off 38+ pts every game. Def rough, Ward great
(9/27) Outgained VT by 100 yds, 3 TOs. Ward incredible




  
Ball State's OC Jared Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kadin Semonza27542764%290025106.8
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braedon Sloan15059744.040
Vaughn Pemberton6127624.541
Cam Pickett17170210.034
TJ Horton2310704.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Koziol9483988.933
Cam Pickett49528210.865
Justin Bowick20383319.257
Braedon Sloan29329111.372
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
George Udo782111
Keionte Newson734044
Riley Tolsma599681
Joey Stemler566260
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Riley Tolsma599681
Brandon Berger3810594
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Norwood382005
Keionte Newson734044
Brandon Berger3810594
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Tyler Baron3811660
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr.308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
Mishael Powell382116
OJ Frederique Jr.231006