Miami at South Florida Game Matchup
Miami logo Miami Hurricanes at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Miami -17 (64.5) (-900)  Open: 0.0
Miami 50 - South Florida: 15

 
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -24)
PPG only: MIAMI: 37 - USF: 29 (66)
MIAMI Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MIAMI Travel: 197 miles
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman W 48 - 3
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs USF's DC Todd Orlando     USF's OC Joel Gordon vs MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)43.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)25.338% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)32.239% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)29.840% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1343.940.543.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27
USF Defense1329.827.239.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1325.330.838.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
USF Offense1332.233.639.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (112)
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: #NR
Miami's Offense Rating: #NR
Miami's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    South Florida: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6   South Florida: -2.3




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 2 #NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: #NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: -

South Florida's SP+ Ratings
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 37
South Florida 29

Projected Total Points: 66
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21South Florida15Miami50MiamiMiami -17Miami64.5Over
201309/28South Florida21Miami49MiamiMiami -18.5Miami0
201211/17Miami40South Florida9Miami
201111/19South Florida3Miami6Miami
201011/27Miami20South Florida23South Florida
200911/28South Florida10Miami31Miami
200510/01Miami27South Florida7Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida101 Overs
Miami620 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 50 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams5 - 22 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#NR) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Miami Notes
(12/31) Fired DC Guidry (2 years at U)
(12/31) QB E Williams cannot be the answer
(12/1) Def torched by Cuse. L 28-17 2H to gag ACC shot
(11/25) Def great vs Wake. Rgame great, Ward good
(11/13) Run Def torched by GT, Rgame was abysmal in L
(11/2) Pass D torched by Duke? Off great but fraud alert
(10/19) Off 38+ pts every game. Def rough, Ward great
(9/27) Outgained VT by 100 yds, 3 TOs. Ward incredible
Miami     Ratings Matchup     South Florida
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #12
#102
SP+ #10
#79
SP+ Off #1
#51
SP+ Def #51
#108

Rematch from Week 4
Miami 17.0 (64.5)
Miami won at South Florida this year (50-15)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat South Florida last year (50-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 86° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | USF
Depth Chart: MIAMI | USF
Rosters: MIAMI | USF
(#NR) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


South Florida Notes
(11/18) Rgame mailed Char. 425 yds, 8.9 ypc. Def avg
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up




  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.121799126.654
Nay'Quan Wright10951084.764
Taron Keith7841985.442
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins80799210.052
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Mike Brown-Stephens28350412.532
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151

Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Tyler Baron3811660
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr.308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
Mishael Powell382116
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Jamie Pettway567222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Ricardo Watson368320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin4800010
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106