James Madison at North Carolina Game Matchup
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -10.0 (48.0) (-415)  Open: -10.5 | 47.5
James Madison 70 - North Carolina: 50

 
Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 3rd straight Home Game
JMU coming off BYE
Our Line: North Carolina -5    (SP+ -2.5)
PPG only: JMU: 31 - UNC: 26 (57)
UNC Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
JMU Travel: 175 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
James Madison's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 James Madison at Charlotte-6.547.5W 30 - 7
Sat 9/7 James Madison vs Gardner-Webb-35.550.5W 13 - 6
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 James Madison at North Carolina+10.048.0W 70 - 50
Sat 9/28 James Madison vs Ball State-22.056.5W 63 - 7
Sat 10/5 James Madison at UL Monroe-16.548.5L 19 - 21
Thu 10/10 James Madison vs Coastal Carolina-7.059.0W 39 - 7
Sat 10/19 James Madison at Georgia Southern-9.558.5L 14 - 28
Sat 10/26 James Madison vs Southern Miss-24.054.0W 32 - 15
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 James Madison vs Georgia State-14.553.5W 38 - 7
Sat 11/16 James Madison at Old Dominion-1.551.0W 35 - 32
Sat 11/23 James Madison at App State-7.557.5L 20 - 34
Sat 11/30 James Madison vs Marshall-2.552.5L 33 - 35
Wed 12/18 James Madison vs Western Kentucky-7.550.5W 27 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

JMU's OC Dean Kennedy vs UNC's DC Geoff Collins     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs JMU's DC Lyle Hemphill

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#44 (.24)46% (27)33.340% (102)2.75 (121)13352% (7)2863.92 (64)#14 (.09)33% (4)20.529% (1)37% (19)2.86 (9)40.11.21.6
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)30.950% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)28.143% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1333.331.345.6%3.921.2214191332863.947%52%40%52%17%.24
UNC Defense1328.133.442.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1320.528.733.2%2.861.6 - - - - - 42%57%29%37%24%.09
UNC Offense1330.93646.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison1331:1521.237%50%5.540.11.21.68.53.4333.4
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense1347% (94)40% (102)34.2133.23.917 (81).03 (121)2.75 (121)57% (131)10% (69)0.89 (114)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense1342% (6)29% (1) - - - - -.04 (8)2.18 (1)61% (10)15% (2)1.13 (117)
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense1352% (43)52% (7)22.233285.88.712.936 (5)11 (68).48 (13)1.5 (90)29% (25)33% (51).38 (51)7% (98)2 (74)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense1357% (127)37% (19) - - - - - - 13 (26).24 (51)1.7 (115)38% (5)27% (24).28 (48)9% (4)2.1 (77)
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 342.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

James Madison's SP+ Ratings
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73   North Carolina: 0.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5   North Carolina: 5.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 0.47 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 31
North Carolina 26

Projected Total Points: 57
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21North Carolina50James Madison70James MadisonNorth Carolina -10.0James Madison48.0Over
201609/17North Carolina56James Madison28North CarolinaNorth Carolina -24.5North Carolina0
201109/03North Carolina42James Madison10North Carolina
200709/01North Carolina37James Madison14North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina311 Overs
James Madison110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#82) James Madison Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.73 #82
Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 342.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0


James Madison Notes
(12/18) DL v good, DE O'Neill is elite, #2 good as well
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
James Madison     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #82
#68
Off #106
#86
Def #23
#77
Talent #124
#18
SP+ #41
#49
SP+ Off #49
#38
SP+ Def #40
#64

Rematch from Week 4
North Carolina -10.0 (48.0)
James Madison won at North Carolina this year (70-50)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat North Carolina last year (70-50)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: JMU | UNC
Depth Chart: JMU | UNC
Rosters: JMU | UNC
(#68) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.47 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0


North Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now




  
James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21235460%25962647.3
Billy Atkins162467%181107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway16397656.031
Alonza Barnett13545073.350
Wayne Knight7744925.859
Jobi Malary4526926.032
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Dollison37633617.173
Yamir Knight52605411.668
Taylor Thompson33448613.636
Cameron Ross37443312.043
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kobe Paysour21365017.436

James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
Khairi Manns7014982
Jacob Dobbs694320
Chris Shearin582024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill531813163
Khairi Manns7014982
Jacob Dobbs694320
Trent Hendrick549331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrence Spence381007
Jordan Taylor240005
Chris Shearin582024
North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane744102
Power Echols732126
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris671004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Kaimon Rucker308631
Amare Campbell699632
Desmond Evans3410591
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie364218
Power Echols732126
Jakeen Harris671004