Duke at Georgia Tech Game Matchup

Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -10 (52.5) (-375) Open: -8.0
Georgia Tech 24 - Duke: 14 (ACC)

Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GT coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia Tech -6.5 (SP+ -3.5)
PPG only: DUKE: 26 - GT: 27 (53)
GT Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
DUKE Travel: 345 miles

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 8/30	Duke vs Elon	-24.5	47.5	W 26 - 3
Fri 9/6	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	37.5	W 26 - 20
Sat 9/14	Duke vs UConn	-17.5	46.5	W 26 - 21
Sat 9/21	Duke at Middle Tennessee	-14.5	51.0	W 45 - 17
Sat 9/28	Duke vs North Carolina	+1.0	55.5	W 21 - 20
Sat 10/5	Duke at Georgia Tech	+10.0	52.5	L 14 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Duke vs Florida State	-2.5	43.0	W 23 - 16
Sat 10/26	Duke vs SMU	+11.5	49.5	L 27 - 28
Sat 11/2	Duke at Miami	+21.0	55.5	L 31 - 53
Sat 11/9	Duke at NC State	+3.5	51.5	W 29 - 19
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Duke vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	45.5	W 31 - 28
Sat 11/30	Duke at Wake Forest	-3.5	53.5	W 23 - 17
Thu 1/2	Duke vs Ole Miss	+17.5	50.5	L 20 - 52

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/24	Georgia Tech vs Florida State	+10.0	54.5	W 24 - 21
Sat 8/31	Georgia Tech vs Georgia State	-20.5	57.0	W 35 - 12
Sat 9/7	Georgia Tech at Syracuse	-2.5	60.5	L 28 - 31
Sat 9/14	Georgia Tech vs VMI	-42.5	53.5	W 59 - 7
Sat 9/21	Georgia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	56.0	L 19 - 31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-10.0	52.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/12	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 34
Sat 10/19	Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame	+14.0	49.5	L 13 - 31
Sat 10/26	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+11.0	52.0	L 6 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+9.5	64.5	W 28 - 23
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	Georgia Tech vs NC State	-7.5	51.5	W 30 - 29
Fri 11/29	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+17.5	48.5	L 42 - 44
Fri 12/27	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer vs GT's DC Tyler Santucci GT's OC Buster Faulkner vs DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	#64 (.2)	42% (69)	26.3	42% (77)	3.1 (70)	167	42% (66)	181	4.27 (31)	#52 (.16)	43% (86)	24.5	43% (69)	44% (101)	3.47 (43)	46	1.2	1.2
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	28.9	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	25.6	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	13	26.3	28.4	42%	4.27	1.2	19	348	167	181	4.8	52%	47%	42%	42%	13%	.2
GT Defense	13	25.6	17	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	13	24.5	26	43.3%	3.47	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	43%	44%	16%	.16
GT Offense	13	28.9	35.2	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	13	28:59	18.7	36%	60%	5.6	46	1.2	1.2	5.5	2.1	1	31.2
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	13	52% (47)	42% (77)	34.5	166.8	4.8	26 (30)	.17 (56)	3.1 (70)	66% (114)	8% (20)	1.08 (30)
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	13	49% (53)	43% (69)	-	-	-	-	.11 (46)	3.18 (90)	68% (39)	10% (82)	0.96 (43)
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	13	47% (84)	42% (66)	15.4	27.5	180.8	6.6	11.8	14 (106)	8 (30)	.24 (79)	1.4 (122)	33% (88)	31% (65)	.4 (43)	6% (62)	2 (95)
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	13	50% (83)	44% (101)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.22 (42)	1.4 (3)	31% (86)	31% (78)	.3 (64)	6% (56)	2 (56)
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68 Georgia Tech: 8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Georgia Tech: 1.9

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 8.96 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Georgia Tech's SP+ Ratings
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 27
Duke 26

Projected Total Points: 53

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Georgia Tech	24	Duke	14	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -10	Push	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Georgia Tech	23	Duke	20	Georgia Tech	Duke -3.5	Georgia Tech	54.0	Under
2021	10/09	Duke	27	Georgia Tech	31	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -4.5	Duke	60.5	Under
2020	11/28	Georgia Tech	56	Duke	33	Georgia Tech	Duke -1.5	Georgia Tech	57.0	Over
2019	10/12	Duke	41	Georgia Tech	23	Duke	Duke -17.5	Duke	47.5	Over
2018	10/13	Georgia Tech	14	Duke	28	Duke	Georgia Tech -1.5	Duke	55.5	Under
2017	11/18	Duke	43	Georgia Tech	20	Duke	Georgia Tech -6.5	Duke	49.0	Over
2016	10/29	Georgia Tech	38	Duke	35	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -8.5	Duke	50.5	Over
2015	09/26	Duke	34	Georgia Tech	20	Duke	Georgia Tech -10	Duke	56.0	Under
2014	10/11	Georgia Tech	25	Duke	31	Duke	Georgia Tech -6	Duke	0
2013	09/14	Duke	14	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -9	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/17	Georgia Tech	42	Duke	24	Georgia Tech
2011	11/19	Duke	31	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech
2010	11/20	Georgia Tech	30	Duke	20	Georgia Tech
2009	11/14	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	49	Georgia Tech
2008	10/04	Georgia Tech	27	Duke	0	Georgia Tech
2007	11/10	Duke	24	Georgia Tech	41	Georgia Tech
2006	11/18	Georgia Tech	49	Duke	21	Georgia Tech
2005	10/15	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	35	Georgia Tech
2004	10/16	Georgia Tech	24	Duke	7	Georgia Tech
2003	11/08	Duke	41	Georgia Tech	17	Duke
2002	11/16	Georgia Tech	17	Duke	2	Georgia Tech
2001	10/06	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	37	Georgia Tech
2000	10/20	Georgia Tech	45	Duke	10	Georgia Tech

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	18	3	4 Overs
Duke	6	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	6 - 4	1 - 3	5 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 15	4 - 6	1 - 5	3 - 1

(#50) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Duke Notes
(12/11) Signed QB Mensah (Tulane QB '24)
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr

Duke Ratings Matchup Georgia Tech

Power #50

#38

Off #113

#14

Def #17

#79

Talent #56

#52

SP+ #44

#66

SP+ Off #71

#42

SP+ Def #31

#79

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia Tech -10.0 (52.5)
Georgia Tech won vs Duke this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Duke last year (24-14)
Georgia Tech beat Duke in 2022 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | GT
Depth Chart: DUKE | GT
Rosters: DUKE | GT

(#38) Georgia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.96 #38
Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79
Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Georgia Tech Notes
(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing

Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0
Henry Belin IV	26	45	58%	243	2	1	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Star Thomas	213	871	7	4.1	44
Peyton Jones	82	317	3	3.9	27
Jaquez Moore	32	86	1	2.7	18
Henry Belin IV	11	39	0	3.5	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Moore	55	861	8	15.7	58
Eli Pancol	60	798	9	13.3	86
Que'Sean Brown	41	445	2	10.9	43
Sahmir Hagans	47	413	3	8.8	65

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28
Eric Singleton Jr.	21	131	1	6.2	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	56	754	3	13.5	57
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Avery Boyd	25	316	2	12.6	33
Chase Lane	24	283	3	11.8	32

Duke's DC Jonathan Patke

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ozzie Nicholas	100	4	1	4	2
Alex Howard	89	15	7	6	1
Cameron Bergeron	84	10	5	7	2
Terry Moore	71	7	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wesley Williams	47	13	7	9	2
Alex Howard	89	15	7	6	1
Cameron Bergeron	84	10	5	7	2
Vincent Anthony	25	10	5	13	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Rivers	54	8	1	3	8
Jaylen Stinson	67	4	2	3	8
Joshua Pickett	38	4	0	0	7

Georgia Tech's DC Tyler Santucci

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Romello Height	34	7	3	4	0
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Warren Burrell	27	0	0	0	4
Rodney Shelley	19	5	0	1	4