Wake Forest at North Carolina Game Matchup
Wake Forest logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
North Carolina -10.5 (64.5) (-410)  Open: -10.0
North Carolina 31 - Wake Forest: 24  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: North Carolina -11    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: WAKE: 27 - UNC: 32 (59)
UNC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
WAKE Travel: 69 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T W 45 - 13
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero vs UNC's DC Geoff Collins     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs WAKE's DC Brad Lambert

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)25.742% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)32.540% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)30.950% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)28.143% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1225.724.441.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07
UNC Defense1328.133.442.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1232.529.440.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
UNC Offense1330.93646.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Wake Forest's SP+ Ratings
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -10.36   North Carolina: 0.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7   North Carolina: 5.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 0.47 #68
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 32
Wake Forest 27

Projected Total Points: 59
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16North Carolina31Wake Forest24North CarolinaNorth Carolina -10.5Wake Forest64.5Under
202211/12Wake Forest34North Carolina36North CarolinaWake Forest -4.5North Carolina79.0Under
202111/06North Carolina58Wake Forest55North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina78.0Over
202011/14North Carolina59Wake Forest53North CarolinaNorth Carolina -13Wake Forest70.5Over
201909/13Wake Forest24North Carolina18Wake ForestWake Forest -3Wake Forest65.0Under
201510/17North Carolina50Wake Forest14North CarolinaNorth Carolina -14North Carolina53.5Over
201209/08Wake Forest28North Carolina27Wake Forest
201110/29North Carolina49Wake Forest24North Carolina
200710/27Wake Forest37North Carolina10Wake Forest
200610/28North Carolina17Wake Forest24Wake Forest
200411/13Wake Forest24North Carolina31North Carolina
200311/08North Carolina42Wake Forest34North Carolina
200210/26Wake Forest31North Carolina0Wake Forest
200111/10North Carolina31Wake Forest32Wake Forest
200009/08Wake Forest14North Carolina35North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina933 Overs
Wake Forest633 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 53 - 33 - 30 - 0
Road Teams5 - 103 - 30 - 03 - 3

(#102) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Wake Forest Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Dickert (Wazzu)
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
Wake Forest     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #102
#68
Off #98
#86
Def #115
#77
Talent #70
#18
SP+ #93
#49
SP+ Off #77
#38
SP+ Def #103
#64

Rematch from Week 12
North Carolina -10.5 (64.5)
North Carolina won vs Wake Forest this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Wake Forest last year (31-24)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2022 (36-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 48°

Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | UNC
Depth Chart: WAKE | UNC
Rosters: WAKE | UNC
(#68) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.47 #68
Offense Rating: 17.90 #86
Defense Rating: 10.65 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0


North Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now




  
Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier22435763%259316107.3
Michael Kern244553%288136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylor Morin64756211.851
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kobe Paysour21365017.436

Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen1221011
Branson Combs836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis3111650
Kevin Pointer337481
Bryce Ganious265370
Branson Combs836221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003
North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane744102
Power Echols732126
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris671004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Kaimon Rucker308631
Amare Campbell699632
Desmond Evans3410591
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie364218
Power Echols732126
Jakeen Harris671004