SMU at Stanford Game Matchup

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
SMU -16.5 (52.5) (-750) Open: -14.0
SMU 40 - Stanford: 10 (ACC)

Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SMU coming off BYE
Our Line: SMU -18 (SP+ -25.5)
PPG only: SMU: 35 - STAN: 23 (58)
SMU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
SMU Travel: 1464 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

SMU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/24	SMU at Nevada	-28.0	55.5	W 29 - 24
Sat 8/31	SMU vs Houston Christian			W 59 - 7
Fri 9/6	SMU vs BYU	-12.5	55.5	L 15 - 18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	SMU vs TCU	+1.0	58.5	W 66 - 42
Sat 9/28	SMU vs Florida State	-6.0	46.0	W 42 - 16
Sat 10/5	SMU at Louisville	+6.5	55.0	W 34 - 27
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	SMU at Stanford	-16.5	52.5	W 40 - 10
Sat 10/26	SMU at Duke	-11.5	49.5	W 28 - 27
Sat 11/2	SMU vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	55.5	W 48 - 25
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	SMU vs Boston College	-19.0	54.5	W 38 - 28
Sat 11/23	SMU at Virginia	-11.5	54.5	W 33 - 7
Sat 11/30	SMU vs California	-11.5	54.5	W 38 - 6
Sat 12/7	SMU vs Clemson	-2.5	56.5	L 31 - 34
Sat 12/21	SMU at Penn State	+9.0	52.5	L 10 - 38

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Stanford's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 8/30	Stanford vs TCU	+8.0	58.5	L 27 - 34
Sat 9/7	Stanford vs Cal Poly	-33.5	59.5	W 41 - 7
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Stanford at Syracuse	+9.5	56.5	W 26 - 24
Sat 9/28	Stanford at Clemson	+24.0	58.0	L 14 - 40
Sat 10/5	Stanford vs Virginia Tech	+9.5	50.0	L 7 - 31
Sat 10/12	Stanford at Notre Dame	+22.5	45.5	L 7 - 49
Sat 10/19	Stanford vs SMU	+16.5	52.5	L 10 - 40
Sat 10/26	Stanford vs Wake Forest	+3.0	53.0	L 24 - 27
Sat 11/2	Stanford at NC State	+10.0	46.5	L 28 - 59
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Stanford vs Louisville	+21.0	57.5	W 38 - 35
Sat 11/23	Stanford at California	+15.0	53.5	L 21 - 24
Fri 11/29	Stanford at San José State	+2.5	54.5	L 31 - 34

SMU's OC Casey Woods vs STAN's DC Bobby April STAN's OC Troy Taylor vs SMU's DC Scott Symons

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU	#24 (.28)	44% (46)	36.5	47% (30)	3.21 (49)	177	42% (67)	278	4.51 (21)	#7 (.04)	36% (10)	22.1	37% (17)	35% (8)	3.59 (51)	40.8	0.9	1.2
STAN	#114 (.1)	38% (114)	22.8	41% (95)	2.61 (130)	119	36% (114)	233	3.4 (101)	#133 (.35)	51% (133)	33.7	56% (133)	48% (129)	5.22 (133)	59.1	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Offense	14	36.5	29	43.9%	4.51	0.9	24	455	177	278	4.5	50%	49%	47%	42%	12%	.28
STAN Defense	12	33.7	29	51.4%	5.22	1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	56%	48%	11%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Defense	14	22.1	22.2	35.7%	3.59	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	37%	35%	19%	.04
STAN Offense	12	22.8	24.5	37.6%	3.4	1.2	20	352	119	233	3.4	42%	57%	41%	36%	21%	.1

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
SMU	14	30:21	23.5	43%	59%	4.6	40.8	0.9	1.2	6.6	3.1	5	30.4
Stanford	12	31:16	19.5	36%	33%	6.3	59.1	1.2	1	4.3	1.9	0	27.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Offense	14	50% (66)	47% (30)	39.7	176.6	4.5	29 (22)	.18 (52)	3.21 (49)	85% (2)	6% (4)	0.88 (122)
STAN Defense	12	45% (13)	56% (133)	-	-	-	-	.25 (120)	3.45 (124)	76% (87)	7% (129)	0.9 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Defense	14	47% (38)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	.04 (19)	2.9 (35)	67% (30)	12% (23)	0.97 (50)
STAN Offense	12	42% (114)	41% (95)	34.5	118.8	3.4	15 (100)	.06 (114)	2.61 (130)	71% (90)	13% (122)	0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Offense	14	49% (71)	42% (67)	19.6	33.2	278.4	8.4	14.2	33 (11)	8 (30)	.45 (16)	2 (3)	31% (57)	33% (44)	.38 (53)	6% (58)	2.1 (46)
STAN Defense	12	55% (124)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.45 (130)	1.7 (89)	29% (125)	41% (133)	.66 (133)	4% (130)	2.1 (93)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Defense	14	52% (97)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.09 (8)	1.7 (87)	36% (18)	22% (1)	.07 (2)	8% (19)	2.1 (70)
STAN Offense	12	57% (17)	36% (114)	19.4	35.6	233	6.6	12	11 (117)	10 (56)	.16 (106)	1.5 (84)	36% (120)	29% (77)	.28 (87)	8% (126)	2 (71)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 15.59 #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
2024 Talent Rating: 734.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30

SMU's SP+ Ratings
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 15.59 Stanford: -2.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 17.5 Stanford: -8.2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Stanford's SP+ Ratings
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 35
Stanford 23

Projected Total Points: 58

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Stanford	10	SMU	40	SMU	SMU -16.5	SMU	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	0	0	0 Overs
SMU	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#13) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.59 #13
Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Talent Rating: 734.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #47
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

SMU Notes
(8/12) Metrics likely overrate reality in 1st yr in ACC
(11/25) Rgame bad, Jennings good, Def great vs UVA
(11/18) QB Jennings torched BC, Def suspect but held on
(11/2) Real deal. Routed Pitt, Rgame good, Def great
(10/27) 0-6 TOs & still beat Duke? Off good but v sloppy
(10/22) TE & lead receiver Maryland out for season
(10/22) Def stop rate 70% (#25) into Duke game
(10/8) Lead nation in points off turnovers 1st 6 wks

SMU Ratings Matchup Stanford

Power #13

#79

Off #28

#80

Def #5

#112

Talent #47

#30

SP+ #12

#101

SP+ Off #5

#90

SP+ Def #30

#112

Rematch from Week 8
SMU 16.5 (52.5)
SMU won at Stanford this year (40-10)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Stanford last year (40-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73°

Team Information
Injuries: SMU | STAN
Depth Chart: SMU | STAN
Rosters: SMU | STAN

(#79) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.38 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Stanford Notes
(11/29) Def torched by SJSU, Daniels 3 Int, Rgame meh
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game

SMU's OC Casey Woods

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kevin Jennings	248	381	65%	3189	23	11	8.4
Preston Stone	30	51	59%	421	5	1	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brashard Smith	234	1330	14	5.7	71
Kevin Jennings	101	354	5	3.5	59
LJ Johnson Jr.	74	303	5	4.1	35
Roderick Daniels	44	160	3	3.6	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roderick Daniels	42	601	4	14.3	81
Keyshawn Smith	33	527	5	16.0	45
Jordan Hudson	39	422	5	10.8	42
Kelvontay Dixon	21	386	1	18.4	87

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	170	271	63%	1700	10	12	6.3
Elijah Brown	28	48	58%	274	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Daniels	148	669	3	4.5	67
Micah Ford	76	309	0	4.1	26
Chris Davis Jr.	54	288	0	5.3	47
Cole Tabb	27	130	0	4.8	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	63	831	6	13.2	60
Emmett Mosley V	48	525	6	10.9	62
Sam Roush	40	334	2	8.4	28
Ismael Cisse	26	241	2	9.3	25

SMU's DC Scott Symons

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobe Wilson	102	6	3	4	1
Isaiah Nwokobia	95	3	1	2	3
Ahmad Walker	88	8	1	4	3
Ahmaad Moses	64	6	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahfari Harvey	30	13	8	9	1
Isaiah Smith	31	9	7	6	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0
Elijah Roberts	32	10	7	10	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brandon Crossley	30	1	1	6
Jonathan McGill	52	2	1	6
Deuce Harmon	28	2	0	6

Stanford's DC Bobby April

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel	86	6	1	2	1
Scotty Edwards	80	2	0	0	2
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1
Mitch Leigber	54	4	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	8	6	8	0
Tobin Phillips	16	5	4	1	0
Tevarua Tafiti	41	7	4	3	0
Zach Buckey	11	6	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Collin Wright	45	3	5
Aaron Morris	32	0	4
Zahran Manley	12	0	3