Florida State at Miami Game Matchup
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Miami -22.5 (55.0) (-1800)  Open: -1.0
Miami 36 - Florida State: 14  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Miami -26    (SP+ -25)
PPG only: FSU: 20 - MIAMI: 36 (56)
MIAMI Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
FSU Travel: 396 miles
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/24 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-10.054.5L 21 - 24
Mon 9/2 Florida State vs Boston College-16.550.0L 13 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Florida State vs Memphis-7.052.0L 12 - 20
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs California-3.044.0W 14 - 9
Sat 9/28 Florida State at SMU+6.046.0L 16 - 42
Sat 10/5 Florida State vs Clemson+16.547.0L 13 - 29
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Florida State at Duke+2.543.0L 16 - 23
Sat 10/26 Florida State at Miami+22.555.0L 14 - 36
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs North Carolina+2.550.5L 11 - 35
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Notre Dame+25.544.5L 3 - 52
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-33.044.5W 41 - 7
Sat 11/30 Florida State vs Florida+17.545.5L 11 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

FSU's OC Alex Atkins vs MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry     MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs FSU's DC Adam Fuller

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#60 (.21)41% (79)15.439% (113)2.64 (128)15043% (54)2514.45 (25)#13 (.09)36% (9)2840% (38)32% (1)3.5 (47)56.60.61.2
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)43.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)25.338% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1415.412.341.3%4.450.6204011502514.547%53%39%43%15%.21
MIAMI Defense1325.31738.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense142838.335.5%3.51.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%32%21%.09
MIAMI Offense1343.947.843.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1429:2319.636%48%6.156.60.61.26.73.2229.5
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1447% (93)39% (113)33.1150.14.532 (10).07 (111)2.64 (128)63% (123)9% (52)1.06 (35)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1449% (49)40% (38) - - - - .12 (51)2.75 (19)77% (96)12% (20)1.07 (102)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1453% (39)43% (54)18.630.9250.68.113.525 (37)4 (2).34 (46)1.6 (48)32% (78)31% (66).36 (61)6% (67)2.2 (32)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1451% (90)32% (1) - - - - - - 10 (67).06 (4)1.6 (65)36% (16)27% (28).22 (22)9% (2)1.9 (24)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: -4.89 #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58

Florida State's SP+ Ratings
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: -4.89   Miami: 21.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: -3.2   Miami: 21.6




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 21.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 36
Florida State 20

Projected Total Points: 56
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Miami36Florida State14MiamiMiami -22.5Florida State55.0Under
202311/11Florida State27Miami20Florida StateFlorida State -14.5Miami50.5Under
202211/05Miami3Florida State45Florida StateFlorida State -6.5Florida State54.0Under
202111/13Florida State31Miami28Florida StateMiami -2.5Florida State61.5Under
202009/26Miami52Florida State10MiamiMiami -12.5Miami54.0Over
201911/02Florida State10Miami27MiamiFlorida State -3Miami50.0Under
201810/06Miami28Florida State27MiamiMiami -14Florida State48.5Over
201710/07Florida State20Miami24MiamiMiami -3Miami45.5Under
201610/08Miami19Florida State20Florida StateMiami -1.5Florida State61.5Under
201510/10Florida State29Miami24Florida StateFlorida State -9Miami54.0Under
201411/15Miami26Florida State30Florida StateFlorida State -2.5Florida State0
201311/02Florida State41Miami14Florida StateFlorida State -21Florida State0
201210/20Miami20Florida State33Florida State
201111/12Florida State23Miami19Florida State
201010/09Miami17Florida State45Florida State
200909/07Florida State34Miami38Miami
200810/04Miami39Florida State41Florida State
200710/20Florida State29Miami37Miami
200609/04Miami10Florida State13Florida State
200509/05Florida State10Miami7Florida State
200409/10Miami16Florida State10Miami
200301/01Florida State14Miami16Miami
200310/11Florida State14Miami22Miami
200210/12Miami28Florida State27Miami
200110/13Florida State27Miami49Miami
200010/06Miami27Florida State24Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami1352 Overs
Florida State1378 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 143 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams14 - 129 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#83) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.89 #83
Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0


Florida State Notes
(12/12) Signed QB Castellanos (BC), back w/ Gus (UCF)
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
Florida State     Ratings Matchup     Miami
Power #83
#8
Off #120
#1
Def #87
#52
Talent #9
#12
SP+ #83
#10
SP+ Off #114
#1
SP+ Def #58
#51

Rematch from Week 9
Miami -22.5 (55.0)
Miami won vs Florida State this year (36-14)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Florida State last year (36-14)
Florida State beat Miami in 2023 (27-20)
Florida State beat Miami in 2022 (45-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: FSU | MIAMI
Depth Chart: FSU | MIAMI
Rosters: FSU | MIAMI
(#8) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Miami Notes
(12/31) Fired DC Guidry (2 years at U)
(12/31) QB E Williams cannot be the answer
(12/1) Def torched by Cuse. L 28-17 2H to gag ACC shot
(11/25) Def great vs Wake. Rgame great, Ward good
(11/13) Run Def torched by GT, Rgame was abysmal in L
(11/2) Pass D torched by Duke? Off great but fraud alert
(10/19) Off 38+ pts every game. Def rough, Ward great
(9/27) Outgained VT by 100 yds, 3 TOs. Ward incredible




  
Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei8415654%1065466.8
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrance Toafili10945634.228
Kam Davis5217303.316
Luke Kromenhoek6311301.842
Brock Glenn359702.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Khi Douglas32519416.271
Malik Benson25311112.467
Lawrance Toafili2521508.632
Hykeem Williams16187111.733
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Azareye'h Thomas512024
K.J. Kirkland451002
Blake Nichelson454100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Farmer288460
Marvin Jones Jr.256430
Patrick Payton3210440
Darrell Jackson284441
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fentrell Cypress II241015
Azareye'h Thomas512024
Kevin Knowles II311114
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Tyler Baron3811660
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr.308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
Mishael Powell382116
OJ Frederique Jr.231006