North Carolina at Virginia Game Matchup

North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -3.5 (58.5) (-210) Open: -5.5 | 59.5
North Carolina 41 - Virginia: 14 (ACC)

Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ -10)
PPG only: UNC: 30 - UVA: 25 (55)
UVA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 150 miles

Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	North Carolina at Minnesota	-2.0	52.5	W 19 - 17
Sat 9/7	North Carolina vs Charlotte	-21.5	47.5	W 38 - 20
Sat 9/14	North Carolina vs North Carolina Central	-37.5	57.5	W 45 - 10
Sat 9/21	North Carolina vs James Madison	-10.0	48.0	L 50 - 70
Sat 9/28	North Carolina at Duke	-1.0	55.5	L 20 - 21
Sat 10/5	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	+2.5	63.0	L 24 - 34
Sat 10/12	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	+3.5	60.5	L 34 - 41
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	North Carolina at Virginia	+3.5	58.5	W 41 - 14
Sat 11/2	North Carolina at Florida State	-2.5	50.5	W 35 - 11
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-10.5	64.5	W 31 - 24
Sat 11/23	North Carolina at Boston College	-2.0	50.5	L 21 - 41
Sat 11/30	North Carolina vs NC State	-2.5	54.5	L 30 - 35
Sat 12/28	North Carolina vs UConn	-2.0	53.5	L 14 - 27

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Virginia vs Richmond			W 34 - 13
Sat 9/7	Virginia at Wake Forest	-1.5	55.5	W 31 - 30
Sat 9/14	Virginia vs Maryland	-2.5	55.5	L 13 - 27
Sat 9/21	Virginia at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	52.0	W 43 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Virginia vs Boston College	-2.0	52.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/12	Virginia vs Louisville	+7.0	54.0	L 20 - 24
Sat 10/19	Virginia at Clemson	+20.0	57.5	L 31 - 48
Sat 10/26	Virginia vs North Carolina	-3.5	58.5	L 14 - 41
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+7.5	56.5	W 24 - 19
Sat 11/16	Virginia at Notre Dame	+20.5	51.0	L 14 - 35
Sat 11/23	Virginia vs SMU	+11.5	54.5	L 7 - 33
Sat 11/30	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+4.5	44.5	L 17 - 37

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs UNC's DC Geoff Collins

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	#17 (.3)	47% (19)	30.9	50% (16)	3.41 (11)	193	44% (44)	299	4.13 (45)	#86 (.21)	42% (70)	28.1	43% (68)	42% (76)	3.41 (35)	66.3	1.3	1.7
UVA	#88 (.15)	41% (84)	22.7	42% (82)	3 (89)	118	41% (76)	251	3.68 (85)	#117 (.26)	45% (113)	28.8	48% (118)	43% (90)	4.15 (103)	55.3	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	13	30.9	27.2	46.8%	4.13	1.3	25	492	193	299	5.1	46%	53%	50%	44%	13%	.3
UVA Defense	12	28.8	25.3	45.2%	4.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	13	28.1	20.8	42.2%	3.41	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	42%	15%	.21
UVA Offense	12	22.7	18.7	41%	3.68	1.7	21	369	118	251	3.1	49%	50%	42%	41%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	13	28:34	24.5	49%	45%	7.2	66.3	1.3	1.7	5.4	2.1	1	31.3
Virginia	12	31:24	21	36%	60%	6.5	55.3	1.7	1.2	4.8	0.9	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	13	46% (97)	50% (16)	38.2	193.2	5.1	28 (25)	.28 (9)	3.41 (11)	75% (52)	8% (31)	1.03 (48)
UVA Defense	12	51% (87)	48% (118)	-	-	-	-	.26 (124)	3.36 (116)	76% (92)	9% (108)	1.03 (84)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	13	50% (70)	43% (68)	-	-	-	-	.2 (100)	3.33 (112)	73% (68)	10% (85)	1.02 (81)
UVA Offense	12	49% (76)	42% (82)	37.8	117.9	3.1	12 (116)	.11 (91)	3 (89)	70% (98)	13% (123)	0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	13	53% (36)	44% (44)	22.5	35.4	298.5	8.4	13.3	26 (31)	11 (68)	.34 (47)	1.6 (73)	30% (33)	32% (56)	.38 (55)	5% (24)	2.2 (21)
UVA Defense	12	48% (48)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.32 (97)	1.6 (54)	28% (127)	30% (62)	.33 (76)	6% (57)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	13	49% (63)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (82)	1.6 (64)	34% (43)	34% (117)	.38 (100)	6% (92)	1.9 (22)
UVA Offense	12	50% (62)	41% (76)	20.7	33	250.8	7.6	12.1	19 (78)	14 (107)	.29 (67)	1.6 (66)	32% (83)	29% (79)	.21 (105)	6% (79)	1.8 (126)

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Virginia: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 5.0 Virginia: -5.1

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: #NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: -

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 30
Virginia 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Virginia	14	North Carolina	41	North Carolina	Virginia -3.5	North Carolina	58.5	Under
2023	10/21	North Carolina	27	Virginia	31	Virginia	North Carolina -24	Virginia	58.0	Push
2022	11/05	Virginia	28	North Carolina	31	North Carolina	North Carolina -7	Virginia	61.5	Under
2021	09/18	North Carolina	59	Virginia	39	North Carolina	North Carolina -7.5	North Carolina	67.0	Over
2020	10/31	Virginia	44	North Carolina	41	Virginia	North Carolina -7.0	Virginia	0
2019	11/02	North Carolina	31	Virginia	38	Virginia	Virginia -1	Virginia	48.0	Over
2018	10/27	Virginia	31	North Carolina	21	Virginia	Virginia -7.5	Virginia	51.0	Over
2017	10/14	North Carolina	14	Virginia	20	Virginia	Virginia -3	Virginia	54.5	Under
2016	10/22	Virginia	14	North Carolina	35	North Carolina	North Carolina -9	North Carolina	68.5	Under
2015	10/24	North Carolina	26	Virginia	13	North Carolina	North Carolina -12	North Carolina	58.0	Under
2014	10/25	Virginia	27	North Carolina	28	North Carolina	Virginia -7.5	North Carolina	0
2013	11/09	North Carolina	45	Virginia	14	North Carolina	North Carolina -14	North Carolina	0
2012	11/15	Virginia	13	North Carolina	37	North Carolina
2011	09/17	North Carolina	28	Virginia	17	North Carolina
2010	10/16	Virginia	10	North Carolina	44	North Carolina
2009	10/03	North Carolina	3	Virginia	16	Virginia
2008	10/18	Virginia	16	North Carolina	13	Virginia
2007	09/15	North Carolina	20	Virginia	22	Virginia
2006	10/19	Virginia	23	North Carolina	0	Virginia
2005	10/22	North Carolina	7	Virginia	5	North Carolina
2004	09/11	Virginia	56	North Carolina	24	Virginia
2003	10/04	North Carolina	13	Virginia	38	Virginia
2002	10/19	Virginia	37	North Carolina	27	Virginia
2001	10/13	North Carolina	30	Virginia	24	North Carolina
2000	10/27	Virginia	17	North Carolina	6	Virginia

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	13	6	3 Overs
North Carolina	12	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	6 - 6	4 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 13	6 - 6	3 - 2	3 - 4

(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

North Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now

North Carolina Ratings Matchup Virginia

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #18

#50

SP+ #49

#91

SP+ Off #38

#95

SP+ Def #64

#86

Rematch from Week 9
Virginia -3.5 (58.5)
North Carolina won at Virginia this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | UVA
Depth Chart: UNC | UVA
Rosters: UNC | UVA

(#NR) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
Conner Harrell	21	37	57%	282	2	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Hampton	281	1660	15	5.9	75
Davion Gause	67	326	4	4.9	21
Jacolby Criswell	71	103	3	1.5	20
Charleston French	10	84	1	8.4	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J.J. Jones	36	582	6	16.2	53
John Copenhaver	40	414	4	10.4	35
Omarion Hampton	38	373	2	9.8	49
Kobe Paysour	21	365	0	17.4	36

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea	198	320	62%	2125	13	11	6.6
Tony Muskett	45	76	59%	545	3	3	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Pace	114	499	3	4.4	43
Xavier Brown	80	488	1	6.1	75
Anthony Colandrea	128	277	2	2.2	35
Noah Vaughn	36	120	0	3.3	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Fields	55	808	5	14.7	45
Tyler Neville	37	394	2	10.6	39
Trell Harris	15	221	2	14.7	45
Kobe Pace	21	189	0	9.0	52

North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Lane	74	4	1	0	2
Power Echols	73	2	1	2	6
Amare Campbell	69	9	6	3	2
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Atkinson	35	12	8	4	0
Kaimon Rucker	30	8	6	3	1
Amare Campbell	69	9	6	3	2
Desmond Evans	34	10	5	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alijah Huzzie	36	4	2	1	8
Power Echols	73	2	1	2	6
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	0	4

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Kamren Robinson	64	6	5	2	1
Trey McDonald	57	3	1	1	1
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamren Robinson	64	6	5	2	1
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
James Jackson	45	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kempton Shine	37	2	0	0	7
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	0	6
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4