Duke at Wake Forest Game Matchup
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Duke -3.5 (53.5) (-165)  Open: -2.5 | 54.5
Duke 23 - Wake Forest: 17  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Duke -11    (SP+ -11.5)
PPG only: DUKE: 29 - WAKE: 25 (54)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 74 miles
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 8/30 Duke vs Elon-24.547.5W 26 - 3
Fri 9/6 Duke vs Northwestern+2.537.5W 26 - 20
Sat 9/14 Duke vs UConn-17.546.5W 26 - 21
Sat 9/21 Duke at Middle Tennessee-14.551.0W 45 - 17
Sat 9/28 Duke vs North Carolina+1.055.5W 21 - 20
Sat 10/5 Duke at Georgia Tech+10.052.5L 14 - 24
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Duke vs Florida State-2.543.0W 23 - 16
Sat 10/26 Duke vs SMU+11.549.5L 27 - 28
Sat 11/2 Duke at Miami+21.055.5L 31 - 53
Sat 11/9 Duke at NC State+3.551.5W 29 - 19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Duke vs Virginia Tech+2.545.5W 31 - 28
Sat 11/30 Duke at Wake Forest-3.553.5W 23 - 17
Thu 1/2 Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T W 45 - 13
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer vs WAKE's DC Brad Lambert     WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero vs DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#64 (.2)42% (69)26.342% (77)3.1 (70)16742% (66)1814.27 (31)#52 (.16)43% (86)24.543% (69)44% (101)3.47 (43)461.21.2
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)25.742% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)32.540% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.442%4.271.2193481671814.852%47%42%42%13%.2
WAKE Defense1232.534.740.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52643.3%3.471.2 - - - - - 49%50%43%44%16%.16
WAKE Offense1225.726.641.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1328:5918.736%60%5.6461.21.25.52.1131.2
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (114)8% (20)1.08 (30)
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (39)10% (82)0.96 (43)
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68   Wake Forest: -8.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6   Wake Forest: -5.7




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -8.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Wake Forest's SP+ Ratings
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 29
Wake Forest 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Wake Forest17Duke23DukeDuke -3.5Duke53.5Under
202311/02Duke24Wake Forest21DukeDuke -6.5Wake Forest41.0Over
202211/26Duke34Wake Forest31DukeWake Forest -3Duke67.0Under
202110/30Wake Forest45Duke7Wake ForestWake Forest -16.5Wake Forest71.5Under
201911/23Wake Forest39Duke27Wake ForestWake Forest -6.5Wake Forest50.0Over
201811/24Duke7Wake Forest59Wake ForestDuke -9.5Wake Forest61.5Over
201711/25Wake Forest23Duke31DukeWake Forest -10.5Duke59.0Under
201609/10Duke14Wake Forest24Wake ForestDuke -8.5Wake Forest45.5Under
201511/28Wake Forest21Duke27DukeDuke -4Duke45.0Over
201411/29Duke41Wake Forest21DukeDuke -18Duke0
201311/23Wake Forest21Duke28DukeDuke -5.5Duke0
201209/29Wake Forest27Duke34Duke
201110/22Duke23Wake Forest24Wake Forest
201009/11Wake Forest54Duke48Wake Forest
200911/28Duke34Wake Forest45Wake Forest
200811/01Wake Forest33Duke30Wake Forest
200710/06Duke36Wake Forest41Wake Forest
200609/09Wake Forest14Duke13Wake Forest
200510/29Duke6Wake Forest44Wake Forest
200410/30Wake Forest24Duke22Wake Forest
200310/18Duke13Wake Forest42Wake Forest
200210/12Wake Forest36Duke10Wake Forest
200110/13Duke35Wake Forest42Wake Forest
200011/03Wake Forest28Duke26Wake Forest
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest1654 Overs
Duke865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 73 - 41 - 3
Road Teams13 - 117 - 43 - 14 - 3

(#50) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0


Duke Notes
(12/11) Signed QB Mensah (Tulane QB '24)
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
Duke     Ratings Matchup     Wake Forest
Power #50
#102
Off #113
#98
Def #17
#115
Talent #56
#70
SP+ #44
#93
SP+ Off #71
#77
SP+ Def #31
#103

Rematch from Week 14
Duke 3.5 (53.5)
Duke won at Wake Forest this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Wake Forest last year (23-17)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2023 (24-21)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2022 (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 42° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | WAKE
Depth Chart: DUKE | WAKE
Rosters: DUKE | WAKE
(#102) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Wake Forest Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Dickert (Wazzu)
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good




  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy25442160%293226127.0
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas21387174.144
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Henry Belin IV113903.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier22435763%259316107.3
Michael Kern244553%288136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylor Morin64756211.851
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545

Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ozzie Nicholas1004142
Alex Howard8915761
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Terry Moore717105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Alex Howard8915761
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Vincent Anthony25105133
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Jaylen Stinson674238
Joshua Pickett384007
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen1221011
Branson Combs836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis3111650
Kevin Pointer337481
Bryce Ganious265370
Branson Combs836221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003