NC State at North Carolina Game Matchup
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
North Carolina -2.5 (54.5) (-125)  Open: -3.5 | 55.5
NC State 35 - North Carolina: 30  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: NCST: 28 - UNC: 31 (59)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 20 miles
Tar Heels (6 - 7) (2 - 10 - 1)
Coach Mack Brown (38 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
North Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at Minnesota-2.052.5W 19 - 17
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Charlotte-21.547.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/14 North Carolina vs North Carolina Central-37.557.5W 45 - 10
Sat 9/21 North Carolina vs James Madison-10.048.0L 50 - 70
Sat 9/28 North Carolina at Duke-1.055.5L 20 - 21
Sat 10/5 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh+2.563.0L 24 - 34
Sat 10/12 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech+3.560.5L 34 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 North Carolina at Virginia+3.558.5W 41 - 14
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at Florida State-2.550.5W 35 - 11
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-10.564.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/23 North Carolina at Boston College-2.050.5L 21 - 41
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs NC State-2.554.5L 30 - 35
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs UConn-2.053.5L 14 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NCST's OC Robert Anae vs UNC's DC Geoff Collins     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#89 (.15)40% (100)28.540% (96)3.11 (68)15739% (96)1944.11 (47)#16 (.1)39% (34)30.239% (34)40% (40)3.77 (66)46.31.21.9
UNC#17 (.3)47% (19)30.950% (16)3.41 (11)19344% (44)2994.13 (45)#86 (.21)42% (70)28.143% (68)42% (76)3.41 (35)66.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.839.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15
UNC Defense1328.133.442.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.538.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
UNC Offense1330.93646.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (20)12% (106)0.93 (100)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (68)10% (85)1.02 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (27)11% (32)1.07 (103)
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (52)8% (31)1.03 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: #NR
NC State's Offense Rating: #NR
NC State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 760.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.9   North Carolina: 5.0




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
North Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: -

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 31
NC State 28

Projected Total Points: 59
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30North Carolina30NC State35NC StateNorth Carolina -2.5NC State54.5Over
202311/25NC State39North Carolina20NC StateNorth Carolina -2NC State55.0Over
202211/25North Carolina27NC State30NC StateNorth Carolina -6.5NC State56.0Over
202111/26NC State34North Carolina30NC StateNC State -6.5North Carolina62.0Over
202010/24North Carolina48NC State21North CarolinaNorth Carolina -15.0North Carolina62.0Over
201911/30NC State10North Carolina41North CarolinaNorth Carolina -11North Carolina57.0Under
201811/24North Carolina28NC State34NC StateNC State -7.5North Carolina61.5Over
201711/25NC State33North Carolina21NC StateNC State -14.5North Carolina57.0Under
201611/25North Carolina21NC State28NC StateNorth Carolina -10NC State63.0Under
201511/28NC State34North Carolina45North CarolinaNorth Carolina -6North Carolina65.0Over
201411/29North Carolina7NC State35NC StateNorth Carolina -6NC State0
201311/02NC State19North Carolina27North CarolinaNorth Carolina -3North Carolina0
201210/27North Carolina43NC State35North Carolina
201111/05NC State13North Carolina0NC State
201011/20North Carolina25NC State29NC State
200911/28NC State28North Carolina27NC State
200811/22North Carolina10NC State41NC State
200711/10NC State31North Carolina27NC State
200611/18North Carolina23NC State9North Carolina
200509/24NC State24North Carolina31North Carolina
200410/09North Carolina30NC State24North Carolina
200309/27NC State47North Carolina34NC State
200210/12North Carolina17NC State34NC State
200109/29NC State9North Carolina17North Carolina
200010/13North Carolina20NC State38NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina977 Overs
NC State1653 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 143 - 91 - 62 - 3
Road Teams14 - 119 - 33 - 26 - 1

(#NR) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 760.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


NC State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled GT, but 3 Bailey INTs, bad Def
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
NC State     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #38
#18
SP+ #56
#49
SP+ Off #47
#38
SP+ Def #68
#64

Rematch from Week 14
North Carolina -2.5 (54.5)
NC State won at North Carolina this year (35-30)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat North Carolina last year (35-30)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2023 (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 45°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | UNC
Depth Chart: NCST | UNC
Rosters: NCST | UNC
(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 858.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


North Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Bill Belichick (Pats/NFL)
(11/26) Mack Brown fired at the end of 2024 season
(11/25) Rgame sucks, Criswell 3 INTs, Run Def awful vs BC
(11/18) 3 str W's vs bad teams. Rgame/Hampton great
(10/13) Run Def mauled by GT (371, 7.7 ypc). Gag again
(9/28) Blew 20-0 lead vs Duke. Even game, 10 flags hurt
(9/22) Def all. 600+ yds & 70 pts in JMU loss at home
(9/18) QB Jacolby Criswell looks like starter now




  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Grayson McCall538066%518326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Jordan Waters9547044.994
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly43661415.440
Noah Rogers35478113.775
Kevin Concepcion5345968.742
Wesley Grimes24319113.330
North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacolby Criswell18632058%24591567.7
Conner Harrell213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2811660155.975
Davion Gause6732644.921
Jacolby Criswell7110331.520
Charleston French108418.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones36582616.253
John Copenhaver40414410.435
Omarion Hampton3837329.849
Kobe Paysour21365017.436

NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Donovan Kaufman744164
Devon Betty619262
Aydan White590005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davin Vann4114722
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Devon Betty619262
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Devon Marshall331007
Tamarcus Cooley393126
North Carolina's DC Geoff Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Lane744102
Power Echols732126
Amare Campbell699632
Jakeen Harris671004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Atkinson3512840
Kaimon Rucker308631
Amare Campbell699632
Desmond Evans3410591
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alijah Huzzie364218
Power Echols732126
Jakeen Harris671004