Virginia at Wake Forest Game Matchup
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -1.5 (55.5) (-110)  Open: -1.5 | 56.5
Virginia 31 - Wake Forest: 30  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia -6.5    (SP+ -0.5)
PPG only: UVA: 28 - WAKE: 27 (55)
UVA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UVA Travel: 163 miles
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond W 34 - 13
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T W 45 - 13
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs WAKE's DC Brad Lambert     WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)22.742% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)28.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)25.742% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)32.540% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.726.741%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
WAKE Defense1232.534.740.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.832.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
WAKE Offense1225.726.641.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00   Wake Forest: -8.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1   Wake Forest: -5.7




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -8.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Wake Forest's SP+ Ratings
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 28
Wake Forest 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Wake Forest30Virginia31VirginiaVirginia -1.5Wake Forest55.5Over
202109/24Virginia17Wake Forest37Wake ForestVirginia -3.5Wake Forest71.0Under
202010/17Wake Forest40Virginia23Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest57.5Over
201611/05Wake Forest27Virginia20Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest45.0Over
201210/20Virginia10Wake Forest16Wake Forest
200811/08Wake Forest28Virginia17Wake Forest
200711/03Virginia17Wake Forest16Virginia
200309/27Virginia27Wake Forest24Virginia
200209/28Wake Forest34Virginia38Virginia
200111/03Virginia30Wake Forest34Wake Forest
200009/29Wake Forest10Virginia27Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest643 Overs
Virginia501 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 63 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams6 - 51 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#69) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Wake Forest
Power #69
#102
Off #84
#98
Def #96
#115
Talent #50
#70
SP+ #91
#93
SP+ Off #95
#77
SP+ Def #86
#103

Rematch from Week 2
Virginia 1.5 (55.5)
Virginia won at Wake Forest this year (31-30)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Wake Forest last year (31-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UVA | WAKE
Depth Chart: UVA | WAKE
Rosters: UVA | WAKE
(#102) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Wake Forest Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Dickert (Wazzu)
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good




  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Tony Muskett457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace11449934.443
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville37394210.639
Trell Harris15221214.745
Kobe Pace2118909.052
Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier22435763%259316107.3
Michael Kern244553%288136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylor Morin64756211.851
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Jonas Sanker989214
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen1221011
Branson Combs836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis3111650
Kevin Pointer337481
Bryce Ganious265370
Branson Combs836221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003