Colorado at Colorado State Game Matchup
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Colorado -7.5 (58.5) (-305)  Open: -7.5
Colorado 28 - Colorado State: 9

 
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
COLO 2nd straight Road Game
CSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Colorado -15.5    (SP+ -14)
PPG only: COLO: 29 - CSU: 24 (53)
COLO Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 40 miles
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Colorado State at Texas+35.559.0L 0 - 52
Sat 9/7 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-31.052.5W 38 - 17
Sat 9/14 Colorado State vs Colorado+7.558.5L 9 - 28
Sat 9/21 Colorado State vs UTEP-8.549.0W 27 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Colorado State at Oregon State+10.047.0L 31 - 39
Sat 10/12 Colorado State vs San José State-2.555.5W 31 - 24
Sat 10/19 Colorado State at Air Force-6.043.5W 21 - 13
Sat 10/26 Colorado State vs New Mexico-3.562.0W 17 - 6
Sat 11/2 Colorado State at Nevada-2.045.5W 38 - 21
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Colorado State vs Wyoming-8.547.5W 24 - 10
Sat 11/23 Colorado State at Fresno State+3.543.5L 22 - 28
Fri 11/29 Colorado State vs Utah State-5.556.5W 42 - 37
Sat 12/28 Colorado State vs Miami (OH)+1.042.5L 17 - 43
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur vs CSU's DC Freddie Banks     CSU's OC Matt Mumme vs COLO's DC Robert Livingston

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)32.936% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)23.148% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
CSU#81 (.17)42% (74)24.439% (118)2.7 (124)9345% (38)3073.66 (86)#65 (.18)43% (80)25.842% (61)44% (107)3.4 (31)69.82.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1232.932.241.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21
CSU Defense1225.819.942.9%3.41.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%44%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1223.118.447.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
CSU Offense1224.426.941.6%3.662.121399933073.439%59%39%45%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Colorado State1226:3420.641%42%7.669.82.11.67.22.8226.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)
CSU Defense1252% (102)42% (61) - - - - .11 (47)3.05 (55)75% (82)12% (24)1.04 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
CSU Offense1239% (126)39% (118)27.792.83.410 (124)-.02 (130)2.7 (124)69% (102)7% (15)0.72 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)
CSU Defense1247% (31)44% (107) - - - - - - 9 (87).29 (87)1.4 (10)32% (69)30% (69).3 (60)4% (126)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
CSU Offense1259% (9)45% (38)25.941.8306.57.311.824 (41)18 (128).35 (43)1.5 (100)33% (86)29% (81).31 (74)8% (124)2 (105)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Colorado's SP+ Ratings
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48   Colorado State: -2.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1   Colorado State: -5.7




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Colorado State's SP+ Ratings
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 29
Colorado State 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Colorado State9Colorado28ColoradoColorado -7.5Colorado58.5Under
202309/16Colorado43Colorado State35ColoradoColorado -23Colorado State63.0Over
201908/30Colorado52Colorado State31ColoradoColorado -12Colorado55.0Over
201808/31Colorado State13Colorado45ColoradoColorado -7Colorado65.5Under
201709/01Colorado17Colorado State3ColoradoColorado -3Colorado69.5Under
201609/02Colorado44Colorado State7ColoradoColorado -10Colorado56.0Under
201509/19Colorado State24Colorado27ColoradoColorado State -1Colorado56.5Under
201408/29Colorado17Colorado State31Colorado StateColorado -3Colorado State0
201309/01Colorado State27Colorado41ColoradoColorado -1.5Colorado0
201209/01Colorado17Colorado State22Colorado State
201109/17Colorado28Colorado State14Colorado
201009/04Colorado State3Colorado24Colorado
200909/06Colorado17Colorado State23Colorado State
200808/31Colorado38Colorado State17Colorado
200709/01Colorado31Colorado State28Colorado
200609/09Colorado State14Colorado10Colorado State
200509/03Colorado31Colorado State28Colorado
200409/04Colorado27Colorado State24Colorado
200308/30Colorado State35Colorado42Colorado
200208/31Colorado14Colorado State19Colorado State
200109/01Colorado State14Colorado41Colorado
200009/01Colorado State28Colorado24Colorado State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State622 Overs
Colorado1675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 113 - 63 - 30 - 3
Road Teams11 - 116 - 33 - 03 - 3

(#18) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45
Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0


Colorado Notes
(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
Colorado     Ratings Matchup     Colorado State
Power #18
#78
Off #36
#74
Def #15
#69
Talent #54
#98
SP+ #39
#93
SP+ Off #27
#92
SP+ Def #45
#85

Rematch from Week 3
Colorado 7.5 (58.5)
Colorado won at Colorado State this year (28-9)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Colorado State last year (28-9)
Colorado beat Colorado State in 2023 (43-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: COLO | CSU
Depth Chart: COLO | CSU
Rosters: COLO | CSU
(#78) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Colorado State Notes
(11/29) QB torched Ut St. Rgame awful, R Def awful
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU




  
Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders35347774%413437108.7
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave8538444.537
Dallan Hayden6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Hunter9612581513.158
LaJohntay Wester749311012.669
Will Sheppard48621612.947
Jimmy Horn Jr.37441111.969
Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Avery Morrow184100695.573
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Jalen Dupree2515316.124
Keegan Holles159716.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Jamari Person35373110.760
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Tory Horton25331113.252

Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig8610243
Nikhai Hill-Green7912224
Shilo Sanders643102
Dylahn McKinney593008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Taje Mccoy244420
Keaten Wade207410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter3510011
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027
Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson973061
Buom Jock973023
Jack Howell861005
Henry Blackburn791123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
James Mitchell386251
Ayden Hector405206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry383019
Dom Jones602008
Dominic Morris542008