Cincinnati at Miami (OH) Game Matchup
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -3.5 (47.5) (-150)  Open: -2.0 | 45.5
Cincinnati 27 - Miami (OH): 16

 
Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -3.5    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: CIN: 22 - M-OH: 24 (46)
CIN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 29 miles
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Cincinnati vs Towson-33.556.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+2.562.5L 27 - 28
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-3.547.5W 27 - 16
Sat 9/21 Cincinnati vs Houston-4.047.5W 34 - 0
Sat 9/28 Cincinnati at Texas Tech+3.060.0L 41 - 44
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Cincinnati at UCF+2.058.0W 19 - 13
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs Arizona State-5.551.0W 24 - 14
Sat 10/26 Cincinnati at Colorado+6.057.0L 23 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs West Virginia-5.554.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at Iowa State+7.052.5L 17 - 34
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati at Kansas State+7.554.5L 15 - 41
Sat 11/30 Cincinnati vs TCU+2.558.5L 13 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Miami (OH) vs Northwestern+4.043.0L 6 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+3.547.5L 16 - 27
Sat 9/21 Miami (OH) at Notre Dame+27.544.0L 3 - 28
Sat 9/28 Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts-15.544.5W 23 - 20
Sat 10/5 Miami (OH) at Toledo+4.544.0L 20 - 30
Sat 10/12 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-3.045.5W 38 - 14
Sat 10/19 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-3.543.5W 30 - 20
Sat 10/26 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan-10.548.5W 46 - 7
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Miami (OH) at Ball State-12.548.5W 27 - 21
Wed 11/13 Miami (OH) vs Kent State-31.047.5W 34 - 7
Tue 11/19 Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois-1.543.0W 20 - 9
Fri 11/29 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.037.5W 28 - 12
Sat 12/7 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-2.543.5L 3 - 38
Sat 12/28 Miami (OH) vs Colorado State-1.042.5W 43 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

CIN's OC Brad Glenn vs M-OH's DC Bill Brechin     M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh vs CIN's DC Tyson Veidt

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)25.246% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)24.642% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
M-OH#78 (.18)37% (122)24.135% (129)2.95 (99)15839% (93)1653.99 (57)#20 (.1)40% (48)18.841% (47)41% (61)3.06 (14)39.11.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1225.223.743.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2
M-OH Defense1418.81540.5%3.061.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%41%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1224.630.341.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
M-OH Offense1424.128.236.5%3.991.1153241581654.458%41%35%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
Miami (OH)1429:3715.336%31%4.739.11.11.25.32.5035.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)
M-OH Defense1452% (92)41% (47) - - - - .06 (23)3.11 (70)72% (60)10% (69)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
M-OH Offense1458% (15)35% (129)35.9158.14.423 (46).1 (94)2.95 (99)80% (20)11% (82)1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)
M-OH Defense1447% (39)41% (61) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (27)1.3 (1)29% (119)24% (10).15 (7)8% (20)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
M-OH Offense1441% (120)39% (93)11.821165.47.91416 (92)7 (21).31 (59)1.8 (18)35% (117)25% (119).21 (104)7% (107)1.9 (116)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 1.93   Miami (OH): -1.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.1   Miami (OH): 1.3




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -1.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Miami (OH)'s SP+ Ratings
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 24
Cincinnati 22

Projected Total Points: 46
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami (OH)16Cincinnati27CincinnatiCincinnati -3.5Cincinnati47.5Under
202309/16Cincinnati24Miami (OH)31Miami (OH)Cincinnati -14.5Miami (OH)44.5Over
202209/17Miami (OH)17Cincinnati38CincinnatiCincinnati -24Miami (OH)51.0Over
202109/04Cincinnati49Miami (OH)14CincinnatiCincinnati -22.5Cincinnati49.0Over
201909/14Cincinnati35Miami (OH)13CincinnatiCincinnati -17Cincinnati49.5Under
201809/08Miami (OH)0Cincinnati21CincinnatiMiami (OH) -1.5Cincinnati48.0Under
201709/16Miami (OH)17Cincinnati21CincinnatiMiami (OH) -3.5Cincinnati49.0Under
201609/24Cincinnati27Miami (OH)20CincinnatiCincinnati -19.5Miami (OH)55.5Under
201509/19Miami (OH)33Cincinnati37CincinnatiCincinnati -19Miami (OH)59.5Over
201409/20Cincinnati31Miami (OH)24CincinnatiCincinnati -32Miami (OH)0
201309/21Miami (OH)0Cincinnati14CincinnatiCincinnati -24Miami (OH)0
201210/06Cincinnati52Miami (OH)14Cincinnati
201110/01Miami (OH)0Cincinnati27Cincinnati
201010/09Cincinnati45Miami (OH)3Cincinnati
200910/03Miami (OH)13Cincinnati37Cincinnati
200809/20Cincinnati45Miami (OH)20Cincinnati
200709/15Miami (OH)10Cincinnati47Cincinnati
200609/30Cincinnati24Miami (OH)10Cincinnati
200509/28Miami (OH)44Cincinnati16Miami (OH)
200409/11Cincinnati45Miami (OH)26Cincinnati
200309/27Miami (OH)42Cincinnati37Miami (OH)
200210/05Cincinnati26Miami (OH)31Miami (OH)
200109/22Miami (OH)21Cincinnati14Miami (OH)
200010/27Cincinnati45Miami (OH)15Cincinnati
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)564 Overs
Cincinnati1955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 62 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 51 - 35 - 2

(#56) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Cincinnati Notes
(11/25) 4 str L's, down 27-3 at H, Def killed by K St
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
Cincinnati     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #56
#75
Off #44
#115
Def #85
#21
Talent #53
#77
SP+ #72
#68
SP+ Off #79
#98
SP+ Def #57
#43

Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati 3.5 (47.5)
Cincinnati won at Miami (OH) this year (27-16)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) last year (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CIN | M-OH
Depth Chart: CIN | M-OH
Rosters: CIN | M-OH
(#75) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0


Miami (OH) Notes
(11/25) Huge W @ N Ill. Game vs BG for MAC title game
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps




  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Chance Williams156704.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson58735412.742
Joe Royer51532310.438
Tony Johnson4945269.223
Jamoi Mayes29349112.052
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dylan Downing4415213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy57818714.472
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135

Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Jake Golday577102
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
Jonathan Thompson495213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Eric Phillips195360
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Young351005
Derrick Canteen443005
Josh Minkins452004
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Silas Walters9530012
Ty Wise8911521
Eli Blakey891002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Adam Trick376420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Silas Walters9530012
William Hardrick260004