Cincinnati at Texas Tech Game Matchup
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Texas Tech -3 (60.0) (-155)  Open: -5.0
Texas Tech 44 - Cincinnati: 41  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TTU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas Tech -2    (SP+ -4)
PPG only: CIN: 30 - TTU: 31 (61)
TTU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 1037 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Cincinnati vs Towson-33.556.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+2.562.5L 27 - 28
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-3.547.5W 27 - 16
Sat 9/21 Cincinnati vs Houston-4.047.5W 34 - 0
Sat 9/28 Cincinnati at Texas Tech+3.060.0L 41 - 44
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Cincinnati at UCF+2.058.0W 19 - 13
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs Arizona State-5.551.0W 24 - 14
Sat 10/26 Cincinnati at Colorado+6.057.0L 23 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs West Virginia-5.554.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at Iowa State+7.052.5L 17 - 34
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati at Kansas State+7.554.5L 15 - 41
Sat 11/30 Cincinnati vs TCU+2.558.5L 13 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

CIN's OC Brad Glenn vs TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter     TTU's OC Zach Kittley vs CIN's DC Tyson Veidt

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)25.246% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)24.642% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)37.647% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)34.842% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1225.223.743.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2
TTU Defense1334.835.740.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1224.630.341.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
TTU Offense1337.643.742.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 1.93   Texas Tech: 4.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.1   Texas Tech: 4.3




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 4.09 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 31
Cincinnati 30

Projected Total Points: 61
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Texas Tech44Cincinnati41Texas TechTexas Tech -3Push60.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech101 Overs
Cincinnati000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#56) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Cincinnati Notes
(11/25) 4 str L's, down 27-3 at H, Def killed by K St
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
Cincinnati     Ratings Matchup     Texas Tech
Power #56
#55
Off #44
#49
Def #85
#99
Talent #53
#23
SP+ #72
#54
SP+ Off #79
#25
SP+ Def #57
#95

Rematch from Week 5
Texas Tech -3.0 (60.0)
Texas Tech won vs Cincinnati this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Cincinnati last year (44-41)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CIN | TTU
Depth Chart: CIN | TTU
Rosters: CIN | TTU
(#55) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.09 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team




  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Chance Williams156704.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson58735412.742
Joe Royer51532310.438
Tony Johnson4945269.223
Jamoi Mayes29349112.052
Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly891023511.541
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers25271510.836

Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Jake Golday577102
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
Jonathan Thompson495213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Eric Phillips195360
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Young351005
Derrick Canteen443005
Josh Minkins452004
Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Jayden Cofield184200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003