Texas Tech at TCU Game Matchup
Texas Tech logo Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -5.0 (66.0) (-230)  Open: -6.0 | 67.5
TCU 35 - Texas Tech: 34  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: TCU -12.5    (SP+ -7)
PPG only: TTU: 31 - TCU: 34 (65)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TTU Travel: 268 miles
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
TCU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 8/30 TCU at Stanford-8.058.5W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7 TCU vs Long Island University-45.556.5W 45 - 0
Sat 9/14 TCU vs UCF-1.561.5L 34 - 35
Sat 9/21 TCU at SMU-1.058.5L 42 - 66
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas+1.558.5W 38 - 27
Fri 10/4 TCU vs Houston-16.552.0L 19 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Utah+3.052.0W 13 - 7
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas Tech-5.066.0W 35 - 34
Sat 11/2 TCU at Baylor+2.564.0L 34 - 37
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Oklahoma State-10.568.5W 38 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 TCU vs Arizona-10.560.0W 49 - 28
Sat 11/30 TCU at Cincinnati-2.558.5W 20 - 13
Sat 12/28 TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TTU's OC Zach Kittley vs TCU's DC Andy Avalos     TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#92 (.15)42% (59)37.647% (26)3.36 (17)16339% (97)2243.91 (70)#51 (.16)41% (54)34.842% (63)40% (51)3.46 (42)49.91.81.3
TCU#25 (.28)47% (16)33.549% (18)3.35 (23)15547% (20)3123.91 (69)#96 (.23)44% (89)24.643% (70)45% (112)3.91 (78)53.61.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1337.631.442.5%3.911.8223871632244.547%51%47%39%15%.15
TCU Defense1224.623.343.6%3.911 - - - - - 51%49%43%45%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1334.832.840.9%3.461.3 - - - - - 48%51%42%40%15%.16
TCU Offense1233.536.747.4%3.911.6254671553124.642%57%49%47%13%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1328:4521.940%65%5.449.91.81.35.22.2330
TCU1227:212546%50%6.253.61.6151.8229.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1347% (90)47% (26)36.5162.84.517 (81).21 (32)3.36 (17)76% (47)7% (12)0.99 (69)
TCU Defense1251% (76)43% (70) - - - - .16 (81)3.16 (82)78% (100)8% (117)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1348% (42)42% (63) - - - - .15 (73)3.14 (76)61% (11)9% (101)1 (74)
TCU Offense1242% (119)49% (18)33.8154.54.619 (69).22 (29)3.35 (23)79% (26)7% (6)0.96 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1351% (46)39% (97)21.836.2223.86.210.224 (41)18 (128).16 (111)1.5 (116)30% (44)27% (94).24 (97)8% (118)1.9 (120)
TCU Defense1249% (59)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (100).35 (106)1.6 (86)31% (95)35% (122).37 (98)5% (119)2 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1351% (88)40% (51) - - - - - - 13 (26).21 (37)1.5 (22)30% (100)28% (42).32 (74)6% (71)2.2 (108)
TCU Offense1257% (16)47% (20)26.641.9312.27.511.727 (25)15 (116).4 (27)1.6 (63)31% (54)42% (4).61 (6)7% (94)2 (73)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Texas Tech's SP+ Ratings
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.09   TCU: 14.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 4.3   TCU: 10.8




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.4 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 34
Texas Tech 31

Projected Total Points: 65
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26TCU35Texas Tech34TCUTCU -5.0Texas Tech66.0Over
202311/02Texas Tech35TCU28Texas TechTexas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Over
202211/05TCU34Texas Tech24TCUTCU -8.5TCU69.0Under
202110/09Texas Tech31TCU52TCUTCU -2.5TCU60.0Over
202011/07TCU34Texas Tech18TCUTCU -9.5TCU60.0Under
201911/16Texas Tech31TCU33TCUTCU -3.5Texas Tech53.0Over
201810/11TCU14Texas Tech17Texas TechTCU -7.5Texas Tech57.5Under
201711/18Texas Tech3TCU27TCUTCU -6.5TCU53.5Under
201610/29TCU24Texas Tech27Texas TechTCU -8.5Texas Tech87.0Under
201509/26Texas Tech52TCU55TCUTCU -9.5Texas Tech83.5Over
201410/25TCU82Texas Tech27TCUTCU -20TCU0
201309/12Texas Tech20TCU10Texas TechTCU -6Texas Tech0
201210/20TCU53Texas Tech56Texas Tech
200609/16TCU12Texas Tech3TCU
200409/18Texas Tech70TCU35Texas Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU955 Overs
Texas Tech675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams7 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#55) Texas Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
Texas Tech     Ratings Matchup     TCU
Power #55
#21
Off #49
#24
Def #99
#53
Talent #23
#32
SP+ #54
#25
SP+ Off #25
#19
SP+ Def #95
#38

Rematch from Week 9
TCU -5.0 (66.0)
TCU won vs Texas Tech this year (35-34)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech last year (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2022 (34-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TTU | TCU
Depth Chart: TTU | TCU
Rosters: TTU | TCU
(#21) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.4 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0


TCU Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great




  
Texas Tech's OC Zach Kittley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly891023511.541
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers25271510.836
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook11946093.919
Savion Williams5132266.335
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Trent Battle4418624.224
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Bech621034916.752
Eric McAlister39762519.584
John Paul Richardson57733212.938
Savion Williams60611610.275

Texas Tech's DC Tim DeRuyter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Jayden Cofield184200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Hodges895120
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Cooper McDonald255321
Nana Osafo-Mensah389351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lamareon James3400012
Jamel Johnson473009
Abraham Camara556016