Oklahoma State at TCU Game Matchup

Oklahoma State Cowboys at TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
TCU -10.5 (68.5) (-500) Open: -12.0 | 67.0
TCU 38 - Oklahoma State: 13 (Big 12)

Fort Worth Weather
Current: Clear
Temp: 60°
Wind: 12 mph

Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (24 - 36 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2 (SP+ -13)
PPG only: OKST: 26 - TCU: 35 (61)
TCU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
OKST Travel: 237 miles

Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State	-9.5	54.0	W 44 - 20
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas	-10.5	60.5	W 39 - 31
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	-17.5	62.5	W 45 - 10
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma State vs Utah	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 22
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 20 - 42
Sat 10/5	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-2.5	65.0	L 14 - 38
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Oklahoma State at BYU	+8.5	53.0	L 35 - 38
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+7.0	64.5	L 28 - 38
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	+5.0	57.0	L 21 - 42
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma State at TCU	+10.5	68.5	L 13 - 38
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+5.0	63.5	L 48 - 56
Fri 11/29	Oklahoma State at Colorado	+14.5	66.5	L 0 - 52

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TCU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 8/30	TCU at Stanford	-8.0	58.5	W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7	TCU vs Long Island University	-45.5	56.5	W 45 - 0
Sat 9/14	TCU vs UCF	-1.5	61.5	L 34 - 35
Sat 9/21	TCU at SMU	-1.0	58.5	L 42 - 66
Sat 9/28	TCU vs Kansas	+1.5	58.5	W 38 - 27
Fri 10/4	TCU vs Houston	-16.5	52.0	L 19 - 30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	TCU at Utah	+3.0	52.0	W 13 - 7
Sat 10/26	TCU vs Texas Tech	-5.0	66.0	W 35 - 34
Sat 11/2	TCU at Baylor	+2.5	64.0	L 34 - 37
Sat 11/9	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-10.5	68.5	W 38 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	TCU vs Arizona	-10.5	60.0	W 49 - 28
Sat 11/30	TCU at Cincinnati	-2.5	58.5	W 20 - 13
Sat 12/28	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn vs TCU's DC Andy Avalos TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs OKST's DC Bryan Nardo

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	#69 (.19)	43% (53)	27.2	42% (78)	2.84 (115)	155	45% (33)	277	3.92 (63)	#116 (.26)	40% (43)	35.6	39% (33)	42% (71)	4.22 (107)	41.4	1.6	1.6
TCU	#25 (.28)	47% (16)	33.5	49% (18)	3.35 (23)	155	47% (20)	312	3.91 (69)	#96 (.23)	44% (89)	24.6	43% (70)	45% (112)	3.91 (78)	53.6	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	14	27.2	23.5	43.3%	3.92	1.6	22	432	155	277	4.8	42%	57%	42%	45%	14%	.19
TCU Defense	12	24.6	23.3	43.6%	3.91	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	45%	13%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	14	35.6	36.3	40.1%	4.22	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	42%	15%	.26
TCU Offense	12	33.5	36.7	47.4%	3.91	1.6	25	467	155	312	4.6	42%	57%	49%	47%	13%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	14	29:56	21.6	38%	55%	5	41.4	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.8	1	30.3
TCU	12	27:21	25	46%	50%	6.2	53.6	1.6	1	5	1.8	2	29.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	14	42% (118)	42% (78)	32.1	155.2	4.8	29 (22)	.14 (78)	2.84 (115)	65% (120)	7% (9)	1.1 (22)
TCU Defense	12	51% (76)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.16 (81)	3.16 (82)	78% (100)	8% (117)	1 (72)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	14	50% (63)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.15 (74)	3 (49)	76% (87)	11% (48)	1.17 (123)
TCU Offense	12	42% (119)	49% (18)	33.8	154.5	4.6	19 (69)	.22 (29)	3.35 (23)	79% (26)	7% (6)	0.96 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	14	57% (15)	45% (33)	24.6	40.7	276.5	6.8	11.3	18 (81)	16 (121)	.27 (71)	1.5 (113)	31% (55)	34% (36)	.34 (66)	7% (101)	1.9 (114)
TCU Defense	12	49% (59)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.35 (106)	1.6 (86)	31% (95)	35% (122)	.37 (98)	5% (119)	2 (34)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	14	50% (74)	42% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.4 (119)	1.9 (131)	36% (11)	28% (32)	.29 (52)	4% (127)	2.3 (122)
TCU Offense	12	57% (16)	47% (20)	26.6	41.9	312.2	7.5	11.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.4 (27)	1.6 (63)	31% (54)	42% (4)	.61 (6)	7% (94)	2 (73)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: #NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: #NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 834.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Oklahoma State's SP+ Ratings
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: TCU: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -2.6 TCU: 10.8

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2 #NR
TCU's Offense Rating: #NR
TCU's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: -

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 35
Oklahoma State 26

Projected Total Points: 61

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	TCU	38	Oklahoma State	13	TCU	TCU -10.5	TCU	68.5	Under
2022	10/15	TCU	43	Oklahoma State	40	TCU	TCU -5	Oklahoma State	69.5	Over
2021	11/13	Oklahoma State	63	TCU	17	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -11	Oklahoma State	53.5	Over
2020	12/05	TCU	29	Oklahoma State	22	TCU	Oklahoma State -2.5	TCU	52.5	Under
2019	11/02	Oklahoma State	34	TCU	27	Oklahoma State	TCU -1	Oklahoma State	58.5	Over
2018	11/24	TCU	31	Oklahoma State	24	TCU	Oklahoma State -6	TCU	52.5	Over
2017	09/23	Oklahoma State	31	TCU	44	TCU	Oklahoma State -10.5	TCU	68.0	Over
2016	11/19	TCU	6	Oklahoma State	31	Oklahoma State	TCU -4.5	Oklahoma State	68.5	Under
2015	11/07	Oklahoma State	49	TCU	29	Oklahoma State	TCU -5	Oklahoma State	76.0	Over
2014	10/18	TCU	42	Oklahoma State	9	TCU	TCU -10	TCU	0
2013	10/19	Oklahoma State	24	TCU	10	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -7	Oklahoma State	0
2012	10/27	Oklahoma State	36	TCU	14	Oklahoma State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	6	5	6 Overs
Oklahoma State	6	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 2	8 - 3	4 - 3	4 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 10	3 - 8	0 - 4	3 - 4

(#NR) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102
Talent Rating: 834.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.

Oklahoma State Ratings Matchup TCU

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #25

#32

SP+ #81

#25

SP+ Off #53

#19

SP+ Def #102

#38

Rematch from Week 11
TCU -10.5 (68.5)
TCU won vs Oklahoma State this year (38-13)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Oklahoma State last year (38-13)
TCU beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (43-40)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | TCU
Depth Chart: OKST | TCU
Rosters: OKST | TCU

(#NR) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

TCU Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great

Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman	204	340	60%	2442	17	12	7.2
Maealiuaki Smith	44	75	59%	499	2	4	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	189	858	12	4.5	68
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Zhaun Stribling	52	892	6	17.2	77
Brennan Presley	89	764	7	8.6	36
Rashod Owens	32	515	4	16.1	58
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	313	471	67%	3949	27	11	8.4
Ken Seals	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook	119	460	9	3.9	19
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Jeremy Payne	54	239	3	4.4	32
Trent Battle	44	186	2	4.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech	62	1034	9	16.7	52
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75

Oklahoma State's DC Bryan Nardo

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Rucker	84	1	0	0	1
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Obi Ezeigbo	42	9	3	4	0
Xavier Ross	12	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Korie Black	36	0	0	0	9
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7

TCU's DC Andy Avalos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Namdi Obiazor	81	7	3	2	1
Jamel Johnson	72	2	0	0	3
Bud Clark	68	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal	46	10	6	3	1
Zachary Chapman	24	3	3	1	0
Cooper McDonald	25	5	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah	38	9	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Lamareon James	34	0	0	12
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	9
Abraham Camara	55	6	1	6