Cincinnati at Iowa State Game Matchup
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Iowa State -7 (52.5) (-265)  Open: -7.5
Iowa State 34 - Cincinnati: 17  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Iowa State -12    (SP+ -10)
PPG only: CIN: 24 - ISU: 28 (52)
ISU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Cincinnati vs Towson-33.556.5W 38 - 20
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+2.562.5L 27 - 28
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-3.547.5W 27 - 16
Sat 9/21 Cincinnati vs Houston-4.047.5W 34 - 0
Sat 9/28 Cincinnati at Texas Tech+3.060.0L 41 - 44
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Cincinnati at UCF+2.058.0W 19 - 13
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs Arizona State-5.551.0W 24 - 14
Sat 10/26 Cincinnati at Colorado+6.057.0L 23 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs West Virginia-5.554.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at Iowa State+7.052.5L 17 - 34
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati at Kansas State+7.554.5L 15 - 41
Sat 11/30 Cincinnati vs TCU+2.558.5L 13 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

CIN's OC Brad Glenn vs ISU's DC Jon Heacock     ISU's OC Taylor Mouser vs CIN's DC Tyson Veidt

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)25.246% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)24.642% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)31.132% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.941% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1225.223.743.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2
ISU Defense1322.918.139.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1224.630.341.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
ISU Offense1331.134.136.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 1.93   Iowa State: 14.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.1   Iowa State: 10.3




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 14.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Iowa State's SP+ Ratings
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 28
Cincinnati 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Iowa State34Cincinnati17Iowa StateIowa State -7Iowa State52.5Under
202310/14Cincinnati10Iowa State30Iowa StateCincinnati -4Iowa State42.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State220 Overs
Cincinnati002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#56) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Cincinnati Notes
(11/25) 4 str L's, down 27-3 at H, Def killed by K St
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
Cincinnati     Ratings Matchup     Iowa State
Power #56
#23
Off #44
#42
Def #85
#37
Talent #53
#61
SP+ #72
#28
SP+ Off #79
#44
SP+ Def #57
#24

Rematch from Week 12
Iowa State -7.0 (52.5)
Iowa State won vs Cincinnati this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Cincinnati last year (34-17)
Iowa State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (30-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 49° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CIN | ISU
Depth Chart: CIN | ISU
Rosters: CIN | ISU
(#23) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.07 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0


Iowa State Notes
(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game




  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Brendan Sorsby10644594.241
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Chance Williams156704.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson58735412.742
Joe Royer51532310.438
Tony Johnson4945269.223
Jamoi Mayes29349112.052
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939

Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Jake Golday577102
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
Jonathan Thompson495213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Eric Phillips195360
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Young351005
Derrick Canteen443005
Josh Minkins452004
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115