Arizona at TCU Game Matchup
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
TCU -10.5 (60.0) (-425)  Open: -9.5
TCU 49 - Arizona: 28  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPHTCU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -22    (SP+ -14)
PPG only: ARIZ: 23 - TCU: 33 (56)
TCU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARIZ Travel: 792 miles, 2 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Arizona vs New Mexico-28.060.0W 61 - 39
Sat 9/7 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-43.065.0W 22 - 10
Fri 9/13 Arizona at Kansas State+7.058.0L 7 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Arizona at Utah+7.547.0W 23 - 10
Sat 10/5 Arizona vs Texas Tech-6.064.0L 22 - 28
Sat 10/12 Arizona at BYU+3.048.5L 19 - 41
Sat 10/19 Arizona vs Colorado-2.557.5L 7 - 34
Sat 10/26 Arizona vs West Virginia-5.551.5L 26 - 31
Sat 11/2 Arizona at UCF+6.555.0L 12 - 56
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Arizona vs Houston-1.046.5W 27 - 3
Sat 11/23 Arizona at TCU+10.560.0L 28 - 49
Sat 11/30 Arizona vs Arizona State+7.552.5L 7 - 49
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
TCU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 8/30 TCU at Stanford-8.058.5W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7 TCU vs Long Island University-45.556.5W 45 - 0
Sat 9/14 TCU vs UCF-1.561.5L 34 - 35
Sat 9/21 TCU at SMU-1.058.5L 42 - 66
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas+1.558.5W 38 - 27
Fri 10/4 TCU vs Houston-16.552.0L 19 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Utah+3.052.0W 13 - 7
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas Tech-5.066.0W 35 - 34
Sat 11/2 TCU at Baylor+2.564.0L 34 - 37
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Oklahoma State-10.568.5W 38 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 TCU vs Arizona-10.560.0W 49 - 28
Sat 11/30 TCU at Cincinnati-2.558.5W 20 - 13
Sat 12/28 TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ARIZ's OC Dino Babers vs TCU's DC Andy Avalos     TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs ARIZ's DC Duane Akina

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#10 (.34)51% (6)21.852% (5)3.26 (40)14050% (10)3084.42 (29)#57 (.16)42% (67)31.843% (71)41% (62)3.37 (29)531.11.4
TCU#25 (.28)47% (16)33.549% (18)3.35 (23)15547% (20)3123.91 (69)#96 (.23)44% (89)24.643% (70)45% (112)3.91 (78)53.61.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1321.817.850.6%4.421.1234481403084.643%57%52%50%14%.34
TCU Defense1224.623.343.6%3.911 - - - - - 51%49%43%45%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1331.837.441.9%3.371.4 - - - - - 46%53%43%41%17%.16
TCU Offense1233.536.747.4%3.911.6254671553124.642%57%49%47%13%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1330:502349%67%6.3531.11.45.32.4129.9
TCU1227:212546%50%6.253.61.6151.8229.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1343% (112)52% (5)30.6139.74.617 (81).21 (34)3.26 (40)74% (68)9% (38)0.9 (109)
TCU Defense1251% (76)43% (70) - - - - .16 (81)3.16 (82)78% (100)8% (117)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .12 (58)3 (50)75% (82)11% (54)0.97 (51)
TCU Offense1242% (119)49% (18)33.8154.54.619 (69).22 (29)3.35 (23)79% (26)7% (6)0.96 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1357% (20)50% (10)25.535.7308.38.612.136 (5)11 (68).47 (15)1.6 (68)29% (19)41% (6).54 (13)6% (69)2 (103)
TCU Defense1249% (59)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (100).35 (106)1.6 (86)31% (95)35% (122).37 (98)5% (119)2 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1353% (115)41% (62) - - - - - - 9 (87).26 (57)1.5 (48)34% (38)32% (95).25 (38)6% (60)2 (36)
TCU Offense1257% (16)47% (20)26.641.9312.27.511.727 (25)15 (116).4 (27)1.6 (63)31% (54)42% (4).61 (6)7% (94)2 (73)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Arizona's SP+ Ratings
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -7.71   TCU: 14.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8   TCU: 10.8




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.4 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 33
Arizona 23

Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23TCU49Arizona28TCUTCU -10.5TCU60.0Over
200309/27Arizona10TCU13TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU211 Overs
Arizona000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#90) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0


Arizona Notes
(12/13) Hired OC Seth Doege (Marsh/Purdue/USC)
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
Arizona     Ratings Matchup     TCU
Power #90
#21
Off #87
#24
Def #104
#53
Talent #64
#32
SP+ #82
#25
SP+ Off #90
#19
SP+ Def #84
#38

Rematch from Week 13
TCU -10.5 (60.0)
TCU won vs Arizona this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Arizona last year (49-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | TCU
Depth Chart: ARIZ | TCU
Rosters: ARIZ | TCU
(#21) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.4 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0


TCU Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great




  
Arizona's OC Dino Babers
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Cole Tannenbaum1520%3010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quali Conley15074585.058
Kedrick Reescano7835914.656
Jacory Merritt1310618.236
Kayden Luke52004.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Quali Conley3924516.316
Keyan Burnett18217112.135
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook11946093.919
Savion Williams5132266.335
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Trent Battle4418624.224
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Bech621034916.752
Eric McAlister39762519.584
John Paul Richardson57733212.938
Savion Williams60611610.275

Arizona's DC Duane Akina
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Owen Goss494112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith487520
Taye Brown644312
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei337331
Chase Kennedy174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis392016
Genesis Smith604006
Emmanuel Karnley140005
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Hodges895120
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Cooper McDonald255321
Nana Osafo-Mensah389351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lamareon James3400012
Jamel Johnson473009
Abraham Camara556016