TCU at Cincinnati Game Matchup

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (6:00 PM EST)
TCU -2.5 (58.5) (-140) Open: -3.0 | 58.5
TCU 20 - Cincinnati: 13 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPHOur Line: TCU -8.5 (SP+ -11)
PPG only: TCU: 29 - CIN: 25 (54)
TCU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 844 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 8/30	TCU at Stanford	-8.0	58.5	W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7	TCU vs Long Island University	-45.5	56.5	W 45 - 0
Sat 9/14	TCU vs UCF	-1.5	61.5	L 34 - 35
Sat 9/21	TCU at SMU	-1.0	58.5	L 42 - 66
Sat 9/28	TCU vs Kansas	+1.5	58.5	W 38 - 27
Fri 10/4	TCU vs Houston	-16.5	52.0	L 19 - 30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	TCU at Utah	+3.0	52.0	W 13 - 7
Sat 10/26	TCU vs Texas Tech	-5.0	66.0	W 35 - 34
Sat 11/2	TCU at Baylor	+2.5	64.0	L 34 - 37
Sat 11/9	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-10.5	68.5	W 38 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	TCU vs Arizona	-10.5	60.0	W 49 - 28
Sat 11/30	TCU at Cincinnati	-2.5	58.5	W 20 - 13
Sat 12/28	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Cincinnati vs Towson	-33.5	56.5	W 38 - 20
Sat 9/7	Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh	+2.5	62.5	L 27 - 28
Sat 9/14	Cincinnati at Miami (OH)	-3.5	47.5	W 27 - 16
Sat 9/21	Cincinnati vs Houston	-4.0	47.5	W 34 - 0
Sat 9/28	Cincinnati at Texas Tech	+3.0	60.0	L 41 - 44
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Cincinnati at UCF	+2.0	58.0	W 19 - 13
Sat 10/19	Cincinnati vs Arizona State	-5.5	51.0	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/26	Cincinnati at Colorado	+6.0	57.0	L 23 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Cincinnati vs West Virginia	-5.5	54.5	L 24 - 31
Sat 11/16	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+7.0	52.5	L 17 - 34
Sat 11/23	Cincinnati at Kansas State	+7.5	54.5	L 15 - 41
Sat 11/30	Cincinnati vs TCU	+2.5	58.5	L 13 - 20

TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs CIN's DC Tyson Veidt CIN's OC Brad Glenn vs TCU's DC Andy Avalos

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#25 (.28)	47% (16)	33.5	49% (18)	3.35 (23)	155	47% (20)	312	3.91 (69)	#96 (.23)	44% (89)	24.6	43% (70)	45% (112)	3.91 (78)	53.6	1.6	1
CIN	#63 (.2)	43% (51)	25.2	46% (40)	3.36 (18)	217	41% (73)	209	3.91 (68)	#129 (.32)	41% (56)	24.6	42% (56)	41% (66)	4.03 (89)	52.6	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	12	33.5	28.6	47.4%	3.91	1.6	25	467	155	312	4.6	42%	57%	49%	47%	13%	.28
CIN Defense	12	24.6	18.8	41.2%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	19%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	12	24.6	30	43.6%	3.91	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	45%	13%	.23
CIN Offense	12	25.2	26.7	43.4%	3.91	1.4	22	426	217	209	5	56%	43%	46%	41%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	12	27:21	25	46%	50%	6.2	53.6	1.6	1	5	1.8	2	29.9
Cincinnati	12	31:58	22.3	42%	45%	5.7	52.6	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.5	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	12	42% (119)	49% (18)	33.8	154.5	4.6	19 (69)	.22 (29)	3.35 (23)	79% (26)	7% (6)	0.96 (93)
CIN Defense	12	50% (68)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.26 (125)	2.99 (47)	75% (82)	12% (25)	1.38 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	12	51% (76)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.16 (81)	3.16 (82)	78% (100)	8% (117)	1 (72)
CIN Offense	12	56% (26)	46% (40)	43.1	217.1	5	14 (106)	.24 (24)	3.36 (18)	63% (124)	10% (60)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	12	57% (16)	47% (20)	26.6	41.9	312.2	7.5	11.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.4 (27)	1.6 (63)	31% (54)	42% (4)	.61 (6)	7% (94)	2 (73)
CIN Defense	12	49% (66)	41% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.41 (121)	1.8 (120)	35% (26)	34% (118)	.42 (115)	7% (34)	2 (42)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	12	49% (59)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.35 (106)	1.6 (86)	31% (95)	35% (122)	.37 (98)	5% (119)	2 (34)
CIN Offense	12	43% (108)	41% (73)	18.2	30	209	7	11.5	21 (65)	11 (68)	.2 (93)	1.5 (94)	30% (35)	34% (41)	.46 (30)	5% (45)	2.1 (61)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 12.40 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 12.40 Cincinnati: 3.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.8 Cincinnati: -0.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 3.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Cincinnati's SP+ Ratings
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 29
Cincinnati 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Cincinnati	13	TCU	20	TCU	TCU -2.5	TCU	58.5	Under
2004	10/30	Cincinnati	21	TCU	10	Cincinnati
2003	11/15	TCU	43	Cincinnati	10	TCU
2002	09/02	Cincinnati	36	TCU	29	Cincinnati

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	2	0	0 Overs
TCU	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#21) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.40 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

TCU Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great

TCU Ratings Matchup Cincinnati

Power #21

#56

Off #24

#44

Def #53

#85

Talent #32

#53

SP+ #25

#72

SP+ Off #19

#79

SP+ Def #38

#57

Rematch from Week 14
TCU 2.5 (58.5)
TCU won at Cincinnati this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Cincinnati last year (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 33° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | CIN
Depth Chart: TCU | CIN
Rosters: TCU | CIN

(#56) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 720.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Cincinnati Notes
(11/25) 4 str L's, down 27-3 at H, Def killed by K St
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	313	471	67%	3949	27	11	8.4
Ken Seals	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook	119	460	9	3.9	19
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Jeremy Payne	54	239	3	4.4	32
Trent Battle	44	186	2	4.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech	62	1034	9	16.7	52
Eric McAlister	39	762	5	19.5	84
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	249	389	64%	2813	18	7	7.2
Brady Lichtenberg	3	5	60%	25	0	0	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	204	1153	4	5.7	46
Brendan Sorsby	106	445	9	4.2	41
Evan Pryor	56	418	6	7.5	65
Chance Williams	15	67	0	4.5	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson	58	735	4	12.7	42
Joe Royer	51	532	3	10.4	38
Tony Johnson	49	452	6	9.2	23
Jamoi Mayes	29	349	1	12.0	52

TCU's DC Andy Avalos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Namdi Obiazor	81	7	3	2	1
Jamel Johnson	72	2	0	0	3
Bud Clark	68	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal	46	10	6	3	1
Zachary Chapman	24	3	3	1	0
Cooper McDonald	25	5	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah	38	9	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Lamareon James	34	0	0	12
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	9
Abraham Camara	55	6	1	6

Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	70	12	8	2	3
Jake Golday	57	7	1	0	2
Antwan Peek Jr.	54	1	0	0	1
Jonathan Thompson	49	5	2	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	70	12	8	2	3
Eric Phillips	19	5	3	6	0
Dontay Corleone	26	5	3	4	0
Jonathan Thompson	49	5	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jordan Young	35	1	5
Derrick Canteen	44	3	5
Josh Minkins	45	2	4