Liberty at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (1:00 PM EST)
Liberty -12.5 (54.5) (-500)  Open: -10.5 | 54.5
Liberty 37 - Middle Tennessee: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -24.5)
PPG only: LIB: 32 - MTSU: 21 (53)
LIB Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LIB Travel: 412 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech W 32 - 25
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss+42.560.5L 3 - 52
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+10.553.5L 21 - 49
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+14.551.0L 17 - 45
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+27.062.0L 7 - 24
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+5.048.0L 21 - 48
Tue 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-8.550.0W 14 - 5
Wed 10/23 Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State+20.564.5L 20 - 42
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.048.0W 20 - 13
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Liberty+12.554.5L 17 - 37
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State-3.554.0L 21 - 36
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+9.550.5L 24 - 35
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

LIB's OC Newland Isaac vs MTSU's DC Brian Stewart     MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder vs LIB's DC Jack Curtis

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)28.856% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)23.547% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
MTSU#95 (.14)39% (104)18.141% (93)3.08 (74)12639% (94)2663.2 (115)#60 (.17)43% (81)34.345% (88)42% (78)4.13 (100)56.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1428.828.854.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
MTSU Defense1234.332.842.9%4.131.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1423.524.442.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
MTSU Offense1218.120.339.4%3.21.8193911262663.942%57%41%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Middle Tennessee1228:3219.340%45%6.856.31.81.35.81.9028.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)
MTSU Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
MTSU Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
MTSU Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
MTSU Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: #NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: #NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Middle Tennessee: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2   Middle Tennessee: -24.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: #NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: -

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 32
Middle Tennessee 21

Projected Total Points: 53
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Middle Tennessee17Liberty37LibertyLiberty -12.5Liberty54.5Under
202310/17Liberty42Middle Tennessee35LibertyLiberty -16Middle Tennessee56.5Over
202110/09Liberty41Middle Tennessee13LibertyLiberty -20Liberty59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee011 Overs
Liberty322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#NR) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Liberty Notes
(11/25) Rgame 400+ yds (WKU), W vs SHSU=CUSA title gm
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
Liberty     Ratings Matchup     Middle Tennessee
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #84
#119
SP+ #71
#131
SP+ Off #60
#131
SP+ Def #70
#122

Rematch from Week 11
Liberty 12.5 (54.5)
Liberty won at Middle Tennessee this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Middle Tennessee last year (37-17)
Liberty beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (42-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | MTSU
Depth Chart: LIB | MTSU
Rosters: LIB | MTSU
(#NR) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/3) Will start 1-4, watch after bye on Oct 3
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor




  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley2927619.525
Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaiden Credle10947144.366
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Terry Wilkins5421414.023
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Holden Willis53871616.461
Omari Kelly53869416.471
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams753003
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
Jalen Davis525201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
Aidan Butts102202
Jalen Davis525201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrell Raby160006
Marvae Myers-Glover411004
Xavier Williams753003