New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (2:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (54.0) (-162)  Open: -4.5
New Mexico State 36 - Middle Tennessee: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -5.5)
PPG only: NMSU: 28 - MTSU: 27 (55)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1190 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State-9.552.5W 23 - 16
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State vs Liberty+22.554.5L 24 - 30
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State at Fresno State+19.548.5L 0 - 48
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at Sam Houston+15.544.5L 11 - 31
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+9.554.0L 40 - 50
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 New Mexico State at Jacksonville State+21.058.5L 13 - 54
Tue 10/15 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech+12.549.0W 33 - 30
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 New Mexico State vs Florida International+7.043.5L 13 - 34
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky+18.053.5L 28 - 41
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+38.554.5L 3 - 38
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee+3.554.0W 36 - 21
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State vs UTEP-3.551.5L 35 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech W 32 - 25
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss+42.560.5L 3 - 52
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+10.553.5L 21 - 49
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+14.551.0L 17 - 45
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+27.062.0L 7 - 24
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+5.048.0L 21 - 48
Tue 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-8.550.0W 14 - 5
Wed 10/23 Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State+20.564.5L 20 - 42
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.048.0W 20 - 13
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Liberty+12.554.5L 17 - 37
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State-3.554.0L 21 - 36
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+9.550.5L 24 - 35
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright vs MTSU's DC Brian Stewart     MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder vs NMSU's DC Joe Morris

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#29 (.28)47% (17)21.652% (7)3.57 (5)19942% (61)2143.98 (59)#91 (.22)45% (103)36.346% (96)44% (96)3.73 (63)58.310.9
MTSU#95 (.14)39% (104)18.141% (93)3.08 (74)12639% (94)2663.2 (115)#60 (.17)43% (81)34.345% (88)42% (78)4.13 (100)56.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1521.612.647.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28
MTSU Defense1234.332.842.9%4.131.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1536.338.444.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22
MTSU Offense1218.120.339.4%3.21.8193911262663.942%57%41%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
Middle Tennessee1228:3219.340%45%6.856.31.81.35.81.9028.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (17)8% (35)0.96 (92)
MTSU Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (73)10% (70)1.02 (80)
MTSU Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)
MTSU Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)
MTSU Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: #NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: #NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Middle Tennessee: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0   Middle Tennessee: -24.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: #NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: -

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
Middle Tennessee 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Middle Tennessee21New Mexico State36New Mexico StateMiddle Tennessee -3.5New Mexico State54.0Over
202311/04New Mexico State13Middle Tennessee7New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -3.0New Mexico State55.5Under
200411/06New Mexico State44Middle Tennessee10New Mexico State
200310/11Middle Tennessee35New Mexico State18Middle Tennessee
200211/02New Mexico State24Middle Tennessee21New Mexico State
200110/27Middle Tennessee39New Mexico State35Middle Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee201 Overs
New Mexico State421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#NR) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


New Mexico State Notes
(10/29) QBs 7-19, 30 yds, 2 INT vs FIU. Pass Off #132
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Middle Tennessee
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #129
#119
SP+ #125
#131
SP+ Off #120
#131
SP+ Def #127
#122

Rematch from Week 13
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (54.0)
New Mexico State won at Middle Tennessee this year (36-21)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee last year (36-21)
New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (13-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | MTSU
Depth Chart: NMSU | MTSU
Rosters: NMSU | MTSU
(#NR) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/3) Will start 1-4, watch after bye on Oct 3
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor




  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Michael Washington15871384.547
Santino Marucci3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Kordell David18191010.638
Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaiden Credle10947144.366
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Terry Wilkins5421414.023
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Holden Willis53871616.461
Omari Kelly53869416.471
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544

New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti206461
Kale Edwards367440
Noah Arinze165310
Tyler Martinez943101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams753003
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
Jalen Davis525201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
Aidan Butts102202
Jalen Davis525201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrell Raby160006
Marvae Myers-Glover411004
Xavier Williams753003