Sam Houston at UTEP Game Matchup

Thursday, October 3rd 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Sam Houston -10 (49.5) (-355) Open: -10.5
Sam Houston 41 - UTEP: 21 (Conference USA)

Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTEP coming off BYE
Our Line: Sam Houston -15 (SP+ -16)
PPG only: SHSU: 28 - UTEP: 20 (48)
SHSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
SHSU Travel: 652 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Sam Houston at Rice	+9.5	49.0	W 34 - 14
Sat 9/7	Sam Houston at UCF	+21.5	53.5	L 14 - 45
Sat 9/14	Sam Houston vs Hawai'i	-3.5	48.5	W 31 - 13
Sat 9/21	Sam Houston vs New Mexico State	-15.5	44.5	W 31 - 11
Sat 9/28	Sam Houston vs Texas State	+11.0	55.0	W 40 - 39
Thu 10/3	Sam Houston at UTEP	-10.0	49.5	W 41 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16	Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky	-1.5	55.0	L 14 - 31
Tue 10/22	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-5.0	47.0	W 10 - 7
Tue 10/29	Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech	-10.5	45.5	W 9 - 3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Sam Houston at Kennesaw State	-21.0	42.5	W 23 - 17
Sat 11/23	Sam Houston at Jacksonville State	+5.5	57.5	L 11 - 21
Fri 11/29	Sam Houston vs Liberty	+2.5	47.5	W 20 - 18
Thu 12/19	Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern	+3.5	48.0	W 31 - 26

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UTEP's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	UTEP at Nebraska	+27.5	49.0	L 7 - 40
Sat 9/7	UTEP vs Southern Utah	-6.5	54.5	L 24 - 27
Sat 9/14	UTEP at Liberty	+23.5	57.5	L 10 - 28
Sat 9/21	UTEP at Colorado State	+8.5	49.0	L 17 - 27
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3	UTEP vs Sam Houston	+10.0	49.5	L 21 - 41
Thu 10/10	UTEP at Western Kentucky	+19.0	55.5	L 17 - 44
Wed 10/16	UTEP vs Florida International	+7.0	47.0	W 30 - 21
Tue 10/22	UTEP at Louisiana Tech	+6.5	49.0	L 10 - 14
Sat 11/2	UTEP vs Middle Tennessee	-2.0	48.0	L 13 - 20
Sat 11/9	UTEP vs Kennesaw State	-4.5	42.0	W 43 - 35
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	UTEP at Tennessee	+41.5	54.0	L 0 - 56
Sat 11/30	UTEP at New Mexico State	+3.5	51.5	W 42 - 35

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen vs UTEP's DC J. J. Clark UTEP's OC Jake Brown vs SHSU's DC Skyler Cassity

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU	#115 (.1)	37% (118)	23.8	34% (130)	2.61 (131)	89	40% (84)	222	3.47 (97)	#69 (.18)	41% (58)	20.5	41% (55)	42% (75)	3.77 (64)	42.2	1.3	1.7
UTEP	#80 (.17)	39% (103)	19.5	43% (62)	3.05 (83)	144	36% (113)	218	3.59 (93)	#109 (.25)	43% (88)	32.3	48% (122)	38% (23)	4.62 (127)	58.8	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	12	23.8	24.6	36.9%	3.47	1.3	18	311	89	222	2.9	43%	55%	34%	40%	15%	.1
UTEP Defense	12	32.3	28.8	43.4%	4.62	1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	48%	38%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	12	20.5	23.6	41.3%	3.77	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	42%	14%	.18
UTEP Offense	12	19.5	26.2	39.5%	3.59	1.5	18	362	144	218	3.9	53%	46%	43%	36%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	12	29:41	18.3	36%	59%	5.1	42.2	1.3	1.7	4.3	1.4	2	28
UTEP	12	31:25	18.3	33%	45%	6.8	58.8	1.5	1	4.3	2	1	26.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	12	43% (110)	34% (130)	30.7	89.1	2.9	13 (108)	-.02 (129)	2.61 (131)	83% (7)	9% (56)	0.81 (130)
UTEP Defense	12	57% (126)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	.28 (127)	3.35 (113)	76% (89)	9% (106)	1.1 (112)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	12	53% (104)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.16 (80)	3.2 (92)	79% (104)	8% (119)	1.02 (82)
UTEP Offense	12	53% (42)	43% (62)	37.3	144.3	3.9	16 (89)	.09 (105)	3.05 (83)	76% (44)	9% (51)	0.89 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	12	55% (25)	40% (84)	23.5	37.3	222.3	6	9.5	15 (96)	12 (85)	.24 (81)	1.4 (127)	34% (105)	24% (124)	.17 (112)	6% (55)	1.9 (119)
UTEP Defense	12	43% (8)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.26 (61)	1.7 (104)	32% (67)	31% (87)	.48 (126)	7% (50)	2.3 (128)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	12	47% (32)	42% (75)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.23 (49)	1.5 (24)	31% (79)	27% (25)	.26 (41)	6% (87)	2.1 (88)
UTEP Offense	12	46% (94)	36% (113)	14.8	27.5	217.7	7.9	14.7	13 (111)	12 (85)	.29 (68)	1.9 (6)	32% (82)	29% (82)	.34 (65)	7% (104)	2.1 (37)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 330.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46

Sam Houston's SP+ Ratings
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.82 UTEP: -21.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.9 UTEP: -22.7

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -21.79 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

UTEP's SP+ Ratings
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Sam Houston 28
UTEP 20

Projected Total Points: 48

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/03	UTEP	21	Sam Houston	41	Sam Houston	Sam Houston -10	Sam Houston	49.5	Over
2023	10/25	Sam Houston	34	UTEP	37	UTEP	Sam Houston State -4	UTEP	38.5	Over
2003	09/27	UTEP	59	Sam Houston	14	UTEP

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	2	1	2 Overs
Sam Houston	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#88) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 330.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Sam Houston Notes
(12/1) HC Keeler left for Temple? From PA but why?
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great

Sam Houston Ratings Matchup UTEP

Power #88

#127

Off #110

#128

Def #54

#95

Talent #125

#116

SP+ #98

#130

SP+ Off #117

#131

SP+ Def #46

#113

Rematch from Week 6
Sam Houston 10.0 (49.5)
Sam Houston won at UTEP this year (41-21)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat UTEP last year (41-21)
UTEP beat Sam Houston in 2023 (37-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | UTEP
Depth Chart: SHSU | UTEP
Rosters: SHSU | UTEP

(#127) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.79 #127
Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

UTEP Notes
(12/11) Joining MWC on July 1, 2026
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst

Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Watson	152	253	60%	1598	11	8	6.3
Jase Bauer	40	65	62%	310	2	1	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Hunter Watson	152	623	7	4.1	46
DJ McKinney	95	479	3	5.0	59
Jase Bauer	45	195	0	4.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Simeon Evans	43	474	5	11.0	64
Qua'Vez Humphreys	18	362	4	20.1	67
Noah Smith	35	285	0	8.1	22
Ife Adeyi	26	238	1	9.2	32

UTEP's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Skyler Locklear	149	236	63%	1591	10	6	6.7
Cade McConnell	40	71	56%	540	4	3	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson	191	754	4	3.9	42
Ezell Jolly	64	248	1	3.9	14
Skyler Locklear	80	237	2	3.0	18
JP Pickles	39	133	1	3.4	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenny Odom	47	761	8	16.2	76
Kam Thomas	46	512	2	11.1	69
Trey Goodman	47	469	0	10.0	37
Jaden Smith	21	177	0	8.4	41

Sam Houston's DC Skyler Cassity

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Weaver	86	3	0	1	6
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2
Trey Fields	72	6	1	2	1
Antavious Fish	67	2	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Murray	34	12	6	2	0
Briceon Hayes	26	7	5	3	2
Isaiah Nixon	19	6	4	5	0
Richard Outland	15	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Cash	58	2	1	0	9
Caleb Weaver	86	3	0	1	6
David Fisher	33	2	0	0	6

UTEP's DC J. J. Clark

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Nate Dyman	84	10	2	3	4
Xavier Smith	78	1	0	0	5
Kory Chapman	76	13	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurice Westmoreland	45	9	8	6	1
Kyran Duhon	43	7	7	0	2
Kadarion Johnson	39	8	4	1	1
Kory Chapman	76	13	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Smith	78	1	0	0	5
Josiah Allen	61	5	2	0	5
Nate Dyman	84	10	2	3	4