Western Kentucky at New Mexico State Game Matchup
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at New Mexico State AggiesNew Mexico State logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (6:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -18.0 (53.5) (-950)  Open: -17.5 | 51.5
Western Kentucky 41 - New Mexico State: 28  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -17)
PPG only: WKU: 31 - NMSU: 23 (54)
WKU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 1195 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Western Kentucky at Alabama+31.060.0L 0 - 63
Sat 9/7 Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-18.559.5W 31 - 0
Sat 9/14 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-10.553.5W 49 - 21
Sat 9/21 Western Kentucky vs Toledo+2.060.5W 26 - 21
Sat 9/28 Western Kentucky at Boston College+7.548.0L 20 - 21
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Western Kentucky vs UTEP-19.055.5W 44 - 17
Wed 10/16 Western Kentucky at Sam Houston+1.555.0W 31 - 14
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State-24.049.0W 31 - 14
Sat 11/9 Western Kentucky at New Mexico State-18.053.5W 41 - 28
Sat 11/16 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-11.552.5L 7 - 12
Sat 11/23 Western Kentucky at Liberty+1.056.5L 21 - 38
Sat 11/30 Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State+0.562.5W 19 - 17
Fri 12/6 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State+4.558.5L 12 - 52
Wed 12/18 Western Kentucky vs James Madison+7.550.5L 17 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State-9.552.5W 23 - 16
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State vs Liberty+22.554.5L 24 - 30
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State at Fresno State+19.548.5L 0 - 48
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at Sam Houston+15.544.5L 11 - 31
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+9.554.0L 40 - 50
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/9 New Mexico State at Jacksonville State+21.058.5L 13 - 54
Tue 10/15 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech+12.549.0W 33 - 30
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 New Mexico State vs Florida International+7.043.5L 13 - 34
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky+18.053.5L 28 - 41
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State at Texas A&M+38.554.5L 3 - 38
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee+3.554.0W 36 - 21
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State vs UTEP-3.551.5L 35 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

WKU's OC Will Friend vs NMSU's DC Joe Morris     NMSU's OC Tyler Wright vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#47 (.22)40% (92)24.938% (119)3.07 (78)10741% (70)2954.95 (6)#81 (.2)44% (98)24.648% (121)41% (53)4 (87)36.81.81.8
NMSU#29 (.28)47% (17)21.652% (7)3.57 (5)19942% (61)2143.98 (59)#91 (.22)45% (103)36.346% (96)44% (96)3.73 (63)58.310.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1324.924.940%4.951.8204021072953.938%61%38%41%16%.22
NMSU Defense1536.334.844.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1324.633.944%41.8 - - - - - 52%47%48%41%14%.2
NMSU Offense1521.630.547.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1329:3220.243%62%4.536.81.81.84.42128.2
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1338% (128)38% (119)27.5106.63.912 (116).06 (117)3.07 (78)76% (45)8% (23)0.93 (99)
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (73)10% (70)1.02 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1352% (94)48% (121) - - - - .19 (98)3.47 (125)73% (65)9% (109)0.96 (45)
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (17)8% (35)0.96 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1361% (6)41% (70)26.441.5295.27.111.238 (3)14 (107).35 (42)1.7 (29)33% (90)31% (69).39 (46)9% (128)2.4 (4)
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1347% (37)41% (53) - - - - - - 15 (15).27 (64)1.6 (69)31% (80)32% (99).37 (97)6% (81)1.9 (26)
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: #NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: #NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    New Mexico State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2   New Mexico State: -19.0




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: #NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: -

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
New Mexico State 23

Projected Total Points: 54
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09New Mexico State28Western Kentucky41Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -18.0New Mexico State53.5Over
202311/11Western Kentucky29New Mexico State38New Mexico StateWestern Kentucky -4.5New Mexico State55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State122 Overs
Western Kentucky100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#NR) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Western Kentucky Notes
(12/18) Zero Rgame/OL bad in bowl. QB Vetkamp great
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
Western Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico State
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #116
#129
SP+ #78
#125
SP+ Off #101
#120
SP+ Def #62
#127

Rematch from Week 11
Western Kentucky 18.0 (53.5)
Western Kentucky won at New Mexico State this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat New Mexico State last year (41-28)
New Mexico State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (38-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | NMSU
Depth Chart: WKU | NMSU
Rosters: WKU | NMSU
(#NR) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 260.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


New Mexico State Notes
(10/29) QBs 7-19, 30 yds, 2 INT vs FIU. Pass Off #132
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter




  
Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp25838966%310825108.0
TJ Finley487564%490126.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young20188334.430
George Hart III4420424.630
Caden Veltkamp11315071.325
LT Sanders2110314.931
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kisean Johnson75925712.351
Easton Messer55793414.464
Dalvin Smith30397413.265
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Santino Marucci4911244%519354.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan15381335.338
Michael Washington15871384.547
Santino Marucci3713113.538
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Seth McGowan23277312.043
Kordell David18191010.638

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte' Mathews992000
Keyshawn Swanson632002
Hosea Wheeler624220
Chandler Matthews593031
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Thomas547430
Sebastian Benjamin566450
Kylan Guidry457301
Kent Robinson334204
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Johnson Jr.485016
Kent Robinson334204
Keyshawn Swanson632002
New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti206461
Kale Edwards367440
Noah Arinze165310
Tyler Martinez943101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Tayden Barnes572016
Sone Aupiu554025