Toledo at Western Kentucky Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -2 (60.5) (-122)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 26 - Toledo: 21

 
Rockets (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (65 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -0)
PPG only: TOL: 27 - WKU: 24 (51)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 357 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Toledo vs Duquesne-27.553.5W 49 - 10
Sat 9/7 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.550.5W 38 - 23
Sat 9/14 Toledo at Mississippi State+10.556.5W 41 - 17
Sat 9/21 Toledo at Western Kentucky-2.060.5L 21 - 26
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-4.544.0W 30 - 20
Sat 10/12 Toledo at Buffalo-10.544.5L 15 - 30
Sat 10/19 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.042.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/26 Toledo vs Bowling Green-1.547.5L 26 - 41
Sat 11/2 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-10.054.5W 29 - 28
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/12 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.052.5W 37 - 10
Wed 11/20 Toledo vs Ohio-1.547.0L 7 - 24
Tue 11/26 Toledo at Akron-9.550.5L 14 - 21
Thu 12/26 Toledo vs Pittsburgh+6.548.5W 48 - 46
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Western Kentucky at Alabama+31.060.0L 0 - 63
Sat 9/7 Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-18.559.5W 31 - 0
Sat 9/14 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-10.553.5W 49 - 21
Sat 9/21 Western Kentucky vs Toledo+2.060.5W 26 - 21
Sat 9/28 Western Kentucky at Boston College+7.548.0L 20 - 21
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Western Kentucky vs UTEP-19.055.5W 44 - 17
Wed 10/16 Western Kentucky at Sam Houston+1.555.0W 31 - 14
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State-24.049.0W 31 - 14
Sat 11/9 Western Kentucky at New Mexico State-18.053.5W 41 - 28
Sat 11/16 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-11.552.5L 7 - 12
Sat 11/23 Western Kentucky at Liberty+1.056.5L 21 - 38
Sat 11/30 Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State+0.562.5W 19 - 17
Fri 12/6 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State+4.558.5L 12 - 52
Wed 12/18 Western Kentucky vs James Madison+7.550.5L 17 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers     WKU's OC Will Friend vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#27 (.28)45% (34)28.346% (38)3.36 (20)19945% (37)2204.44 (26)#22 (.1)38% (29)23.241% (54)36% (14)3.33 (22)61.91.51.3
WKU#47 (.22)40% (92)24.938% (119)3.07 (78)10741% (70)2954.95 (6)#81 (.2)44% (98)24.648% (121)41% (53)4 (87)36.81.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.245.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
WKU Defense1324.613.544%41.8 - - - - - 52%47%48%41%14%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.338.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1
WKU Offense1324.926.340%4.951.8204021072953.938%61%38%41%16%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Western Kentucky1329:3220.243%62%4.536.81.81.84.42128.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (14)8% (24)1.05 (38)
WKU Defense1352% (94)48% (121) - - - - .19 (98)3.47 (125)73% (65)9% (109)0.96 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (71)10% (73)0.99 (64)
WKU Offense1338% (128)38% (119)27.5106.63.912 (116).06 (117)3.07 (78)76% (45)8% (23)0.93 (99)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
WKU Defense1347% (37)41% (53) - - - - - - 15 (15).27 (64)1.6 (69)31% (80)32% (99).37 (97)6% (81)1.9 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)
WKU Offense1361% (6)41% (70)26.441.5295.27.111.238 (3)14 (107).35 (42)1.7 (29)33% (90)31% (69).39 (46)9% (128)2.4 (4)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: #NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: #NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Toledo's 2024 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Western Kentucky: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -2.5   Western Kentucky: -2.2




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: #NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: -

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 27
Western Kentucky 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Western Kentucky26Toledo21Western KentuckyToledo -2Western Kentucky60.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky110 Overs
Toledo001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#NR) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 612.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Toledo Notes
(11/27) Awful loss @ Akron to finish. Box score W, woof
(11/27) Bad offense, bad coach, bad season
(11/27) Candle terribly conservative for GW FG, missed it
(11/13) Gleason bad, Rgame avg, Def great in CMU W
(11/2) Gleason was bad but clutch in EMU comeback
(10/21) QB Gleason inj, Richter may start vs BG
(10/20) Def great, Off awful vs NIU. 285 yds in W
(10/18) Rgame awful, Run Def torched by Buffalo
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Western Kentucky
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #73
#116
SP+ #80
#78
SP+ Off #88
#101
SP+ Def #64
#62

Rematch from Week 4
Toledo 2.0 (60.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Toledo this year (26-21)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Toledo last year (26-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 87°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | WKU
Depth Chart: TOL | WKU
Rosters: TOL | WKU
(#NR) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Western Kentucky Notes
(12/18) Zero Rgame/OL bad in bowl. QB Vetkamp great
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg




  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Jacquez Stuart6123023.826
Sevaughn Clark6220903.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton649491114.864
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Anthony Torres27362813.478
Jacquez Stuart15170011.334
Western Kentucky's OC Will Friend
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp25838966%310825108.0
TJ Finley487564%490126.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young20188334.430
George Hart III4420424.630
Caden Veltkamp11315071.325
LT Sanders2110314.931
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kisean Johnson75925712.351
Easton Messer55793414.464
Dalvin Smith30397413.265
K.D. Hutchinson26392315.174

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maxen Hook1082004
Daniel Bolden918320
Braden Awls673107
Jackson Barrow649202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Andre Ragin428551
Anthony Dunn257420
Martez Poynter257400
Darius Alexander358425
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Darius Alexander358425
Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte' Mathews992000
Keyshawn Swanson632002
Hosea Wheeler624220
Chandler Matthews593031
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Thomas547430
Sebastian Benjamin566450
Kylan Guidry457301
Kent Robinson334204
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Johnson Jr.485016
Kent Robinson334204
Keyshawn Swanson632002