San José State at Air Force Game Matchup

San José State Spartans at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -1.5 (43.5) (-135) Open: -6.5 | 45.5
San José State 17 - Air Force: 7 (Mountain West)

Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AFA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: San José State -12 (SP+ -6)
PPG only: SJSU: 26 - AFA: 23 (49)
AFA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SJSU Travel: 931 miles, 1 hrs behind

Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	San José State vs Sacramento State	-2.5	62.5	W 42 - 24
Sat 9/7	San José State at Air Force	+1.5	43.5	W 17 - 7
Sat 9/14	San José State vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 31 - 10
Fri 9/20	San José State at Washington State	+13.0	55.5	L 52 - 54
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San José State vs Nevada	-7.0	51.5	W 35 - 31
Sat 10/12	San José State at Colorado State	+2.5	55.5	L 24 - 31
Sat 10/19	San José State vs Wyoming	-13.0	53.0	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/26	San José State at Fresno State	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 33
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San José State at Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 24 - 13
Sat 11/16	San José State vs Boise State	+14.5	62.0	L 21 - 42
Fri 11/22	San José State vs UNLV	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 27
Fri 11/29	San José State vs Stanford	-2.5	54.5	W 34 - 31
Tue 12/24	San José State vs South Florida	+1.5	66.5	L 39 - 41

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Air Force's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Air Force vs Merrimack	-30.5	47.5	W 21 - 6
Sat 9/7	Air Force vs San José State	-1.5	43.5	L 7 - 17
Sat 9/14	Air Force at Baylor	+17.5	40.5	L 3 - 31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Air Force at Wyoming	-4.0	33.5	L 19 - 31
Sat 10/5	Air Force vs Navy	+10.0	37.0	L 7 - 34
Sat 10/12	Air Force at New Mexico	+7.0	56.0	L 37 - 52
Sat 10/19	Air Force vs Colorado State	+6.0	43.5	L 13 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Air Force at Army	+18.0	38.5	L 3 - 20
Sat 11/9	Air Force vs Fresno State	+9.5	40.5	W 36 - 28
Sat 11/16	Air Force vs Oregon State	+3.0	44.5	W 28 - 0
Sat 11/23	Air Force at Nevada	+3.0	44.5	W 22 - 19
Sat 11/30	Air Force at San Diego State	-6.5	43.5	W 31 - 20

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs SJSU's DC Derrick Odum

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	#22 (.29)	45% (29)	28.4	48% (23)	3.21 (48)	184	43% (51)	219	3.73 (81)	#104 (.24)	43% (79)	27.5	45% (91)	41% (60)	3.86 (74)	49.1	0.8	1.6
AFA	#26 (.28)	45% (31)	18.9	46% (34)	3.48 (8)	281	41% (74)	85	4.05 (52)	#28 (.12)	39% (38)	23.3	37% (16)	42% (79)	3.96 (85)	24.8	1.3	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	13	28.4	25.4	45.5%	3.73	0.8	21	404	184	219	5.6	50%	50%	48%	43%	15%	.29
AFA Defense	13	23.3	17.7	39.3%	3.96	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	37%	42%	14%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	13	27.5	27.6	42.8%	3.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	41%	15%	.24
AFA Offense	13	18.9	18.7	45.5%	4.05	1.3	20	366	281	85	5.1	85%	14%	46%	41%	9%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	13	30:35	20.8	45%	37%	5.7	49.1	0.8	1.6	4.8	1.6	3	34.5
Air Force	13	33:26	19.6	46%	68%	3	24.8	1.3	1.1	4.5	2	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	13	50% (71)	48% (23)	33	184.1	5.6	31 (17)	.24 (22)	3.21 (48)	72% (85)	10% (61)	1.11 (21)
AFA Defense	13	49% (58)	37% (16)	-	-	-	-	.06 (26)	2.67 (13)	79% (106)	9% (93)	0.99 (61)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	13	56% (120)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.25 (121)	3.47 (126)	75% (81)	9% (104)	1.03 (88)
AFA Offense	13	85% (1)	46% (34)	54.7	280.6	5.1	36 (4)	.27 (14)	3.48 (8)	80% (19)	8% (22)	1.02 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	13	50% (61)	43% (51)	17.7	28.9	219.5	7.6	12.4	21 (65)	4 (2)	.34 (44)	1.7 (28)	33% (91)	38% (9)	.48 (22)	6% (59)	2 (79)
AFA Defense	13	50% (80)	42% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.21 (36)	1.5 (19)	34% (44)	29% (45)	.34 (85)	5% (103)	2 (59)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	13	43% (10)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (80)	1.6 (80)	31% (91)	33% (108)	.44 (119)	6% (80)	2 (62)
AFA Offense	13	14% (133)	41% (74)	4.2	8.1	85	10.5	20.1	7 (129)	6 (14)	.51 (9)	2.3 (1)	23% (1)	27% (93)	.39 (48)	2% (1)	2.3 (7)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.63 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

San José State's SP+ Ratings
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.63 Air Force: -20.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -5.5 Air Force: -11.7

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -20.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 26
Air Force 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Air Force	7	San José State	17	San José State	Air Force -1.5	San José State	43.5	Under
2023	09/22	San José State	20	Air Force	45	Air Force	Air Force -6	Air Force	45.5	Over
2020	10/24	San José State	17	Air Force	6	San José State	Air Force -7.5	San José State	63.5	Under
2019	09/27	Air Force	41	San José State	24	Air Force	Air Force -19.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2016	11/19	San José State	38	Air Force	41	Air Force	Air Force -11	San José State	54.5	Over
2015	09/12	Air Force	37	San José State	16	Air Force	Air Force -7	Air Force	58.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	4	2	3 Overs
San José State	2	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1

(#94) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.63 #94
Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

San José State Notes
(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB

San José State Ratings Matchup Air Force

Power #94

#125

Off #102

#112

Def #71

#117

Talent #123

#131

SP+ #92

#111

SP+ Off #73

#120

SP+ Def #90

#76

Rematch from Week 2
Air Force -1.5 (43.5)
San José State won at Air Force this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Air Force last year (17-7)
Air Force beat San José State in 2023 (45-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | AFA
Depth Chart: SJSU | AFA
Rosters: SJSU | AFA

(#125) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Air Force Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Oreg St. Hayes good, Def great
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY

San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget	188	328	57%	2504	13	10	7.6
Emmett Brown	125	217	58%	1621	16	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Floyd Chalk IV	154	721	10	4.7	66
Jabari Bates	59	254	1	4.3	31
Lamar Radcliffe	33	141	1	4.3	18
Walker Eget	29	99	0	3.4	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Treyshun Hurry	28	482	2	17.2	31
Matthew Coleman	34	401	2	11.8	33

Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Busha	29	79	37%	415	1	5	5.3
Quentin Hayes	25	43	58%	455	3	2	10.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Carson	138	600	5	4.3	50
Quentin Hayes	126	466	7	3.7	30
Owen Allen	77	335	2	4.4	14
Cade Harris	48	279	4	5.8	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cade Harris	23	368	2	16.0	76
Quin Smith	10	207	1	20.7	39
Jared Roznos	5	109	0	21.8	52
Bruin Fleischmann	5	104	0	20.8	43

San José State's DC Derrick Odum

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3
Robert Rahimi	82	6	1	1	5
Taniela Latu	71	7	1	3	2
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby	37	1	0	0	6
D.J. Harvey	58	7	2	0	6
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Camby Goff	67	3	0	1	3
Jamari Bellamy	64	3	0	0	4
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner	50	8	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Santiago	37	5	4	2	3
Peyton Zdroik	18	7	3	3	0
Osaro Aihie	58	2	2	0	1
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner	50	8	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jamari Bellamy	64	3	0	4
Trey Williams	31	1	0	4
Camby Goff	67	3	1	3