Air Force at Wyoming Game Matchup
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -4 (33.5) (-175)  Open: -1.5
Wyoming 31 - Air Force: 19  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPHAFA coming off BYE
Our Line: Wyoming -7    (SP+ -2)
PPG only: AFA: 24 - WYO: 21 (45)
AFA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 164 miles
Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Air Force vs Merrimack-30.547.5W 21 - 6
Sat 9/7 Air Force vs San José State-1.543.5L 7 - 17
Sat 9/14 Air Force at Baylor+17.540.5L 3 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Air Force at Wyoming-4.033.5L 19 - 31
Sat 10/5 Air Force vs Navy+10.037.0L 7 - 34
Sat 10/12 Air Force at New Mexico+7.056.0L 37 - 52
Sat 10/19 Air Force vs Colorado State+6.043.5L 13 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Air Force at Army+18.038.5L 3 - 20
Sat 11/9 Air Force vs Fresno State+9.540.5W 36 - 28
Sat 11/16 Air Force vs Oregon State+3.044.5W 28 - 0
Sat 11/23 Air Force at Nevada+3.044.5W 22 - 19
Sat 11/30 Air Force at San Diego State-6.543.5W 31 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Wyoming at Arizona State+6.547.0L 7 - 48
Sat 9/7 Wyoming vs Idaho-6.539.5L 13 - 17
Sat 9/14 Wyoming vs BYU+9.540.5L 14 - 34
Sat 9/21 Wyoming at North Texas+7.055.0L 17 - 44
Sat 9/28 Wyoming vs Air Force+4.033.5W 31 - 19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Wyoming vs San Diego State-1.543.0L 24 - 27
Sat 10/19 Wyoming at San José State+13.053.0L 14 - 24
Sat 10/26 Wyoming vs Utah State+2.557.0L 25 - 27
Sat 11/2 Wyoming at New Mexico+7.560.5W 49 - 45
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Wyoming at Colorado State+8.547.5L 10 - 24
Sat 11/23 Wyoming vs Boise State+22.054.0L 13 - 17
Sat 11/30 Wyoming at Washington State+18.555.5W 15 - 14
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs WYO's DC Aaron Bohl     WYO's OC Jay Johnson vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#26 (.28)45% (31)18.946% (34)3.48 (8)28141% (74)854.05 (52)#28 (.12)39% (38)23.337% (16)42% (79)3.96 (85)24.81.31.1
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)19.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)28.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1318.919.245.5%4.051.320366281855.185%14%46%41%9%.28
WYO Defense1328.323.542.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1323.328.839.3%3.961.1 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%14%.12
WYO Offense1319.32043.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1333:2619.646%68%324.81.31.14.52230.6
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1385% (1)46% (34)54.7280.65.136 (4).27 (14)3.48 (8)80% (19)8% (22)1.02 (56)
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1349% (58)37% (16) - - - - .06 (26)2.67 (13)79% (106)9% (93)0.99 (61)
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1314% (133)41% (74)4.28.18510.520.17 (129)6 (14).51 (9)2.3 (1)23% (1)27% (93).39 (48)2% (1)2.3 (7)
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1350% (80)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (67).21 (36)1.5 (19)34% (44)29% (45).34 (85)5% (103)2 (59)
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -22.84   Wyoming: -15.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7   Wyoming: -13.6




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -15.71 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 462.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Wyoming's SP+ Ratings
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 24
Wyoming 21

Projected Total Points: 45
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Wyoming31Air Force19WyomingAir Force -4Wyoming33.5Over
202310/14Air Force34Wyoming27Air ForceAir Force -12.5Wyoming42.0Over
202209/16Wyoming17Air Force14WyomingAir Force -16.5Wyoming47.0Under
202110/09Air Force24Wyoming14Air ForceAir Force -5.5Air Force46.5Under
201911/30Air Force20Wyoming6Air ForceAir Force -13.5Air Force41.5Under
201811/17Wyoming35Air Force27WyomingWyoming -3Wyoming42.5Over
201711/11Air Force14Wyoming28WyomingAir Force -2.5Wyoming51.0Under
201610/08Wyoming35Air Force26WyomingAir Force -13.5Wyoming50.0Over
201510/10Air Force31Wyoming17Air ForceAir Force -21.5Wyoming57.0Under
201409/06Wyoming17Air Force13WyomingWyoming -1Wyoming0
201309/21Air Force23Wyoming56WyomingWyoming -2.5Wyoming0
201210/13Wyoming27Air Force28Air Force
201111/12Air Force17Wyoming25Wyoming
201009/25Wyoming14Air Force20Air Force
200910/17Air Force10Wyoming0Air Force
200809/06Wyoming3Air Force23Air Force
200710/20Air Force20Wyoming12Air Force
200609/23Wyoming24Air Force31Air Force
200509/17Air Force28Wyoming29Wyoming
200410/30Wyoming43Air Force26Wyoming
200309/20Air Force35Wyoming29Air Force
200210/26Wyoming34Air Force26Wyoming
200110/13Air Force24Wyoming13Air Force
200010/13Wyoming34Air Force51Air Force
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming1194 Overs
Air Force1325 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 97 - 44 - 33 - 1
Road Teams9 - 154 - 71 - 33 - 4

(#125) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.84 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0


Air Force Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Oreg St. Hayes good, Def great
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
Air Force     Ratings Matchup     Wyoming
Power #125
#117
Off #112
#122
Def #117
#84
Talent #131
#108
SP+ #111
#115
SP+ Off #120
#127
SP+ Def #76
#95

Rematch from Week 5
Air Force 4.0 (33.5)
Wyoming won vs Air Force this year (31-19)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Air Force last year (31-19)
Air Force beat Wyoming in 2023 (34-27)
Wyoming beat Air Force in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: AFA | WYO
Depth Chart: AFA | WYO
Rosters: AFA | WYO
(#117) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.71 #117
Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 462.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0


Wyoming Notes
(11/25) Fight w/ Boise, Off awful, Def fought hard in L
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad




  
Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Busha297937%415155.3
Quentin Hayes254358%4553210.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Carson13860054.350
Quentin Hayes12646673.730
Owen Allen7733524.414
Cade Harris4827945.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23368216.076
Quin Smith10207120.739
Jared Roznos5109021.852
Bruin Fleischmann5104020.843
Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Svoboda11122649%1308585.8
Kaden Anderson7012058%955638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott9243534.743
Harrison Waylee6332315.136
Jamari Ferrell8031814.062
Evan Svoboda10923752.251
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Sargent23480220.970
Johnmichael Gyllenborg30425314.263
Chris Durr Jr.31348111.240
Tyler King17236013.936

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Camby Goff673013
Jamari Bellamy643004
Osaro Aihie582201
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner508212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Santiago375423
Peyton Zdroik187330
Osaro Aihie582201
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner508212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamari Bellamy643004
Trey Williams311004
Camby Goff673013
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shae Suiaunoa8710132
Connor Shay768223
Isaac White572002
Wrook Brown481006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sabastian Harsh419310
Tyce Westland416300
Braden Siders204200
DeVonne Harris215200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrecus Davis421008
Keany Parks411007
Wrook Brown481006