Fresno State at UNLV Game Matchup
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
UNLV -2.5 (51.0) (-135)  Open: -3.0
UNLV 59 - Fresno State: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FRES 2nd straight Road Game
UNLV coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -12.5    (SP+ -13)
PPG only: FRES: 24 - UNLV: 30 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 260 miles
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

FRES's OC Pat McCann vs UNLV's DC Michael Scherer     UNLV's OC Brennan Marion vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#51 (.22)44% (48)26.140% (103)2.97 (95)10647% (24)2814.21 (36)#66 (.18)41% (60)24.842% (62)41% (64)3.31 (20)39.81.11.8
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)35.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)21.341% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1326.121.243.8%4.211.1213881062813.837%62%40%47%15%.22
UNLV Defense1421.322.541.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1324.831.241.5%3.311.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%41%16%.18
UNLV Offense1435.445.842.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1329:2120.948%64%4.439.81.11.85.52.2131.4
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1337% (129)40% (103)28.4106.53.816 (89).14 (77)2.97 (95)74% (70)8% (28)1.01 (62)
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1353% (105)42% (62) - - - - .13 (61)3.16 (84)68% (42)9% (95)0.91 (30)
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1362% (5)47% (24)25.839.6281.37.110.929 (18)12 (85).3 (65)1.5 (118)31% (49)38% (10).43 (37)7% (93)1.8 (125)
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1346% (28)41% (64) - - - - - - 17 (3).3 (90)1.7 (93)32% (60)33% (106).34 (84)7% (44)2 (44)
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.40   UNLV: 6.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -3.8   UNLV: 9.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 6.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

UNLV's SP+ Ratings
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 30
Fresno State 24

Projected Total Points: 54
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28UNLV59Fresno State14UNLVUNLV -2.5UNLV51.0Over
202310/28Fresno State31UNLV24Fresno StateFresno State -10.5UNLV56.0Under
202211/11UNLV30Fresno State37Fresno StateFresno State -9UNLV61.5Over
202109/24Fresno State38UNLV30Fresno StateFresno State -30UNLV59.0Over
202011/07UNLV27Fresno State40Fresno StateFresno State -11Fresno State57.5Over
201910/18Fresno State56UNLV27Fresno StateFresno State -14.5Fresno State52.0Over
201811/03UNLV3Fresno State48Fresno StateFresno State -27Fresno State58.5Under
201710/28Fresno State16UNLV26UNLVFresno State -21.5UNLV59.0Under
201610/01UNLV45Fresno State20UNLVUNLV -11.5UNLV56.5Over
201510/16Fresno State31UNLV28Fresno StateUNLV -5.5Fresno State49.0Over
201410/10UNLV30Fresno State27UNLVFresno State -9UNLV0
201310/19Fresno State38UNLV14Fresno StateFresno State -21Fresno State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV477 Overs
Fresno State853 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 47 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#87) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0


Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
Fresno State     Ratings Matchup     UNLV
Power #87
#46
Off #95
#81
Def #33
#27
Talent #88
#96
SP+ #85
#36
SP+ Off #85
#31
SP+ Def #77
#55

Rematch from Week 5
UNLV -2.5 (51.0)
UNLV won vs Fresno State this year (59-14)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State last year (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2022 (37-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | UNLV
Depth Chart: FRES | UNLV
Rosters: FRES | UNLV
(#46) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0


UNLV Notes
(12/30) Hired DC Z Arnett (MSU HC)
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)




  
Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Joshua Wood182864%195117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Malik Sherrod6019643.348
Joshua Wood3711863.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mac Dalena60998816.675
Jalen Moss49582411.949
Raylen Sharpe51523310.338
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams16185195.371
Kylin James8965357.386
Greg Burrell6637035.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929

Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tuasivi Nomura1027003
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark563224
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark563224
Phoenix Jackson455254
Korey Foreman235241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Cameron Lockridge372006
Phoenix Jackson455254
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon775213
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr.568743
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010