Air Force at New Mexico Game Matchup
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -7 (56.0) (-265)  Open: -3.5
New Mexico 52 - Air Force: 37  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -3)
PPG only: AFA: 29 - UNM: 28 (57)
UNM Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 289 miles
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Air Force vs Merrimack-30.547.5W 21 - 6
Sat 9/7 Air Force vs San José State-1.543.5L 7 - 17
Sat 9/14 Air Force at Baylor+17.540.5L 3 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Air Force at Wyoming-4.033.5L 19 - 31
Sat 10/5 Air Force vs Navy+10.037.0L 7 - 34
Sat 10/12 Air Force at New Mexico+7.056.0L 37 - 52
Sat 10/19 Air Force vs Colorado State+6.043.5L 13 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Air Force at Army+18.038.5L 3 - 20
Sat 11/9 Air Force vs Fresno State+9.540.5W 36 - 28
Sat 11/16 Air Force vs Oregon State+3.044.5W 28 - 0
Sat 11/23 Air Force at Nevada+3.044.5W 22 - 19
Sat 11/30 Air Force at San Diego State-6.543.5W 31 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs UNM's DC Nick Howell     UNM's OC Jason Beck vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#26 (.28)45% (31)18.946% (34)3.48 (8)28141% (74)854.05 (52)#28 (.12)39% (38)23.337% (16)42% (79)3.96 (85)24.81.31.1
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)33.550% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)3850% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1318.919.245.5%4.051.320366281855.185%14%46%41%9%.28
UNM Defense123838.848.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1323.328.839.3%3.961.1 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%14%.12
UNM Offense1233.537.448.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1333:2619.646%68%324.81.31.14.52230.6
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1385% (1)46% (34)54.7280.65.136 (4).27 (14)3.48 (8)80% (19)8% (22)1.02 (56)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1349% (58)37% (16) - - - - .06 (26)2.67 (13)79% (106)9% (93)0.99 (61)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1314% (133)41% (74)4.28.18510.520.17 (129)6 (14).51 (9)2.3 (1)23% (1)27% (93).39 (48)2% (1)2.3 (7)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1350% (80)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (67).21 (36)1.5 (19)34% (44)29% (45).34 (85)5% (103)2 (59)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: #NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: #NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    New Mexico: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.7   New Mexico: -14.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: 2 #NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: #NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: -

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 29
New Mexico 28

Projected Total Points: 57
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12New Mexico52Air Force37New MexicoNew Mexico -7New Mexico56.0Over
202211/12Air Force35New Mexico3Air ForceAir Force -21Air Force37.5Over
202110/02New Mexico10Air Force38Air ForceAir Force -11.5Air Force46.0Over
202011/20Air Force28New Mexico0Air ForceAir Force -9.5Air Force56.5Under
201911/23New Mexico22Air Force44Air ForceAir Force -24New Mexico56.5Over
201811/10Air Force42New Mexico24Air ForceAir Force -14Air Force55.0Over
201709/30New Mexico56Air Force38New MexicoAir Force -3New Mexico50.5Over
201610/15Air Force40New Mexico45New MexicoAir Force -15New Mexico53.5Over
201511/28New Mexico47Air Force35New MexicoAir Force -10.5New Mexico53.5Over
201410/18Air Force35New Mexico31Air ForceAir Force -12New Mexico0
201311/08New Mexico45Air Force37New MexicoNew Mexico -1.5New Mexico0
201210/20Air Force28New Mexico23Air Force
201110/29New Mexico0Air Force42Air Force
201011/13Air Force48New Mexico23Air Force
200909/19New Mexico13Air Force37Air Force
200810/23Air Force23New Mexico10Air Force
200710/25New Mexico34Air Force31New Mexico
200609/30Air Force24New Mexico7Air Force
200511/19New Mexico24Air Force42Air Force
200410/09Air Force28New Mexico23Air Force
200311/15New Mexico24Air Force12New Mexico
200209/07Air Force38New Mexico31Air Force
200110/27New Mexico52Air Force33New Mexico
200010/20Air Force23New Mexico29New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico978 Overs
Air Force1541 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 78 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams7 - 173 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#NR) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 198.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Air Force Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Oreg St. Hayes good, Def great
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
Air Force     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #131
#128
SP+ #111
#116
SP+ Off #120
#64
SP+ Def #76
#132

Rematch from Week 7
New Mexico -7.0 (56.0)
New Mexico won vs Air Force this year (52-37)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Air Force last year (52-37)
Air Force beat New Mexico in 2022 (35-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84°

Team Information
Injuries: AFA | UNM
Depth Chart: AFA | UNM
Rosters: AFA | UNM
(#NR) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


New Mexico Notes
(12/14) HC Mendenhall left for Utah State
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team




  
Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Busha297937%415155.3
Quentin Hayes254358%4553210.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Carson13860054.350
Quentin Hayes12646673.730
Owen Allen7733524.414
Cade Harris4827945.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Harris23368216.076
Quin Smith10207120.739
Jared Roznos5109021.852
Bruin Fleischmann5104020.843
New Mexico's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers7438255.229
Javen Jacobs4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Ryan Davis54747313.855
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143

Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Camby Goff673013
Jamari Bellamy643004
Osaro Aihie582201
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner508212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Santiago375423
Peyton Zdroik187330
Osaro Aihie582201
Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner508212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamari Bellamy643004
Trey Williams311004
Camby Goff673013
New Mexico's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger822005
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noa Pola-Gates500007
Noah Avinger822005