New Mexico at Utah State Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -1 (78.5) (-112)  Open: -2.5
New Mexico 50 - Utah State: 45  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -4)
PPG only: UNM: 36 - USU: 35 (71)
UNM Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNM Travel: 540 miles
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/24 New Mexico vs Montana State+10.554.0L 31 - 35
Sat 8/31 New Mexico at Arizona+28.060.0L 39 - 61
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Auburn+25.558.5L 19 - 45
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs Fresno State+12.061.0L 21 - 38
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at New Mexico State-9.554.0W 50 - 40
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 New Mexico vs Air Force-7.056.0W 52 - 37
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Utah State-1.078.5W 50 - 45
Sat 10/26 New Mexico at Colorado State+3.562.0L 6 - 17
Sat 11/2 New Mexico vs Wyoming-7.560.5L 45 - 49
Fri 11/8 New Mexico at San Diego State+1.565.5W 21 - 16
Sat 11/16 New Mexico vs Washington State+10.572.5W 38 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 New Mexico at Hawai'i-6.561.5L 30 - 38
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Utah State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Utah State vs Robert Morris W 36 - 14
Sat 9/7 Utah State at USC+30.562.5L 0 - 48
Sat 9/14 Utah State vs Utah+20.543.5L 21 - 38
Sat 9/21 Utah State at Temple-6.553.5L 29 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Utah State at Boise State+28.066.5L 30 - 62
Fri 10/11 Utah State vs UNLV+19.067.5L 34 - 50
Sat 10/19 Utah State vs New Mexico+1.078.5L 45 - 50
Sat 10/26 Utah State at Wyoming-2.557.0W 27 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah State at Washington State+20.569.0L 28 - 49
Sat 11/16 Utah State vs Hawai'i+2.562.0W 55 - 10
Sat 11/23 Utah State vs San Diego State-5.060.0W 41 - 20
Fri 11/29 Utah State at Colorado State+5.556.5L 37 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNM's OC Jason Beck vs USU's DC Nate Dreiling     USU's OC Kyle Cefalo vs UNM's DC Nick Howell

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)33.550% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)3850% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
USU#50 (.22)42% (67)31.945% (52)3.36 (19)18442% (68)2543.27 (109)#98 (.23)45% (114)37.849% (124)43% (82)4.41 (119)70.81.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.748.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31
USU Defense1337.830.345.4%4.411.5 - - - - - 54%45%49%43%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.448.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
USU Offense1331.938.742.2%3.271.9224391842544.848%50%45%42%20%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Utah State1326:5621.736%56%7.570.81.91.55.51.8329.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)
USU Defense1354% (113)49% (124) - - - - .18 (93)3.1 (68)83% (118)11% (39)0.93 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
USU Offense1348% (89)45% (52)38.2184.54.818 (77).21 (33)3.36 (19)77% (40)12% (104)1 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)
USU Defense1345% (22)43% (82) - - - - - - 10 (67).31 (95)1.6 (71)30% (108)31% (77).31 (70)7% (23)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
USU Offense1350% (56)42% (68)20.733.5254.27.612.335 (7)19 (131).34 (48)1.8 (19)33% (87)33% (53).42 (40)8% (122)2.2 (30)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: #NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: #NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Utah State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8   Utah State: -10.4




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: #NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: -

Utah State's SP+ Ratings
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 36
Utah State 35

Projected Total Points: 71
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Utah State45New Mexico50New MexicoNew Mexico -1New Mexico78.5Over
202311/24New Mexico41Utah State44Utah StateUtah State -4.5New Mexico58.5Over
202211/05Utah State27New Mexico10Utah StateUtah State -14.5Utah State42.5Under
202111/26New Mexico10Utah State35Utah StateUtah State -17Utah State48.0Under
202011/26Utah State41New Mexico27Utah StateNew Mexico -6Utah State49.0Over
201911/30New Mexico25Utah State38Utah StateUtah State -12Utah State63.0Push
201810/27Utah State61New Mexico19Utah StateUtah State -20Utah State64.0Over
201711/04New Mexico10Utah State24Utah StateNew Mexico -3.5Utah State52.5Under
201611/12Utah State21New Mexico24New MexicoUtah State -2.5New Mexico57.0Under
201511/07New Mexico14Utah State13New MexicoUtah State -14.5New Mexico57.5Under
201411/15Utah State28New Mexico21Utah StateUtah State -16New Mexico0
201310/19New Mexico10Utah State45Utah StateUtah State -10Utah State0
200310/04New Mexico34Utah State7New Mexico
200210/19Utah State45New Mexico44Utah State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State1074 Overs
New Mexico455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 75 - 72 - 33 - 4
Road Teams7 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2

(#NR) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 262.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


New Mexico Notes
(12/14) HC Mendenhall left for Utah State
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     Utah State
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #128
#115
SP+ #116
#106
SP+ Off #64
#45
SP+ Def #132
#129

Rematch from Week 8
New Mexico 1.0 (78.5)
New Mexico won at Utah State this year (50-45)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Utah State last year (50-45)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2023 (44-41)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | USU
Depth Chart: UNM | USU
Rosters: UNM | USU
(#NR) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Utah State Notes
(12/6) Hired HC Mendenhall, last at NM for 1 yr
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics




  
New Mexico's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier22639058%276812127.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devon Dampier1561152197.485
Eli Sanders147106497.275
NaQuari Rogers7438255.229
Javen Jacobs4027736.950
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong69840112.253
Ryan Davis54747313.855
Caleb Medford18336318.747
Nic Trujillo16305119.143
Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Petras21432765%231517117.1
Bryson Barnes7712661%8561266.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison198110985.637
Bryson Barnes6853057.863
Herschel Turner7940545.143
Derrick Jameson1514029.372
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Royals55834615.275
Kyrese Rowan44526312.057
Otto Tia4443479.951
Jack Hestera24340414.232

New Mexico's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Noah Avinger822005
Randolph Kpai805153
Dmitri Johnson775212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Ellis934824
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Dmitri Johnson775212
Jayden Wilson323220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor5620010
Noa Pola-Gates500007
Noah Avinger822005
Utah State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Vincent1171012
Ike Larsen802009
Jon Ross Maye574031
John Miller526242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cian Slone4910850
Bronson Olevao234430
Lawrence Falatea286330
John Miller526242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ike Larsen802009
Avante Dickerson192003
Jordan Vincent1171012