Colorado State at Nevada Game Matchup
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -2 (45.5) (-130)  Open: -1.0
Colorado State 38 - Nevada: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.7 MPHOur Line: Colorado State -7.5    (SP+ -9.5)
PPG only: CSU: 27 - NEV: 25 (52)
CSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 781 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (3 - 10) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Colorado State at Texas+35.559.0L 0 - 52
Sat 9/7 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-31.052.5W 38 - 17
Sat 9/14 Colorado State vs Colorado+7.558.5L 9 - 28
Sat 9/21 Colorado State vs UTEP-8.549.0W 27 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Colorado State at Oregon State+10.047.0L 31 - 39
Sat 10/12 Colorado State vs San José State-2.555.5W 31 - 24
Sat 10/19 Colorado State at Air Force-6.043.5W 21 - 13
Sat 10/26 Colorado State vs New Mexico-3.562.0W 17 - 6
Sat 11/2 Colorado State at Nevada-2.045.5W 38 - 21
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Colorado State vs Wyoming-8.547.5W 24 - 10
Sat 11/23 Colorado State at Fresno State+3.543.5L 22 - 28
Fri 11/29 Colorado State vs Utah State-5.556.5W 42 - 37
Sat 12/28 Colorado State vs Miami (OH)+1.042.5L 17 - 43
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Nevada's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/24 Nevada vs SMU+28.055.5L 24 - 29
Sat 8/31 Nevada at Troy+7.544.5W 28 - 26
Sat 9/7 Nevada vs Georgia Southern-1.556.5L 17 - 20
Sat 9/14 Nevada at Minnesota+17.544.5L 0 - 27
Sat 9/21 Nevada vs Eastern Washington-13.554.5W 49 - 16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Nevada at San José State+7.051.5L 31 - 35
Sat 10/12 Nevada vs Oregon State+3.047.0W 42 - 37
Fri 10/18 Nevada vs Fresno State+3.050.0L 21 - 24
Sat 10/26 Nevada at Hawai'i+2.542.0L 13 - 34
Sat 11/2 Nevada vs Colorado State+2.045.5L 21 - 38
Sat 11/9 Nevada at Boise State+23.560.5L 21 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Nevada vs Air Force-3.044.5L 19 - 22
Sat 11/30 Nevada at UNLV+17.554.5L 14 - 38
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

CSU's OC Matt Mumme vs NEV's DC Kane Ioane     NEV's OC Matt Lubick vs CSU's DC Freddie Banks

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#81 (.17)42% (74)24.439% (118)2.7 (124)9345% (38)3073.66 (86)#65 (.18)43% (80)25.842% (61)44% (107)3.4 (31)69.82.11.6
NEV#128 (.04)35% (129)23.139% (116)2.67 (127)12532% (132)1752.54 (132)#101 (.24)46% (122)28.847% (110)47% (126)3.83 (71)58.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1224.422.441.6%3.662.121399933073.439%59%39%45%16%.17
NEV Defense1228.826.646.5%3.831.3 - - - - - 51%48%47%47%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1225.830.642.9%3.41.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%44%16%.18
NEV Offense1223.127.635.4%2.541.7173001251753.455%45%39%32%22%.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1226:3420.641%42%7.669.82.11.67.22.8226.1
Nevada1230:1916.730%43%6.858.51.71.341.3326.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1239% (126)39% (118)27.792.83.410 (124)-.02 (130)2.7 (124)69% (102)7% (15)0.72 (133)
NEV Defense1251% (81)47% (110) - - - - .19 (97)3.28 (107)67% (30)9% (99)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1252% (102)42% (61) - - - - .11 (47)3.05 (55)75% (82)12% (24)1.04 (90)
NEV Offense1255% (33)39% (116)36.9124.83.414 (106).08 (107)2.67 (127)55% (132)16% (133)0.98 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1259% (9)45% (38)25.941.8306.57.311.824 (41)18 (128).35 (43)1.5 (100)33% (86)29% (81).31 (74)8% (124)2 (105)
NEV Defense1248% (52)47% (126) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (99)1.6 (83)30% (102)30% (68).28 (50)5% (99)2 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1247% (31)44% (107) - - - - - - 9 (87).29 (87)1.4 (10)32% (69)30% (69).3 (60)4% (126)2.1 (79)
NEV Offense1245% (102)32% (132)15.928.8175.26.1116 (133)12 (85).02 (132)1.5 (88)34% (107)26% (109).06 (132)6% (89)1.7 (130)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Colorado State's SP+ Ratings
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -4.04   Nevada: -11.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7   Nevada: -15.2




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -11.37 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0

Nevada's SP+ Ratings
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 27
Nevada 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6

Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Nevada21Colorado State38Colorado StateColorado State -2Colorado State45.5Over
202311/18Colorado State30Nevada20Colorado StateColorado State -12.5Nevada45.5Over
202210/07Nevada14Colorado State17Colorado StateNevada -3.5Colorado State44.0Under
202111/27Colorado State10Nevada52NevadaNevada -3Nevada57.5Over
201811/10Nevada49Colorado State10NevadaNevada -14Nevada61.5Under
201710/14Colorado State44Nevada42Colorado StateColorado State -24.5Nevada65.5Over
201512/29Colorado State23Nevada28NevadaColorado State -3.5Nevada0
201410/11Nevada24Colorado State31Colorado StateColorado State -2.5Colorado State65.5Under
201311/09Colorado State38Nevada17Colorado StateColorado State -8Colorado State0
201009/11Nevada51Colorado State6Nevada
200909/19Colorado State35Nevada20Colorado State
200609/16Nevada28Colorado State10Nevada
200509/24Colorado State42Nevada21Colorado State
200209/28Nevada28Colorado State32Colorado State
200109/08Colorado State35Nevada18Colorado State
200009/29Nevada14Colorado State45Colorado State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada554 Overs
Colorado State1143 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 72 - 72 - 40 - 3
Road Teams7 - 97 - 23 - 04 - 2

(#78) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0


Colorado State Notes
(11/29) QB torched Ut St. Rgame awful, R Def awful
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
Colorado State     Ratings Matchup     Nevada
Power #78
#109
Off #74
#46
Def #69
#108
Talent #98
#112
SP+ #93
#117
SP+ Off #92
#106
SP+ Def #85
#113

Rematch from Week 10
Colorado State 2.0 (45.5)
Colorado State won at Nevada this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Nevada last year (38-21)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2023 (30-20)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CSU | NEV
Depth Chart: CSU | NEV
Rosters: CSU | NEV
(#109) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.37 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 430.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0


Nevada Notes
(11/3) Outgained CSU but 2 TOs, bad 3rd down cost em
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY




  
Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Avery Morrow184100695.573
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Jalen Dupree2515316.124
Keegan Holles159716.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Jamari Person35373110.760
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Tory Horton25331113.252
Nevada's OC Matt Lubick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis21131268%22901677.3
Chubba Purdy182572%239119.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendon Lewis15777584.967
Savion Red11968785.869
Pat Garwo III5524654.525
Sean Dollars4716503.526
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Smith62849713.762
Cortez Braham56724412.957
Marcus Bellon39522413.463
Caleb Ramseur8106113.344

Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson973061
Buom Jock973023
Jack Howell861005
Henry Blackburn791123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
James Mitchell386251
Ayden Hector405206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry383019
Dom Jones602008
Dominic Morris542008
Nevada's DC Kane Ioane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kitan Crawford763016
Drue Watts655103
Tongiaki Mateialona619202
Stone Combs583100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Ikahihifo438430
Kristopher Ross296332
Tongiaki Mateialona619202
Jonathan Maldonado173201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr.4110010
Kitan Crawford763016
Chad Brown475006