Hawai'i at Fresno State Game Matchup

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -12 (45.5) (-455) Open: -13.0
Hawai'i 21 - Fresno State: 20 (Mountain West)

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPHFRES 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: HAW: 24 - FRES: 26 (50)
FRES Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
HAW Travel: 2515 miles, 3 hrs behind

Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/24	Hawai'i vs Delaware State	-38.5	57.5	W 35 - 14
Sat 8/31	Hawai'i vs UCLA	+13.5	55.5	L 13 - 16
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Hawai'i at Sam Houston	+3.5	48.5	L 13 - 31
Sat 9/21	Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa	-10.0	46.0	W 36 - 7
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Hawai'i at San Diego State	+1.5	47.5	L 24 - 27
Sat 10/12	Hawai'i vs Boise State	+21.0	60.0	L 7 - 28
Sat 10/19	Hawai'i at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	L 10 - 42
Sat 10/26	Hawai'i vs Nevada	-2.5	42.0	W 34 - 13
Sat 11/2	Hawai'i at Fresno State	+12.0	45.5	W 21 - 20
Sat 11/9	Hawai'i vs UNLV	+12.0	51.5	L 27 - 29
Sat 11/16	Hawai'i at Utah State	-2.5	62.0	L 10 - 55
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Hawai'i vs New Mexico	+6.5	61.5	W 38 - 30

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Fresno State at Michigan	+21.0	48.0	L 10 - 30
Sat 9/7	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-18.5	55.5	W 46 - 30
Sat 9/14	Fresno State vs New Mexico State	-19.5	48.5	W 48 - 0
Sat 9/21	Fresno State at New Mexico	-12.0	61.0	W 38 - 21
Sat 9/28	Fresno State at UNLV	+2.5	51.0	L 14 - 59
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Fresno State vs Washington State	+3.5	60.5	L 17 - 25
Fri 10/18	Fresno State at Nevada	-3.0	50.0	W 24 - 21
Sat 10/26	Fresno State vs San José State	-6.5	55.0	W 33 - 10
Sat 11/2	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-12.0	45.5	L 20 - 21
Sat 11/9	Fresno State at Air Force	-9.5	40.5	L 28 - 36
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Fresno State vs Colorado State	-3.5	43.5	W 28 - 22
Sat 11/30	Fresno State at UCLA	+7.5	46.5	L 13 - 20
Mon 12/23	Fresno State vs Northern Illinois	+2.0	41.0	L 20 - 28

HAW's OC Timmy Chang vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle FRES's OC Pat McCann vs HAW's DC Dennis Thurman

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	#94 (.14)	41% (82)	22.3	40% (98)	2.79 (119)	76	42% (64)	276	3.22 (111)	#102 (.24)	43% (84)	26	44% (77)	43% (88)	4.14 (101)	56.4	1.8	1.1
FRES	#51 (.22)	44% (48)	26.1	40% (103)	2.97 (95)	106	47% (24)	281	4.21 (36)	#66 (.18)	41% (60)	24.8	42% (62)	41% (64)	3.31 (20)	39.8	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	13	22.3	15.6	41%	3.22	1.8	19	352	76	276	3.1	34%	65%	40%	42%	18%	.14
FRES Defense	13	24.8	18	41.5%	3.31	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	42%	41%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	13	26	35	43.2%	4.14	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	44%	43%	16%	.24
FRES Offense	13	26.1	32	43.8%	4.21	1.1	21	388	106	281	3.8	37%	62%	40%	47%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	13	29:39	19.3	37%	52%	6.2	56.4	1.8	1.1	5.2	1.7	0	29.1
Fresno State	13	29:21	20.9	48%	64%	4.4	39.8	1.1	1.8	5.5	2.2	1	31.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	13	34% (133)	40% (98)	24.9	76.1	3.1	6 (133)	.09 (103)	2.79 (119)	62% (126)	11% (90)	1 (67)
FRES Defense	13	53% (105)	42% (62)	-	-	-	-	.13 (61)	3.16 (84)	68% (42)	9% (95)	0.91 (30)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	13	57% (127)	44% (77)	-	-	-	-	.17 (87)	3.16 (83)	75% (82)	10% (66)	1.06 (94)
FRES Offense	13	37% (129)	40% (103)	28.4	106.5	3.8	16 (89)	.14 (77)	2.97 (95)	74% (70)	8% (28)	1.01 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	13	65% (2)	42% (64)	25.9	41.3	276.4	6.7	10.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.2 (94)	1.5 (104)	34% (96)	32% (62)	.33 (69)	7% (100)	2 (84)
FRES Defense	13	46% (28)	41% (64)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.3 (90)	1.7 (93)	32% (60)	33% (106)	.34 (84)	7% (44)	2 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	13	43% (7)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.38 (114)	1.7 (110)	31% (89)	31% (80)	.4 (107)	6% (58)	2.1 (84)
FRES Offense	13	62% (5)	47% (24)	25.8	39.6	281.3	7.1	10.9	29 (18)	12 (85)	.3 (65)	1.5 (118)	31% (49)	38% (10)	.43 (37)	7% (93)	1.8 (125)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: #NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: #NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89

Hawai'i's SP+ Ratings
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: Fresno State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.9 Fresno State: -3.8

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: #NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: -

Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 26
Hawai'i 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Fresno State	20	Hawai'i	21	Hawai'i	Fresno State -12	Hawai'i	45.5	Under
2022	11/05	Fresno State	55	Hawai'i	13	Fresno State	Fresno State -27	Fresno State	62.0	Over
2021	10/02	Hawai'i	27	Fresno State	24	Hawai'i	Fresno State -10.5	Hawai'i	64.5	Under
2020	10/24	Fresno State	19	Hawai'i	34	Hawai'i	Fresno State -2.5	Hawai'i	64.5	Under
2019	11/02	Hawai'i	38	Fresno State	41	Fresno State	Hawai'i -2	Fresno State	69.5	Over
2018	10/27	Fresno State	50	Hawai'i	20	Fresno State	Fresno State -24.5	Fresno State	59.5	Over
2017	11/11	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	31	Fresno State	Fresno State -10	NA	53.0	Under
2016	11/19	Fresno State	13	Hawai'i	14	Hawai'i	Hawai'i -2.5	Fresno State	54.5	Under
2015	11/14	Hawai'i	14	Fresno State	42	Fresno State	Hawai'i -4	Fresno State	53.0	Over
2014	11/29	Fresno State	28	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	Fresno State -12	Hawai'i	0
2013	09/29	Hawai'i	37	Fresno State	42	Fresno State	Fresno State -18.5	Hawai'i	0
2012	11/03	Fresno State	45	Hawai'i	10	Fresno State
2011	11/19	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	24	Fresno State
2010	10/09	Fresno State	27	Hawai'i	49	Hawai'i
2009	10/10	Hawai'i	17	Fresno State	42	Fresno State
2008	10/04	Fresno State	29	Hawai'i	32	Hawai'i
2007	11/10	Hawai'i	37	Fresno State	30	Hawai'i
2006	10/14	Fresno State	37	Hawai'i	68	Hawai'i
2005	10/29	Hawai'i	13	Fresno State	27	Fresno State
2004	11/12	Fresno State	70	Hawai'i	14	Fresno State
2003	10/12	Hawai'i	55	Fresno State	28	Hawai'i
2002	10/25	Fresno State	21	Hawai'i	31	Hawai'i
2001	10/26	Hawai'i	38	Fresno State	34	Hawai'i
2000	11/03	Fresno State	45	Hawai'i	27	Fresno State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	13	5	4 Overs
Hawai'i	11	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 14	5 - 5	2 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	14 - 10	5 - 5	0 - 3	5 - 2

(#NR) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Hawai'i Notes
(11/18) Killed by Utah St, QB's 5 INTs? Rgame awful
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility

Hawai'i Ratings Matchup Fresno State

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #113

#88

SP+ #107

#85

SP+ Off #108

#85

SP+ Def #89

#77

Rematch from Week 10
Fresno State -12.0 (45.5)
Hawai'i won at Fresno State this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Fresno State last year (21-20)
Fresno State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (55-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | FRES
Depth Chart: HAW | FRES
Rosters: HAW | FRES

(#NR) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good

Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	233	404	58%	2591	19	13	6.4
Micah Alejado	49	70	70%	585	6	0	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	71	351	1	4.9	29
Brayden Schager	135	267	6	2.0	46
Tylan Hines	39	162	0	4.2	15
Cam Barfield	33	158	0	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nicholas Cenacle	63	721	6	11.4	62
Pofele Ashlock	61	629	6	10.3	30
Dekel Crowdus	16	402	4	25.1	74
Jonah Panoke	33	387	3	11.7	49

Fresno State's OC Pat McCann

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mikey Keene	276	392	70%	2887	18	11	7.4
Joshua Wood	18	28	64%	195	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Donelson	78	472	3	6.1	43
Elijah Gilliam	121	466	8	3.9	24
Malik Sherrod	60	196	4	3.3	48
Joshua Wood	37	118	6	3.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mac Dalena	60	998	8	16.6	75
Jalen Moss	49	582	4	11.9	49
Raylen Sharpe	51	523	3	10.3	38
Elijah Gilliam	32	204	0	6.4	71

Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamih Otis	55	5	2	2	0
Logan Taylor	52	1	0	0	0
Elijah Robinson	51	11	5	1	0
Peter Manuma	43	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Elijah Robinson	51	11	5	1
Jackie Johnson III	20	5	5	5
Malachi Finau	19	4	3	1
Jamih Otis	55	5	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Stone	38	3	8
Caleb Brown	24	2	7
Elijah Palmer	32	5	5

Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tuasivi Nomura	102	7	0	0	3
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark	56	3	2	2	4
Alzillion Hamilton	50	5	1	1	12

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark	56	3	2	2	4
Phoenix Jackson	45	5	2	5	4
Korey Foreman	23	5	2	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alzillion Hamilton	50	5	1	1	12
Cameron Lockridge	37	2	0	0	6
Phoenix Jackson	45	5	2	5	4